Tropical Wave East of Lesser Antilles (Ex 98L)

[Coredesat]

The Tampa Force Field Generator needs more power. Scotty..... Scotty... we need more power.
No
We need more Data? Brent Spiner, Where are you?

[Thunder44]

Most of the NHC models don't show fish. The UKMET doesn't develop this invest. Only the crappy LBAR shows a "fish".

[TampaFl]

Sushi storm.....
No
It's looks like a Miami storm to me.
No.
Surely, it is headed for New Orleans.
"Please don't call me Shirley."
No
The Tampa Force Field Generator needs more power. Scotty..... Scotty... we need more power.
No
We need more Data? Brent Spiner, Where are you?

[Swimdude]

This system isn't too exciting... I think the NHC just realized that we would soon be restless once again after Ernesto was history... So here we are with 98L... The previous 98L was much better.

[Dean4Storms]

Can definitely make out LL turning, any increase in convection and we could have a player. It is still undetermined which way this will go, but it is assured to take a westerly course over the next day or so.

[perk]

Swimdude you've been watching way too many conspiracy movies.

[NFLDART]

Sushi storm.....
No
It's looks like a Miami storm to me.
No.
Surely, it is headed for New Orleans.
"Please don't call me Shirley."
No
The Tampa Force Field Generator needs more power. Scotty..... Scotty... we need more power.
No
We need more Data? Brent Spiner, Where are you?

No it will cross Miami, Short out Tampa's force field generator, shoot north Graze Pensacola, Bounce off New Orleans and ricochet into Houston. Where it will then interact with a trough, become extra-tropical and race off towards the north-east. Kind of like a giant GOM Pinball Game.
There I think should just about cover every body...

[ConvergenceZone]

I think if it doesn't develop within the next 48 hours, it will head towards the carib, otherwise recurve...

I think it's only a fish if it starts starts to develop right away.

[MBismyPlayground]

Good Gosh, I finally get some much needed sleep and wake up to an invest.....One that some are predicting is already a fish???

While we are at it, let me get out my

[Cape Verde]

Joking around or making wild predictions doesn't bother me too much early in the storm history. If you're gonna do it, do it before it actually poses a threat to anyone.

If you want to predict a Greenland hit for this storm, now's the time to do it.

[Acral]

I then say all of them will be fishies and no more landfalling storms. Ever. Fini.

[hcane27]

Joking around or making wild predictions doesn't bother me too much early in the storm history. If you're gonna do it, do it before it actually poses a threat to anyone.

If you want to predict a Greenland hit for this storm, now's the time to do it.

OK, I will ... Thule-bound .....

[Sanibel]

I doubt this will be another hurricane Andrew - BUT in the weak season of 1992 a wimpy, convection-less invest blew up in the Atlantic and drifted north...

[Opal storm]

Those models look clueless in that first graphic posted.I would'nt call this a fish just yet,especially when it hasn't even developed into a storm yet.

[Swimdude]

Swimdude you've been watching way too many conspiracy movies.

Haha sorry, I just find it ironic that 98L shows up mere hours after Ernesto makes landfall.

[HurricaneMaster_PR]

Tropical Weather Outlook

Statement as of 5:30 PM EDT on September 1, 2006


For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico...

A tropical wave located about halfway between Africa and the Lesser
Antilles is moving westward at 10 mph. Slow development of this
system is possible over the next day or two.

[ConvergenceZone]

convection is dying once again.

[Meso]

In the long run... People in the US might want the convection to blow up and hope it developes fast and has more change of moving out to sea... slow development could be a bit of a threat

[Weathermaster]

the NWS in San Juan mentioned it in their discussion...


NWS iAREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
522 PM AST FRI SEP 1 2006

.DISCUSSION...TUTT LOW AND TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY
WEST NORTHWEST DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS...BUT WILL STILL LEAVE
LOCAL AREA IN SOUTHWEST TO SOUTH UPPER LEVEL FLOW INTO OR THROUGH
SUNDAY. FOR SATURDAY...LIMITED AVAILABLE MOISTURE WILL STILL
COMBINE WITH LOCAL EFFECTS...TO PRODUCE SOME LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. THEN...
TROPICAL WAVE/WEAK LOW LOCATED EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS LATE
THIS AFTERNOON WILL CONTINUE MOVING WEST TO WEST SOUTHWEST TONIGHT
AND SATURDAY AND THEN PASS ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SATURDAY
NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...BUT WITH GFS SHOWING THE MOST ACTIVE
WEATHER REMAINING ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN AND SOUTH OF THE LOCAL
ISLANDS. THAT SAID...STILL SHOULD BE ENOUGH MOISTURE SATURDAY
NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...TO AGAIN PRODUCE SOME CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS
AND A COUPLE OF THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. FOR
MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY... ADDITIONAL MOISTURE IS FORECAST TO
SPREAD ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS FROM THE EAST...ESPECIALLY AFTER
18Z MONDAY AND THEN LINGER THROUGH TUESDAY AND THIS SHOULD RESULT
IN ADDITIONAL CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. WE
WILL BE WATCHING TROPICAL WAVE AND ASSOCIATED WEAK LOW TO MID
LEVEL CIRCULATION NEAR 11N39W CLOSELY DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
&&

[GeneratorPower]

Convection will die and refire many times before it forms.