T.D. Six - Sat Pics, Comments,Models Thread #2

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
Bailey1777
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 962
Joined: Mon Jul 31, 2006 6:23 pm
Location: Houston, Texas

#181 Postby Bailey1777 » Sun Sep 03, 2006 10:05 pm

What is the closest 2 hurricanes have made landfall(in miles) in the span of 7 days?
0 likes   

User avatar
SouthFLTropics
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4239
Age: 50
Joined: Thu Aug 14, 2003 8:04 am
Location: Port St. Lucie, Florida

#182 Postby SouthFLTropics » Sun Sep 03, 2006 10:08 pm

Bailey1777 wrote:What is the closest 2 hurricanes have made landfall(in miles) in the span of 7 days?


I wouldn't even want to entertain that thought Bailey. Having two direct hits in 3 weeks back in 04 was enough for me. :grrr:
0 likes   
Fourth Generation Florida Native

Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22, Milton 24

User avatar
boca
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6372
Age: 60
Joined: Mon Dec 15, 2003 8:49 am
Location: Boca Raton,FL

#183 Postby boca » Sun Sep 03, 2006 10:08 pm

Besides our depression look out in front of Aunt Flo at 98L and he might become Gordon and if that true watch the track of it becomes Gordon gave us a time back in 1994.
0 likes   

User avatar
JtSmarts
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1437
Age: 39
Joined: Thu Jul 10, 2003 1:29 pm
Location: Columbia, South Carolina

#184 Postby JtSmarts » Sun Sep 03, 2006 10:10 pm

Gordon does seem to love Florida. Once in 2000, twice in 1994.
0 likes   

User avatar
jdray
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 853
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 10:07 pm
Location: NE Florida

#185 Postby jdray » Sun Sep 03, 2006 10:15 pm

JtSmarts wrote:Gordon does seem to love Florida. Once in 2000, twice in 1994.


1994 was just crazy. It was the only time Ive really heard forecasters just give up trying to provide a track for a storm...

http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atl ... /track.gif
0 likes   

Matt-hurricanewatcher

#186 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sun Sep 03, 2006 10:19 pm

I see what the nhc is talking about...The trough base is at around 25 north/47 west, which is pulling this system north-northwestward for now. But there appears that this is moving eastward or even east-northeastward through out the next 24 hours. Once this system gets on the back side of the Axis then a ridge will form to the north. Which turns it westward. We could be seeing a system moving through the caribbean(98L) A system this one moving north of the islands. In another behind it. Interesting times ahead.
0 likes   

Josephine96

#187 Postby Josephine96 » Sun Sep 03, 2006 10:20 pm

6,7, and 8? :wink:
0 likes   

Bailey1777
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 962
Joined: Mon Jul 31, 2006 6:23 pm
Location: Houston, Texas

#188 Postby Bailey1777 » Sun Sep 03, 2006 10:22 pm

I would not be suprised to see the talk turning to (98L) very soon.
0 likes   

User avatar
wzrgirl1
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1331
Joined: Sat Sep 04, 2004 6:44 am
Location: Pembroke Pines, Florida

#189 Postby wzrgirl1 » Sun Sep 03, 2006 10:24 pm

the nhc track has be just a wee bit concerned however it is still at least a week away....i mean can a storm really go due west for that long? what are the odds?
0 likes   

User avatar
cinlfla
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 687
Joined: Mon Aug 16, 2004 7:16 pm
Location: Titusville, Florida on the Spacecoast

#190 Postby cinlfla » Sun Sep 03, 2006 10:24 pm

Isn't 98L and td6 to close together for them both to develop wouldn't one of them have to dominate?
0 likes   

Derek Ortt

#191 Postby Derek Ortt » Sun Sep 03, 2006 10:26 pm

not sure the answer to the cloest two have made landfall in 7 days... but here are two possibilities

Connie and Diane in 1955

TS Henri and Glorida in about the same place 3 days apart in 1985
0 likes   

Bailey1777
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 962
Joined: Mon Jul 31, 2006 6:23 pm
Location: Houston, Texas

#192 Postby Bailey1777 » Sun Sep 03, 2006 10:26 pm

Yes, but to my eyes I think they are splitting up.
0 likes   

Matt-hurricanewatcher

#193 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sun Sep 03, 2006 10:27 pm

There be getting farther apart over the next 12 to 24 hours. 98L will go westward while 6 will go northwestward....
0 likes   

JTD
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1558
Joined: Sun Nov 02, 2003 6:35 pm

#194 Postby JTD » Sun Sep 03, 2006 10:29 pm

Remember 1995?

5 storms lined up.

Could we see that again in the coming days?
0 likes   

User avatar
HurricaneMaster_PR
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 795
Joined: Tue Jul 22, 2003 6:23 pm
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#195 Postby HurricaneMaster_PR » Sun Sep 03, 2006 10:29 pm

I already post this in the other thread...

The NHC once again name X98L as a Low moving westward while TD 6 moves NW...They will talk more about that on their 205am discussion
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb/ATSA_00Z.gif
0 likes   

Bailey1777
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 962
Joined: Mon Jul 31, 2006 6:23 pm
Location: Houston, Texas

#196 Postby Bailey1777 » Sun Sep 03, 2006 10:32 pm

Derek,

If 98L developed would it be blocked Westward by TD6 or will there be enough seperation?
0 likes   

User avatar
all_we_know_is_FALLING
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 417
Joined: Fri Jun 09, 2006 3:06 pm
Location: Somewhere over the rainbow...
Contact:

#197 Postby all_we_know_is_FALLING » Sun Sep 03, 2006 10:39 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:not sure the answer to the cloest two have made landfall in 7 days... but here are two possibilities

Connie and Diane in 1955

TS Henri and Glorida in about the same place 3 days apart in 1985


TS Bonnie and Charley hit FLA back-to-back..
0 likes   

HurricaneHunter914
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4439
Age: 31
Joined: Fri Mar 10, 2006 7:36 pm
Location: College Station, TX

#198 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Sun Sep 03, 2006 10:40 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/avn.jpg

Convection burst surronding the center, the diurnal maximum is taking place.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
Bgator
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 649
Joined: Mon Sep 05, 2005 12:29 pm
Location: Orlando, FL

#199 Postby Bgator » Sun Sep 03, 2006 10:45 pm

00z GFS is coming out, i cant post pics now, i just thought you would like to know...
0 likes   

User avatar
boca
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6372
Age: 60
Joined: Mon Dec 15, 2003 8:49 am
Location: Boca Raton,FL

#200 Postby boca » Sun Sep 03, 2006 10:46 pm

Image
Image
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Argcane, FLCrackerGirl, Steve H. and 64 guests