2006 a bust???

#61 Postby **brunota2003** » Tue Jul 11, 2006 10:35 pm

senorpepr wrote:
brunota2003 wrote:senor...you still havent given me the more recon pic on here... that pic is awesome!

now thats what I'm talking about!!! :lol:

I gotta have more...thats for sure...thank you senor...

#62 Postby **senorpepr** » Fri Jul 14, 2006 11:21 pm

Here's another graphic to stress what I'm saying...

(...also originally posted in Tropical Analysis section...)

HurricaneHunter914 · #63 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Fri Jul 14, 2006 11:43 pm

Right now 2006 has started off as a climo year.

Grease Monkey · #64 Postby **Grease Monkey** » Sat Sep 02, 2006 12:37 am

Seems like the title of this thread is getting closer and closer to coming true as the season progresses. It's almost that time of year where it's either now or never unless the storms this season plan on coming in big spirts. Lets continue this discussion on this thread because it seems like the official "2006 season is a bust" (created by senorpepr makes it official) thread. :wink:

boca · #65 Postby **boca** » Sat Sep 02, 2006 12:45 am

The title will become true soon enough my friends. As long as we have orange out there nothing will form.

#66 Postby **gatorcane** » Sat Sep 02, 2006 1:02 am

so far its a bust year compare to 2005 - but people need to realize that 2005 was an anamoly....

StrongWind · #67 Postby **StrongWind** » Sat Sep 02, 2006 1:11 am

Does anyone have a w.v. loop for around this date from years past for comparison so we can see what "non-dry" looks like. Thanks.

RattleMan · #68 Postby **RattleMan** » Sat Sep 02, 2006 1:15 am

StrongWind wrote:Does anyone have a w.v. loop for around this date from years past for comparison so we can see what "non-dry" looks like. Thanks.

Here's a water vapor stationary:

http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/rsad/gibbs/ ... 12-wv.html

Gotten from this site:

http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/rsad/gibbs/gibbs.html

Cyclenall · #69 Postby **Cyclenall** » Sat Sep 02, 2006 1:56 am

It's funny how we got all these season cancel posts at the start of the season but then everyone said "just wait! it's July!". Now look, the season cancel posts may not be wrong! Who would have thought?

*waits for a massive storm to form (in the Atlantic) after this post*

marcane_1973 · #70 Postby **marcane_1973** » Sat Sep 02, 2006 2:02 am

We have not even had a Hurricane with an actual 100% closed eyewall form yet and it is September 2nd. That should tell you something. I wonder if Ernesto even made it to Hurricane status when he was in the Caribbean. :roll:

kenl01 · #71 Postby **kenl01** » Sat Sep 02, 2006 4:07 am

I think this season is approaching a bust very shortly if nothing develops next week. This is the peak of the season and there's nothing out there at all (which is good news).
By now we should be seeing at least one major hurricane in the tropical Atlantic and possibly one more developing TS somewhere else. Even during the El-Nino year of 1982 we had 2 TD on Sept.1. This year we can't even muster that !

It's dead !

Damar91 · #72 Postby **Damar91** » Sat Sep 02, 2006 5:22 am

Just remember to all that may think 2006 is a bust, it only takes 1 Andrew to make the season not a bust. This season is long from over!

Hyperstorm · #73 Postby **Hyperstorm** » Sat Sep 02, 2006 7:56 am

To all of you that keep saying the same thing over and over and over again...

I will tell you something:

2001

Do the research...

#74 Postby **crazycajuncane** » Sat Sep 02, 2006 8:04 am

2006 will be known as the year that broke many hearts.

After 2005 and 27 storms later.... how can we only be at 5? It can't be possible?

I love mother nature. She finds a way to prove people wrong. I'm still going with bust... as in... nothing compared to last year. I will keep my money on that.

I know we got 2 months left, but we've made it through 3.

Frank2 · #75 Postby **Frank2** » Sat Sep 02, 2006 9:01 am

People (even those who post here) who have suffered (suffer is the key word) through a major hurricane, and, the long aftermath, know what that experience can do to a person, so, you can't blame any of us when it comes to being conservative on what we say here.

Most or all still love weather (else we wouldn't be here), but, our feelings have been tempered by past traumatic weather experiences. I don't think there's one person who's house was destroyed by a tornado, who feels the same way about them in the days prior to their loss - the same is true with a hurricane experience.

When you stand in line for many hours for the simplest of things, such as gas, drinkable water, or ice, you just can't come back to this site, or any other site, and be the same person you were before an experience like that.

I happened to see a crowded hurricane shelter just before Frances arrived here two years ago, and, it was very humbling to see 500 sleeping bodies on a gymnasium floor - you can't forget something like that very easily, and, truly it's good not to forget, since it gives a person a more compassionate view of suffering in a larger sense.

Frank

Jim Hughes · #76 Postby **Jim Hughes** » Sat Sep 02, 2006 9:41 am

Hyperstorm wrote:To all of you that keep saying the same thing over and over and over again...

I will tell you something:

2001

Do the research...

I did the research and the space weather conditions were much more favorable in 2001 compared to 2006. And so were the conventional meteorological conditions.

boca · #77 Postby **boca** » Sat Sep 02, 2006 9:49 am

Jim, does that mean that the conditions for tropical conditions was more favorable in 2001 than in 2006?

Opal storm · #78 Postby **Opal storm** » Sat Sep 02, 2006 10:08 am

People who think this season is a bust obviously never tracked hurricanes before 2005 and can't live 5 minutes without a storm.It does appear that this year the intensity of storms has been below average (why anybody would be complaining about that...I have no idea),but as far as # of storms go we are far from a "bust".This is definitely a more normal season,and after 2004 and 2005 people have forgotten what normal looks like.

Jim Hughes · #79 Postby **Jim Hughes** » Sat Sep 02, 2006 10:15 am

boca wrote:Jim, does that mean that the conditions for tropical conditions was more favorable in 2001 than in 2006?

Absolutely and most of the condition's last year were unbelievable perfect. If anyone looked at the space weather variables for 2006 that I wrote about during all last season you will see almost a complete opposite. Some were around during 80-90 % (Off the top of my head) in July - September of 2005 and they have only been present a handful of days during 2006.

Jim Hughes · #80 Postby **Jim Hughes** » Sat Sep 02, 2006 10:29 am

Opal storm wrote:People who think this season is a bust obviously never tracked hurricanes before 2005 and can't live 5 minutes without a storm.It does appear that this year the intensity of storms has been below average (why anybody would be complaining about that...I have no idea),but as far as # of storms go we are far from a "bust".This is definitely a more normal season,and after 2004 and 2005 people have forgotten what normal looks like.

I somewhat agree with you here but you have to look at everything as a whole. 1967 and 1997 had the same number of named storms but I would seriously hope that no intelligent researcher within the field would ever say that the seasons were the same.

You have to look at the data from a logical perspective. Especially if we want to improve our long term forecasting skills. This season is being diminished, even climatological wise, by certain factors and the sooner we understand all of this the better off we will be.

2006 a bust???

Who is online