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what happened.
Hurricane Ernesto - Cat. 1
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HurricaneHunter914
- Category 5
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Josephine96
But don't be surprised if immediately after he leaves Fla, he regains TS`status-
AnnularCane
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Josephine96
Tropical Storm Public Advisory
Statement as of 8:00 PM EDT on August 30, 2006
...Center of Ernesto about to emerge into the Atlantic...heavy rains
continue over the central and southwestern Florida Peninsula...
a Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect from Sebastian Inlet
Florida to Cape Lookout North Carolina.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.
At 800 PM EDT...0000z...the broad center of Tropical Depression
Ernesto was located near latitude 28.2 north...longitude 80.7 west
or just northwest of Melbourne Florida.
The depression is moving toward the north near 15 mph. A gradual
turn to the north-northeast is expected on Thursday. This motion
will bring the center of Ernesto over the Atlantic waters near Cape
Canaveral during the next few hours.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph...55 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Ernesto has the potential to regain tropical storm strength
tonight or Thursday over the Atlantic.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb...29.53 inches.
The National Weather Service forecast office in Melbourne recently
reported a pressure of 1001 mb...29.56 in.
Coastal storm surge flooding of 1 to 3 feet above normal tide levels
can be expected in areas of onshore flow within the warning area.
Isolated tornadoes are possible over the east central and northeast
coast of Florida through early tonight.
Rainfall totals of 3 to 5 inches are possible near the track of
Ernesto over the Florida Peninsula...with isolated amounts up to 10
inches possible. Rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches are possible from
coastal South Carolina northward into the mid Atlantic region
with maximum amounts of 12 inches over the next few days.
Repeating the 800 PM EDT position...28.2 N...80.7 W. Movement
toward...north near 15 mph. Maximum sustained winds...35 mph.
Minimum central pressure...1000 mb.
The next advisory will be issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 1100 PM EDT.
$$
Forecaster Beven
Statement as of 8:00 PM EDT on August 30, 2006
...Center of Ernesto about to emerge into the Atlantic...heavy rains
continue over the central and southwestern Florida Peninsula...
a Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect from Sebastian Inlet
Florida to Cape Lookout North Carolina.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.
At 800 PM EDT...0000z...the broad center of Tropical Depression
Ernesto was located near latitude 28.2 north...longitude 80.7 west
or just northwest of Melbourne Florida.
The depression is moving toward the north near 15 mph. A gradual
turn to the north-northeast is expected on Thursday. This motion
will bring the center of Ernesto over the Atlantic waters near Cape
Canaveral during the next few hours.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph...55 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Ernesto has the potential to regain tropical storm strength
tonight or Thursday over the Atlantic.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb...29.53 inches.
The National Weather Service forecast office in Melbourne recently
reported a pressure of 1001 mb...29.56 in.
Coastal storm surge flooding of 1 to 3 feet above normal tide levels
can be expected in areas of onshore flow within the warning area.
Isolated tornadoes are possible over the east central and northeast
coast of Florida through early tonight.
Rainfall totals of 3 to 5 inches are possible near the track of
Ernesto over the Florida Peninsula...with isolated amounts up to 10
inches possible. Rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches are possible from
coastal South Carolina northward into the mid Atlantic region
with maximum amounts of 12 inches over the next few days.
Repeating the 800 PM EDT position...28.2 N...80.7 W. Movement
toward...north near 15 mph. Maximum sustained winds...35 mph.
Minimum central pressure...1000 mb.
The next advisory will be issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 1100 PM EDT.
$$
Forecaster Beven
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Thatsmrhurricane
- Tropical Storm
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Derek Ortt
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Derek Ortt
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cycloneye
- Admin
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237
WTNT35 KNHC 310232
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERNESTO ADVISORY NUMBER 26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052006
1100 PM EDT WED AUG 30 2006
...ERNESTO EMERGING INTO THE ATLANTIC NEAR CAPE CANAVERAL...EXPECTED
TO RE-GAIN TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH...
AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED
ALONG THE FLORIDA COAST SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM COCOA BEACH FLORIDA
TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE BROAD CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
ERNESTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.6 WEST.
THIS POSITION IS JUST NORTH OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA AND ABOUT 360
MILES...580 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 14 MPH...23 KM/HR...
AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AND A FASTER FORWARD
SPEED ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION WILL
BRING THE CENTER OF ERNESTO AWAY FROM THE COAST OF FLORIDA
TONIGHT...AND COULD BRING THE CENTER NEAR THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST
LATE THURSDAY OR THURSDAY NIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND
ERNESTO IS EXPECTED TO RE-GAIN TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH ON THURSDAY.
NOAA BUOY 41009 RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 42 MPH...68 KM/HR.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE COASTS OF SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA IN AREAS
OF ONSHORE FLOW WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. COASTAL STORM SURGE
FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE ALONG
THE GEORGIA COAST AND THE NORTHEAST COAST OF FLORIDA IN AREAS OF
ONSHORE FLOW WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE TRACK OF
ERNESTO OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 10
INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FROM
COASTAL SOUTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD INTO THE MID ATLANTIC REGION
WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...28.7 N...80.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
AM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
If nothing appears above but an error message, no current WTNT35 data were found.
235
WTNT25 KNHC 310232
TCMAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052006
0300 UTC THU AUG 31 2006
AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED
ALONG THE FLORIDA COAST SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM COCOA BEACH FLORIDA
TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 80.6W AT 31/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 45SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 80.6W AT 31/0300Z
AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.1N 80.7W
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 30.8N 79.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 33.5N 79.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 35.9N 78.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 37.9N 78.2W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 43.0N 79.5W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.7N 80.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
WTNT35 KNHC 310232
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERNESTO ADVISORY NUMBER 26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052006
1100 PM EDT WED AUG 30 2006
...ERNESTO EMERGING INTO THE ATLANTIC NEAR CAPE CANAVERAL...EXPECTED
TO RE-GAIN TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH...
AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED
ALONG THE FLORIDA COAST SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM COCOA BEACH FLORIDA
TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE BROAD CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
ERNESTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.6 WEST.
THIS POSITION IS JUST NORTH OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA AND ABOUT 360
MILES...580 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 14 MPH...23 KM/HR...
AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AND A FASTER FORWARD
SPEED ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION WILL
BRING THE CENTER OF ERNESTO AWAY FROM THE COAST OF FLORIDA
TONIGHT...AND COULD BRING THE CENTER NEAR THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST
LATE THURSDAY OR THURSDAY NIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND
ERNESTO IS EXPECTED TO RE-GAIN TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH ON THURSDAY.
NOAA BUOY 41009 RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 42 MPH...68 KM/HR.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE COASTS OF SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA IN AREAS
OF ONSHORE FLOW WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. COASTAL STORM SURGE
FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE ALONG
THE GEORGIA COAST AND THE NORTHEAST COAST OF FLORIDA IN AREAS OF
ONSHORE FLOW WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE TRACK OF
ERNESTO OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 10
INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FROM
COASTAL SOUTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD INTO THE MID ATLANTIC REGION
WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...28.7 N...80.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
AM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
If nothing appears above but an error message, no current WTNT35 data were found.
235
WTNT25 KNHC 310232
TCMAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052006
0300 UTC THU AUG 31 2006
AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED
ALONG THE FLORIDA COAST SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM COCOA BEACH FLORIDA
TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 80.6W AT 31/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 45SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 80.6W AT 31/0300Z
AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.1N 80.7W
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 30.8N 79.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 33.5N 79.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 35.9N 78.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 37.9N 78.2W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 43.0N 79.5W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.7N 80.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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cycloneye
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cycloneye
- Admin
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WTNT45 KNHC 310258
TCDAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERNESTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052006
1100 PM EDT WED AUG 30 2006
RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THE BROAD CENTER OF ERNESTO
IS MOVING INTO THE ATLANTIC NEAR CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA WITH A
CENTRAL PRESSURE NEAR 1000 MB. REPORTS FROM BUOY 41009 AND THE
MELBOURNE WSR-88D SHOW THAT WINDS ARE NEAR TROPICAL STORM-FORCE
OVER THE ATLANTIC EAST OF THE CENTER...BUT THE DATA DOES NOT YET
JUSTIFY AN UPGRADE. HOWEVER...ERNESTO WILL LIKELY REACH TROPICAL
STORM STRENGTH IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WILL REACH THE CYCLONE AROUND 06Z.
THE INITIAL MOTION IS 010/12. ERNESTO IS NOW BETWEEN A DEEP-LAYER
RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND A DEEP-LAYER TROUGH OVER THE
EASTERN UNITED STATES. THIS SHOULD CAUSE THE CYCLONE TO TURN
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD DURING THE NEXT 12-24 HR...THEN TURN NORTHWARD
AND NORTHWESTWARD THEREAFTER AROUND A DEVELOPING CUT-OFF LOW OVER
THE OHIO VALLEY. ALL GUIDANCE AGREES WITH THIS SCENARIO...WITH THE
ONLY DIVERGENCE COMING AFTER ERNESTO IS FORECAST TO BECOME
EXTRATROPICAL AND STARTS TO DISINTEGRATE. THE NEW FORECAST TRACK
IS NUDGED A LITTLE EAST OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK AND IS DOWN THE
MIDDLE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE.
ERNESTO HAS A DECENT...BUT BROAD...CONVECTIVE BANDING PATTERN AND
WIND CIRCULATION. THIS...COMBINED WITH FORECAST INCREASING SHEAR
DUE TO THE DEEP-LAYER TROUGH...SUGGEST THAT RE-INTENSIFICATION
SHOULD BE GRADUAL. THE INTENSITY FORECAST CALLS FOR SUCH
RE-INTENSIFICATION IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE GFDL...AND SLIGHTLY
ABOVE THAT FORECAST BY THE OTHER GUIDANCE.
12 FT SEA RADII HAVE BEEN INCLUDED BASED ON OBSERVATIONS FROM BUOY
41009.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 31/0300Z 28.7N 80.6W 30 KT
12HR VT 31/1200Z 30.8N 79.8W 40 KT
24HR VT 01/0000Z 33.5N 79.0W 50 KT
36HR VT 01/1200Z 35.9N 78.3W 30 KT...INLAND
48HR VT 02/0000Z 37.9N 78.2W 25 KT...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
72HR VT 03/0000Z 43.0N 79.5W 25 KT...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
96HR VT 04/0000Z...DISSIPATED
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
TCDAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERNESTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052006
1100 PM EDT WED AUG 30 2006
RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THE BROAD CENTER OF ERNESTO
IS MOVING INTO THE ATLANTIC NEAR CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA WITH A
CENTRAL PRESSURE NEAR 1000 MB. REPORTS FROM BUOY 41009 AND THE
MELBOURNE WSR-88D SHOW THAT WINDS ARE NEAR TROPICAL STORM-FORCE
OVER THE ATLANTIC EAST OF THE CENTER...BUT THE DATA DOES NOT YET
JUSTIFY AN UPGRADE. HOWEVER...ERNESTO WILL LIKELY REACH TROPICAL
STORM STRENGTH IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WILL REACH THE CYCLONE AROUND 06Z.
THE INITIAL MOTION IS 010/12. ERNESTO IS NOW BETWEEN A DEEP-LAYER
RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND A DEEP-LAYER TROUGH OVER THE
EASTERN UNITED STATES. THIS SHOULD CAUSE THE CYCLONE TO TURN
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD DURING THE NEXT 12-24 HR...THEN TURN NORTHWARD
AND NORTHWESTWARD THEREAFTER AROUND A DEVELOPING CUT-OFF LOW OVER
THE OHIO VALLEY. ALL GUIDANCE AGREES WITH THIS SCENARIO...WITH THE
ONLY DIVERGENCE COMING AFTER ERNESTO IS FORECAST TO BECOME
EXTRATROPICAL AND STARTS TO DISINTEGRATE. THE NEW FORECAST TRACK
IS NUDGED A LITTLE EAST OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK AND IS DOWN THE
MIDDLE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE.
ERNESTO HAS A DECENT...BUT BROAD...CONVECTIVE BANDING PATTERN AND
WIND CIRCULATION. THIS...COMBINED WITH FORECAST INCREASING SHEAR
DUE TO THE DEEP-LAYER TROUGH...SUGGEST THAT RE-INTENSIFICATION
SHOULD BE GRADUAL. THE INTENSITY FORECAST CALLS FOR SUCH
RE-INTENSIFICATION IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE GFDL...AND SLIGHTLY
ABOVE THAT FORECAST BY THE OTHER GUIDANCE.
12 FT SEA RADII HAVE BEEN INCLUDED BASED ON OBSERVATIONS FROM BUOY
41009.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 31/0300Z 28.7N 80.6W 30 KT
12HR VT 31/1200Z 30.8N 79.8W 40 KT
24HR VT 01/0000Z 33.5N 79.0W 50 KT
36HR VT 01/1200Z 35.9N 78.3W 30 KT...INLAND
48HR VT 02/0000Z 37.9N 78.2W 25 KT...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
72HR VT 03/0000Z 43.0N 79.5W 25 KT...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
96HR VT 04/0000Z...DISSIPATED
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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craptacular
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