Ernesto: TS after leaving coast?

Josephine96 · #1 Postby **Josephine96** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 3:14 pm

Just saw my local radar and the thread with Ernesto's rather impressive reds and convection..

My gut feeling tells me that once Ernesto emerges off the Central Fla coast.. he'll become a TS again almost immediately.

This storm actually reminds me of Eryka a couple years ago. She was borderline TS when she made landfall, and then immediately was named a TS when she exited into the GOM.

Strange storms with the E's.

BTW.. Erin, Eryka and Ernesto.. 3 of the recent E storms to effect Central Florida. I'm guessing they like our area the E's do..

furluvcats · #2 Postby **furluvcats** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 3:21 pm

Remember when Disney was on individual ride tickets? And the "E" ride took the most tickets and gave the best thrills?? Perhaps Mother Natures own version of the E Ride ticket...

Grease Monkey · #3 Postby **Grease Monkey** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 3:22 pm

As of now, I would ask for a refund on this current "E" ride. :wink:

Josephine96 · #4 Postby **Josephine96** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 3:25 pm

Yep.. It hasn't been wild enough :lol:

SCMedic · #5 Postby **SCMedic** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 3:25 pm

CHARLESTON COUNTY...WINDS OF
40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH APPEAR LIKELY. SINCE ERNESTO WILL
REMAIN OVER THE ATLANTIC FOR ABOUT 18 TO 22 HOURS THERE IS STILL A
CHANCE THAT THE STORM MAY STRENGTHEN FURTHER AS IT APPROACHES THE
CHARLESTON COUNTY COAST.

I think all the naysayers are in for a big suprise come Thursday AM..

Bring on the crow!

Meso · #6 Postby **Meso** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 3:26 pm

Now now... E is no joke... jk...

Anyway...I think the system will probably exit as a TD but become a TS very soon after it moves offshore.. but that's just my opinion

SCMedic · #7 Postby **SCMedic** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 3:27 pm

I believe you're correct Meso...

It's not going to be automatically upgraded just cause it's over water..Now given a few hours, it should be with further deepening. GFDL has it at 981mb at landfall here.

#8 Postby **StormTracker** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 3:33 pm

As weird as E has been since he was born, it wouldn't surprise me if it became a Cat2 before 2nd landfall!!!

#9 Postby **AnnularCane** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 3:41 pm

StormTracker wrote::roll: As weird as E has been since he was born, it wouldn't surprise me if it became a Cat2 before 2nd landfall!!!

Nothing he does surprises me any more. Maybe he will turn around and hit Alaska. :lol:

#10 Postby **CrazyC83** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 4:22 pm

I think he may become a TS (or STS) while still on land...the pressure is still dropping. I also think he may be more subtropical now.

huricanwatcher · #11 Postby **huricanwatcher** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 4:23 pm

Ernie exited FL faster than anticipated - so who knows what he has up his sleeve for us up the coast..... :coaster:

Epsilon_Fan · #12 Postby **Epsilon_Fan** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 4:49 pm

he seems to be "organizing" convection-wise as he approaches the Fla coast... almost as if he wants to get a head-start to strengthening

Could Ernie have something he wants to prove :lol:

Regit · #13 Postby **Regit** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 4:52 pm

Looks like it may be off the coast right around the 8PM advisory. But if it holds up, it should be a TS by the 11PM. Again, that's IF it holds up.

Josephine96 · #14 Postby **Josephine96** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 4:55 pm

Being a TS at 11 wouldn't surprise me, seems to be showing signs of trying to organize..

huricanwatcher · #15 Postby **huricanwatcher** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 4:56 pm

Josephine96, TS by 8 ..... what ya talkin bout WILLIS?

Josephine96 · #16 Postby **Josephine96** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 5:08 pm

I said 11.. not 8.. :lol:

But if it is somhehow a TS @ 8.. I'll take the credit thank ya :wink:

huricanwatcher · #17 Postby **huricanwatcher** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 5:12 pm

Josephine96, no you wont HAHAHAHAHA>....... :lilangel:

Josephine96 · #18 Postby **Josephine96** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 5:19 pm

ok, I won't..

huricanwatcher · #19 Postby **huricanwatcher** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 6:57 pm

Josephine96, ok you win this one.. ... still TD .....

any bets on 11pm?

Josephine96 · #20 Postby **Josephine96** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 8:54 pm

11pm it is.. :lol:

Ernesto: TS after leaving coast?

Ernesto: TS after leaving coast?

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