How many more Hurricanes/tropical storms will we see?

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bucman1
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How many more Hurricanes/tropical storms will we see?

#1 Postby bucman1 » Wed Aug 30, 2006 12:23 pm

Do you think this will be a long late running season with storms into November?
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Steve
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#2 Postby Steve » Wed Aug 30, 2006 12:25 pm

I don't know.
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#3 Postby bucman1 » Wed Aug 30, 2006 12:28 pm

Steve,

You can do better than that.

I say 6.
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#4 Postby beachbum_al » Wed Aug 30, 2006 12:29 pm

I don't mean to be rude but that type of question can not be answered. No one knows how many more storms we are going to have and how long they are going to run. Minus well go get a magic 8 ball from Wal-Mart and ask that question to it and it might give you an answer that is correct but it was by luck. I don't think this is a questions people will have a correct answer to.
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#5 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Wed Aug 30, 2006 12:30 pm

Less than 5 named storms, 1 more hurricane, no majors.
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#6 Postby bucman1 » Wed Aug 30, 2006 12:32 pm

Just trying to make a little conversation while things are not so stessed!!!
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#7 Postby cinlfla » Wed Aug 30, 2006 12:34 pm

I'm going to say maybe 5 more I'm not sure if any of them will be major though
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#8 Postby Cryomaniac » Wed Aug 30, 2006 12:44 pm

I'm going to repeat the prediction I made before Debby and Ernesto, total of 9 named storms, 3 hurricanes, 1 major hurricane.
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#9 Postby windycity » Wed Aug 30, 2006 1:03 pm

Nope, i dont see this being a late season.Its probably going to end up being average, or below average in named storms. I dont feel we will even have a major this year. Now, things could change,but nature is resting after last year. Sorry, i know my answer isnt a popular one, but then alot of us want a break. 8-)
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#10 Postby weatherwoman » Wed Aug 30, 2006 1:33 pm

beachbum_al wrote:I don't mean to be rude but that type of question can not be answered. No one knows how many more storms we are going to have and how long they are going to run. Minus well go get a magic 8 ball from Wal-Mart and ask that question to it and it might give you an answer that is correct but it was by luck. I don't think this is a questions people will have a correct answer to.


well said people just have nothing better to talk about look the nhc didnt know what was going on here its gone from la to sc so hey how can we even begin to guess how many more we will have out there.
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Steve
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#11 Postby Steve » Wed Aug 30, 2006 2:10 pm

>>Steve,
>>You can do better than that.
>>I say 6.

8-) Bu-bu-bu-but I really don't. I know it wasn't the answer you were looking for, but...

It's really difficult to say. Will re-analysis bring us a named storm that we never had? Is Jim Hughes right about the El Nino? Are others right about 2002 ending up being a decent comparison year? If so, we probably get to 12-14 named storms (we're up to 5 so far). That would be my roughest estimate. But to really answer your question, "I don't know" is the truth. :D

Steve
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#12 Postby SouthFloridawx » Wed Aug 30, 2006 2:12 pm

I say we see 8-9 more storms and 4-5 Hurricanes and gonna throw in 2 Majors for good measure.

Its fun doing these polls sometimes.
Last edited by SouthFloridawx on Wed Aug 30, 2006 2:15 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#13 Postby gtalum » Wed Aug 30, 2006 2:13 pm

7.
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#14 Postby Brent » Wed Aug 30, 2006 2:15 pm

I'm going to say six, 3 hurricanes, 1 major. I am not impressed with this season at all so those numbers may be too high...

I think the majority will be in September. No major ones after Early October.
Last edited by Brent on Wed Aug 30, 2006 2:34 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#15 Postby Swimdude » Wed Aug 30, 2006 2:17 pm

Unfortunately, I have no doubt we'll see a major this year. When's the last time in recent memory a season HASN'T seen a major? Yeah...
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#16 Postby gtalum » Wed Aug 30, 2006 2:24 pm

1994 is the last year I can find without a major. :)

If Storm2k had been around in '94, posters would have been committing suicide. :lol:
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#17 Postby AnnularCane » Wed Aug 30, 2006 2:54 pm

gtalum wrote:1994 is the last year I can find without a major. :)

If Storm2k had been around in '94, posters would have been committing suicide. :lol:


Half those suicides would probably have been from trying to predict Gordon alone. :lol:
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#18 Postby gilbert88 » Wed Aug 30, 2006 2:55 pm

I think there'll be at least 9 more named storms, 4 hurricanes (2 in September and 2 in October), of which 2 will be major hurricanes. Both will make landfall as majors.

That would be all the way to Nadine.. I'm looking forward for a crowded September (many weak storms) and a nasty early October (two major hurricanes).
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#19 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Aug 30, 2006 2:59 pm

12 more named storms, 7 more hurricanes, 4 majors.
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#20 Postby Patrick99 » Wed Aug 30, 2006 3:40 pm

I actually think we will see another late October major.

Strangely enough, I don't feel that September will be all that threatening. There's always SOMETHING with the Cape Verde waves this year.....some reason why they can't develop, or when they do develop, why they weaken.

There's always an upper level low in the wrong place, shear, dry air, or some combination of the 3. I think the best chance at a major this year is a late October reincarnation of Wilma/Mitch/Michelle.
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