TD #6 Central Atlantic,Analysis,Sat Pics,Models Thread

[rnbaida]

I'd rather track a major fish hurricane than a major landfalling hurricane.

100% agreed!

true that.... When can they get a recon in? doesnt it have to be west of 55 long?

[huricanwatcher]

with its current speed and just for interest sakes... how many days (if it stays on current track) would it take to get to the east coast?

no guess's on this???

[Eyewall]

if everyone prepared correctly and did nothing stupid during and after the storm, we could get hit by a strong cat 1 and have some fun.. AND not have any deaths or even injuries.
but that's too much to ask for right?
i would love to get a cat 2.
after Wilma, I went around and cleaned yards for $80 a piece. Made almost $3000

[WmE]

with its current speed and just for interest sakes... how many days (if it stays on current track) would it take to get to the east coast?

no guess's on this???

NW at 10-15 mph

[huricanwatcher]

ok.. im not sure how far away 90l is.. so 10-15 mph would bring it close to the US on what day?

[rnbaida]

if everyone prepared correctly and did nothing stupid during and after the storm, we could get hit by a strong cat 1 and have some fun.. AND not have any deaths or even injuries.
but that's too much to ask for right?
i would love to get a cat 2.
after Wilma, I went around and cleaned yards for $80 a piece. Made almost $3000

after what happened in new orleans i dont think anyone will stay home if a CAT 3 was roaring toward them... In my opinion they would be really stupid if they did...

[Opal storm]

if everyone prepared correctly and did nothing stupid during and after the storm, we could get hit by a strong cat 1 and have some fun.. AND not have any deaths or even injuries.
but that's too much to ask for right?
i would love to get a cat 2.
after Wilma, I went around and cleaned yards for $80 a piece. Made almost $3000

What does this have anything to do with the topic?

[rnbaida]

Looking better by the hour...

[skysummit]

if everyone prepared correctly and did nothing stupid during and after the storm, we could get hit by a strong cat 1 and have some fun.. AND not have any deaths or even injuries.
but that's too much to ask for right?
i would love to get a cat 2.
after Wilma, I went around and cleaned yards for $80 a piece. Made almost $3000

Dude...you have no clue what would happen with even a weak storm on the north central gulf coast. In my area, Evacs would be ordered for a Tropical Storm so yea, that's too much to ask.

[huricanwatcher]

yes it is... those whispery feathers on the outermost ridge - making me very concerned what this thing has in store for us

[rnbaida]

When do the next set of models come out? If i remember correctly dont they come out at 3pm?

[Bane]

new orleans is a completely different animal than say, wilmington, nc. we do not have a huge lake sitting north of us being kept back by levees. wilmington also doesn't sit below sea level. i would not leave my home for a cat 3 storm and haven't for any of the ones i've been through.

[Sanibel]

Take one look at it. It's definitely curling up into 'cane...

[jenmrk]

if everyone prepared correctly and did nothing stupid during and after the storm, we could get hit by a strong cat 1 and have some fun.. AND not have any deaths or even injuries.
but that's too much to ask for right?
i would love to get a cat 2.
after Wilma, I went around and cleaned yards for $80 a piece. Made almost $3000

I don't think that is even worth commenting on.

[WmE]

When do the next set of models come out? If i remember correctly dont they come out at 3pm?

Right! 1800Z.

[rnbaida]

It is starting too develop some nice outflow...can you guys see it on the image i posted above?

[ConvergenceZone]

I'd rather track a major fish hurricane than a major landfalling hurricane.

I agree!!! The dark reds have diminished slightly, but I guess we are entering that time of the day when the convection will once again dissipate, but I'm sure it will pick up again this evening. This does look like it can reach depression stage tonight once the convection refires.

[huricanwatcher]

Im hour in-land and a cat 3 heading straight in or coming up thru wilmington (as Ernie just did) will send me west ........

[rnbaida]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-wv.html Nice water vapor look of 98L and 90L

[cycloneye]

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... =Animation

12z CMC.