Tropical Wave East of Lesser Antilles (Ex 98L)
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
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HurricaneHunter914
- Category 5
- Posts: 4439
- Age: 31
- Joined: Fri Mar 10, 2006 7:36 pm
- Location: College Station, TX
Great, just in time for my birthday on the 14th. I'm not liking any of these Invests.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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SouthFloridawx
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- Posts: 8346
- Age: 46
- Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
- Location: Sarasota, FL
- Contact:
602
ABNT20 KNHC 030234
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT SAT SEP 2 2006
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE ABOUT
1200 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS IS MOVING WESTWARD ABOUT 10
MPH. SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM HAS INCREASED
DURING THE EVENING. HOWEVER...ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM MAY BE SLOW TO OCCUR DUE TO THE SECOND AREA OF DISTURBED
WEATHER TO THE EAST.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
ABNT20 KNHC 030234
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT SAT SEP 2 2006
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE ABOUT
1200 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS IS MOVING WESTWARD ABOUT 10
MPH. SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM HAS INCREASED
DURING THE EVENING. HOWEVER...ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM MAY BE SLOW TO OCCUR DUE TO THE SECOND AREA OF DISTURBED
WEATHER TO THE EAST.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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HurricaneHunter914
- Category 5
- Posts: 4439
- Age: 31
- Joined: Fri Mar 10, 2006 7:36 pm
- Location: College Station, TX
If one of them becomes a TC, then the other one automatically becomes Fujiwara food.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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jhamps10
-
ConvergenceZone
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- Category 5
- Posts: 5200
- Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 1:40 am
- Location: Northern California
if this is going to be a fish storm, shouldn't it be hurrying up already??? I think the GDFL model is ALREADY wrong as yesterday it had it moving northwest ward right away, well that didn't happen, so it's already wrong. If this hasn't made the big turn by tomorrow night at this time, I'd be getting a bit concerned.
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HurricaneMaster_PR
- Category 2
- Posts: 795
- Joined: Tue Jul 22, 2003 6:23 pm
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
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Brent
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HurricaneMaster_PR wrote:Looking pretty impressive tonight
http://weather.hawaii.edu/satellite/ima ... i4.cta.gif
WOW. We may have TD 6 later today if that continues!
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#neversummer
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ConvergenceZone
- Category 5
- Posts: 5200
- Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 1:40 am
- Location: Northern California
yep, impressive convection. Have you noticed that each time the convection blows up, it blows up a little bit more impressive than the night before?? I've been noticing that trend lately. It will die down, but then come back just a bit stronger than the night before. I find that interesting.
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stormtruth
- Category 2
- Posts: 651
- Joined: Thu Mar 16, 2006 4:15 pm
Brent wrote:HurricaneMaster_PR wrote:Looking pretty impressive tonight
http://weather.hawaii.edu/satellite/ima ... i4.cta.gif
WOW. We may have TD 6 later today if that continues!
Looks like it could threaten the islands.
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SouthFloridawx
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- Location: Sarasota, FL
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Brent wrote:HurricaneMaster_PR wrote:Looking pretty impressive tonight
http://weather.hawaii.edu/satellite/ima ... i4.cta.gif
WOW. We may have TD 6 later today if that continues!
I agree! 90L is forming a shield behind 98L, this cause that the SAL do not affect 98L from behind improving the convection.
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HurricaneMaster_PR
- Category 2
- Posts: 795
- Joined: Tue Jul 22, 2003 6:23 pm
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
90L still looks more organized than 98L. Despite more convection, I don't see the rotation with 98L that I see with 90L
Last edited by Thunder44 on Sun Sep 03, 2006 8:43 am, edited 1 time in total.
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HurricaneMaster_PR
- Category 2
- Posts: 795
- Joined: Tue Jul 22, 2003 6:23 pm
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT SUN SEP 03 2006
THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE THAT WAS ALONG 40W AT
02/1800 UTC HAS BEEN DROPPED AT 03/0000 UTC. A SURFACE
1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 11.5N 42W REMAINS. THE
LOW PRESSURE CENTER HAD BEEN ALONG THIS WAVE EARLIER.
NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 12N TO 14N
BETWEEN 42W AND 46W. OTHER CELLS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
FROM 13N TO 15N BETWEEN 46W AND 51W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS
FROM 10N TO 18N BETWEEN 51W AND 58W NEAR WHAT APPEARS TO BE
A SURFACE TO LOW LEVEL TROUGH ALONG 55W FROM 10N TO 20N.
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT SUN SEP 03 2006
THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE THAT WAS ALONG 40W AT
02/1800 UTC HAS BEEN DROPPED AT 03/0000 UTC. A SURFACE
1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 11.5N 42W REMAINS. THE
LOW PRESSURE CENTER HAD BEEN ALONG THIS WAVE EARLIER.
NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 12N TO 14N
BETWEEN 42W AND 46W. OTHER CELLS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
FROM 13N TO 15N BETWEEN 46W AND 51W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS
FROM 10N TO 18N BETWEEN 51W AND 58W NEAR WHAT APPEARS TO BE
A SURFACE TO LOW LEVEL TROUGH ALONG 55W FROM 10N TO 20N.
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Meso
- Category 5
- Posts: 1609
- Age: 38
- Joined: Mon Aug 09, 2004 12:14 pm
- Location: South Africa
- Contact:
000
ABNT20 KNHC 030925
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT SUN SEP 3 2006
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE ABOUT
1050 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...AND ALSO ABOUT 400 MILES
WEST OF THE DEVELOPING TROPICAL WAVE AND LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...IS
MOVING WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS DECREASED AND
FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS UNLIKELY AS THE SYSTEM WILL LIKELY MERGE
LATER TODAY WITH THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED TO THE EAST.
ABNT20 KNHC 030925
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT SUN SEP 3 2006
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE ABOUT
1050 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...AND ALSO ABOUT 400 MILES
WEST OF THE DEVELOPING TROPICAL WAVE AND LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...IS
MOVING WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS DECREASED AND
FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS UNLIKELY AS THE SYSTEM WILL LIKELY MERGE
LATER TODAY WITH THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED TO THE EAST.
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