What is going on here?!

[dixiebreeze]

Ernesto never looked this good before. Anyone know the cause of this huge blow-up?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/rb-l.jpg

[Brent]

Ernesto never looked this good before. Anyone know the cause of this huge blow-up?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/rb-l.jpg

Daytime heating?

[Ground_Zero_92]

Just curious, is there still a tornado threat?

[Cyclenall]

Ernesto never looked this good before. Anyone know the cause of this huge blow-up?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/rb-l.jpg

It looks way better then before. This storm is so weird.

[HurricaneHunter914]

This is probably the first time I have ever seen a TC look better organized over LAND. Lake Okeechobee has some really warm water.

[weatherwoman]

i think it is going to redevelop real fast. it looks better now than it did when it came on shore

[HurricaneHunter914]

The lady on the news said that Ernesto is fizzling!
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/avn.jpg
DOES THAT LOOK LIKE A FIZZLINF STORM TO YOU!

[SCMedic]

I think we're looking at a possibly bad situation this time tomorrow here in Charleston. I can tell you that aside from county government, no one is taking this seriously..

I agree whole heartedly with you Weatherwoman.

[decgirl66]

It is starting to get dark here real fast!

[Grease Monkey]

it looks better now than it did when it came on shore

Which isn't saying much. Ern still looks like a mess to me with an added blow-up of convection. I need to see organization to think it will rapidly develop once he comes off shore.

[the_winds_that_sheared_me]

Wow! I just got home from being rained out at work and have to say, this is one backwards acting storm. Surely it has to deal with diurnal heating, the front to the west, and the swampy terrain of S Fla but could it be that the worst the storm has to offer Florida may be as the storm exits the coast rather than the landfall point?? Have there been any tornado warnings?

[weatherwoman]

well maybe a few of us will be ready. i think by tonite they are going to have to update some stuff.

[dizzyfish]

Just curious, is there still a tornado threat?

I heard that there is still a threat near the coast.

[KBBOCA]

My goodness. I've been away from my computer for hours, and just pulled up the latest AVN image, mostly out of habit, expecting there would hardly be anything worth seeing.

Gee was I surprised. This is fascinating, would really be interested in hearing from Mets or the NHC about what is happening -- is it the Lake O / Everglades effect?

Is the increase in convection corresponding to lower pressures & higher winds, or is it just more rain and better organization?

[jasons2k]

From the models/Sat thread posted this AM:

Well, the cloud pattern looks better organized than it did yesterday over water. The additional frictional convergence that occurs over land is a likely culprit. Nevertheless, the increased friction, while it may increase convergence at low levels in the short term and even enhance convection (as it appears to be doing with Ernesto), also means a decrease in the surface winds.