T.D. Six - Sat Pics, Comments,Models Thread #2

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SouthFloridawx
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#21 Postby SouthFloridawx » Sun Sep 03, 2006 5:00 pm

GFS 18Z now pulls the trough out and bulds the high in over top of it more quickly
24 Hours :darrow:
Image

48 :darrow: :darrow:
Image
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#22 Postby Epsilon_Fan » Sun Sep 03, 2006 5:02 pm

it looks like it is going north-northwest right now like a fish but the forecast says it will head west-northwest... Is it interacting with the other invest? Will it eat the other invest and get some energy?

Pre-season, people called out Florence as the big one this year!
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#23 Postby Trugunzn » Sun Sep 03, 2006 5:05 pm

so far develope td6 and the wave behind it, also high Pressure takes over sooner.


Image
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#24 Postby Javlin » Sun Sep 03, 2006 5:08 pm

I would not be entirely surprised if the ULT picks this thing up. It is fairly evident on sat. imagery that the trough is affecting this system already

While I agree SFX that the ULT is affecting it I can not see it going N.The center of TD6 and the center of the low are about to pass quite quickly.The shear will be around for another day or so but the low pressure vacuum should fill in with high pressure quickly.
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#25 Postby Trugunzn » Sun Sep 03, 2006 5:12 pm

looking good:
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#26 Postby Trugunzn » Sun Sep 03, 2006 5:19 pm

The wave behind TD6 developes and follows it.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_108m.gif


*edited by staff to make the image a link so we don't have to scroll to read the page - image too large
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#27 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Sun Sep 03, 2006 5:22 pm

Even though TD6 has decreased slightly in convection, the outflow is outstanding.
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#28 Postby zlaxier » Sun Sep 03, 2006 5:22 pm

Whenever you have a hurricane in this area with high pressure building in, south floridians gulp.

This is not a good setup.
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#29 Postby WindRunner » Sun Sep 03, 2006 5:23 pm

I think I see an eye on IR :lol: Seriously, though, it's on the 21:45Z picture (that's what I'm seeing above)
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#30 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Sun Sep 03, 2006 5:25 pm

I see it too, but its kinda filled in.
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#31 Postby El Nino » Sun Sep 03, 2006 5:25 pm

HP build over the Eastern seabord ... could provoke a W'ly track towards FL or CA ...
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#32 Postby marcane_1973 » Sun Sep 03, 2006 5:25 pm

It seems that if the center ends up relocating to the north than this is no big dealio and should be headed out to sea. Correct????
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#33 Postby SouthFloridawx » Sun Sep 03, 2006 5:29 pm

I don't like it... I don't like it one bit.

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#34 Postby Trugunzn » Sun Sep 03, 2006 5:29 pm

still tracking west so far, shows a little more weaker storm, thats why more west. Also I dont like the looks of the storm behind it:

18z GFS
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#35 Postby jaxfladude » Sun Sep 03, 2006 5:29 pm

zlaxier wrote:Whenever you have a hurricane in this area with high pressure building in, south Floridians gulp.

This is not a good setup.

"Here we go again" for umpteenth time (FLA-wise) :eek:
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#36 Postby CalmBeforeStorm » Sun Sep 03, 2006 5:30 pm

For what it's worth, I think the wave in front of TD#6 is still showing nice convection and spin and is seperating from TD#6 as it's moving west and the TD is moving NW. I wouldn't be surprised to see 3 systems develop, the third being the wave furtherest east that is also looking good.
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#37 Postby Beam » Sun Sep 03, 2006 5:32 pm

SouthFloridawx wrote:I don't like it... I don't like it one bit.

Image


Twin hurricanes, now wouldn't that be something?
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#38 Postby El Nino » Sun Sep 03, 2006 5:33 pm

2 storms (maybe 3) for the price of one :eek:
Quite a busy week for the NHC I think ...
And I fully understand that you don't like these two storms. Would be a double hit ? Too far off, but you have to admit that there's a possibility.

Who talked about writing off this season ? :roll:
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#39 Postby jaxfladude » Sun Sep 03, 2006 5:34 pm

"Fujihara Effect" :?:
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#40 Postby Stratosphere747 » Sun Sep 03, 2006 5:36 pm

marcane_1973 wrote:It seems that if the center ends up relocating to the north than this is no big dealio and should be headed out to sea. Correct????


The chances for a "fish" type storm would go up quite a bit. Franklin made a point of this in the disco.
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