Will Dr Gray see his shadow

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boca
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Will Dr Gray see his shadow

#1 Postby boca » Fri Sep 01, 2006 4:52 pm

Will hurricane season end early because of El Nino development or can we produce more storms from our lack luster season. I think Gray will see his shadow and well get a few more storms.
Last edited by boca on Fri Sep 01, 2006 4:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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GeneratorPower
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#2 Postby GeneratorPower » Fri Sep 01, 2006 4:53 pm

See his shadow....<laughing out loud>. That was very witty.
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Steve H.
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#3 Postby Steve H. » Fri Sep 01, 2006 4:58 pm

That's the best laugh all summer. BTW, did 'Pot Hole' Pete see his shadow in Central Park last February? :wink:
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#4 Postby bombarderoazul » Fri Sep 01, 2006 5:03 pm

speaking of dr. Gray what was his forecast for the Epac this year.
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#5 Postby Jevo » Fri Sep 01, 2006 5:04 pm

OK so for all of the Dr. Gray nay sayers.. just remember he as forgotten more about cyclo genesis and forecasting than you will even learn.. and enjoy a big glass of
Image
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Disclaimer: 50% of the time I have no clue of what I am talking about. Chances are I am taking a less than educated guess that sounds good because 10 years ago I stole Mike Watkins book 'The Hurricane and its Impact'. For official information please direct yourself to the NHC and their cadre of weather geniuses.
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#6 Postby clfenwi » Fri Sep 01, 2006 6:00 pm

bombarderoazul wrote:speaking of dr. Gray what was his forecast for the Epac this year.


Dr Gray doesn't forecast the EPAC.

Noaa's outlook for the eastern Pacific was 12-16 named storms, 6-8 hurricanes, and 1-3 majors, and an ACE 45%-85% of the median.

The original Mexican forecast was 11 named storms, 5 hurricanes, 2 majors. In August that was revised to 14/8/3.
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#7 Postby PTrackerLA » Fri Sep 01, 2006 6:07 pm

Dr. Gray has an easy job, he just comes out with a figure before the season and can update it multiple times throughout the season depending on how many storms we have so far.

Just kidding, I know that man knows more than probably anyone when it comes to forecasting hurricane seasons but we all know how unpredictable the tropics can be. With all that being said, I don't buy too much into those forecasts, rather I just wait and see what actually forms :wink: .
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