Hurricane Ernesto - Cat. 1

[cycloneye]

SXXX50 KNHC 292345
AF300 1805A ERNESTO HDOB 17 KNHC
2332. 2436N 08015W 01523 0017 162 013 176 170 013 01542 0000000000
2333 2435N 08014W 01526 0018 162 013 168 168 013 01545 0000000000
2333. 2434N 08013W 01524 0019 166 015 172 168 016 01544 0000000000
2334 2433N 08011W 01524 0020 171 016 176 160 017 01545 0000000000
2334. 2432N 08010W 01521 0018 170 018 182 158 018 01540 0000000000
2335 2431N 08009W 01527 0018 168 016 182 156 017 01546 0000000000
2335. 2430N 08008W 01523 0019 179 015 184 154 018 01543 0000000000
2336 2429N 08007W 01523 0018 184 020 184 152 021 01542 0000000000
2336. 2428N 08005W 01522 0018 182 025 182 152 027 01541 0000000000
2337 2426N 08004W 01526 0019 181 029 174 164 029 01546 0000000000
2337. 2425N 08003W 01525 0022 183 031 170 162 031 01548 0000000000
2338 2424N 08002W 01524 0023 187 030 174 160 031 01548 0000000000
2338. 2423N 08001W 01523 0024 191 032 176 158 034 01547 0000000000
2339 2422N 08000W 01526 0023 194 036 176 162 036 01550 0000000000
2339. 2421N 07959W 01522 0021 194 037 176 152 039 01543 0000000000
2340 2420N 07958W 01526 0020 196 039 172 156 039 01547 0000000000
2340. 2419N 07956W 01523 0023 200 042 170 152 044 01547 0000000000
2341 2418N 07955W 01524 0025 203 046 170 154 046 01551 0000000000
2341. 2417N 07954W 01525 0029 209 045 176 146 046 01555 0000000000
2342 2416N 07953W 01523 0031 210 042 180 140 043 01555 0000000000

[cycloneye]

651
URNT12 KNHC 292345
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 29/23:28:20Z
B. 24 deg 45 min N
080 deg 24 min W
C. 850 mb 1466 m
D. 20 kt
E. 312 deg 076 nm
F. 039 deg 034 kt
G. 312 deg 041 nm
H. 1004 mb
I. 17 C/ 1522 m
J. 18 C/ 1523 m
K. 18 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 134 / 8
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF300 1805A ERNESTO OB 04
MAX FL WIND 34 KT NW QUAD 23:16:20 Z
;

[cycloneye]

Pressure down to 1004.

[MiamiensisWx]

New vortex data in... lower pressure of 1004 millibars measured and 46KT at flight level shortly after the vortex. Rather tenacious system for sure.

[Thunder44]

[tgenius]

I'm rather surprised the pressure has dropped.. will that wind get anywhere near Miami? I want to decide if I will open my shutters or not

[cycloneye]

WTNT35 KNHC 292354
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 21A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052006
800 PM EDT TUE AUG 29 2006

...ERNESTO NOT STRENGTHENING AS IT NEARS SOUTH FLORIDA...HURRICANE
WATCHES IN FLORIDA DISCONTINUED...

AT 8 PM EDT...0000Z...ALL HURRICANE WATCHES FOR FLORIDA ARE
DISCONTINUED.

AT 9 PM EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS WILL DISCONTINUE ALL
HURRICANE WATCHES IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM ENGLEWOOD ON THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST SOUTHWARD...AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...AND
NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA...INCLUDING ALL THE FLORIDA
KEYS AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ANDROS ISLAND...THE
BERRY ISLANDS...THE BIMINIS AND GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND IN THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ENGLEWOOD TO
TARPON SPRINGS FLORIDA.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND TO CAPE
FEAR NORTH CAROLINA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.4 WEST OR ABOUT 15
MILES...25 KM...SOUTHEAST OF ISLAMORADA FLORIDA AND ABOUT 70
MILES...115 KM...SOUTH OF MIAMI FLORIDA.

ERNESTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT. ON
THIS TRACK...THE CENTER WILL BE CROSSING THE FLORIDA KEYS DURING THE
NEXT HOUR OR TWO...AND REACHING THE FLORIDA PENINSULA NEAR
MIDNIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED PRIOR TO LANDFALL.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE OF 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE TRACK OF
ERNESTO OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTH FLORIDA INCLUDING THE KEYS THROUGH
WEDNESDAY...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 6
INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 4 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE OVER THE BAHAMAS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHERN FLORIDA INCLUDING THE
KEYS THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.

REPEATING THE 800 PM EDT POSITION...24.8 N...80.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN

[rnbaida]

Tropical Storm Public Advisory

Statement as of 8:00 PM EDT on August 29, 2006



...Ernesto not strengthening as it nears South Florida...hurricane
watches in Florida discontinued...

at 8 PM EDT...0000z...all hurricane watches for Florida are
discontinued.
At 9 PM EDT...the government of the Bahamas will discontinue all
hurricane watches in the northwestern Bahamas.
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect from Englewood on the
Florida West Coast southward...around the Florida Peninsula...and
northward to Altamaha Sound Georgia...including all the Florida
Keys and Lake Okeechobee.
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for Andros Island...the
Berry Islands...the biminis and Grand Bahama Island in the
northwestern Bahamas.
A tropical storm watch remains in effect from north of Englewood to
Tarpon Springs Florida.

A Hurricane Watch remains in effect north of Altamaha Sound to Cape
Fear North Carolina.

For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.

At 800 PM EDT...0000z...the center of Tropical Storm Ernesto was
located near latitude 24.8 north...longitude 80.4 west or about 15
miles...25 km...southeast of Islamorada Florida and about 70
miles...115 km...south of Miami Florida.

Ernesto is moving toward the northwest near 13 mph...20 km/hr...and
this general motion is expected to continue today and tonight. On
this track...the center will be crossing the Florida Keys during the
next hour or two...and reaching the Florida Peninsula near
midnight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph...75 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Little change in strength is expected prior to landfall.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles...165 km
from the center.

An Air Force hurricane hunter aircraft reported a minimum central
pressure of 1004 mb...29.65 inches.

Coastal storm surge flooding of 1 to 3 feet above normal tide levels
can be expected in areas of onshore flow within the warning area.

Rainfall totals of 5 to 10 inches are possible near the track of
Ernesto over central and South Florida including the Keys through
Wednesday...with isolated amounts up to 15 inches possible.
Rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches with isolated amounts up to 6
inches are expected over eastern and central Cuba. Rainfall
amounts of 1 to 2 inches with isolated amounts of 4 inches are
possible over the Bahamas.

Isolated tornadoes are possible over southern Florida including the
Keys this evening and tonight.

Repeating the 800 PM EDT position...24.8 N...80.4 W. Movement
toward...northwest near 13 mph. Maximum sustained winds...45 mph.
Minimum central pressure...1004 mb.

The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at
1100 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Franklin

[Thunder44]

526
SXXX50 KNHC 292355
AF300 1805A ERNESTO HDOB 18 KNHC
2342. 2415N 07952W 01524 0030 208 039 182 136 040 01555 0000000000
2343 2414N 07951W 01524 0032 210 038 184 140 039 01558 0000000000
2343. 2412N 07949W 01523 0032 209 036 180 146 037 01556 0000000000
2344 2411N 07948W 01526 0037 210 035 182 150 036 01564 0000000000
2344. 2410N 07947W 01521 0040 208 036 184 150 036 01562 0000000000
2345 2409N 07946W 01527 0043 205 035 186 150 036 01571 0000000000
2345. 2408N 07945W 01523 0044 206 033 182 154 034 01568 0000000000
2346 2407N 07943W 01523 0043 206 033 180 156 034 01567 0000000000
2346. 2406N 07942W 01524 0046 211 033 180 152 034 01571 0000000000
2347 2405N 07941W 01526 0043 209 032 178 154 032 01571 0000000000
2347. 2404N 07940W 01522 0043 212 032 174 160 032 01566 0000000000
2348 2402N 07939W 01524 0044 213 031 178 156 032 01569 0000000000
2348. 2401N 07938W 01525 0044 215 029 172 166 030 01570 0000000000
2349 2400N 07936W 01524 0044 210 030 174 162 030 01569 0000000000
2349. 2359N 07935W 01525 0042 210 029 176 158 030 01569 0000000000
2350 2358N 07934W 01522 0045 211 030 172 166 031 01568 0000000000
2350. 2357N 07933W 01526 0045 209 031 174 164 032 01572 0000000000
2351 2356N 07932W 01521 0046 207 032 168 164 032 01568 0000000000
2351. 2354N 07930W 01528 0049 206 031 170 166 031 01579 0000000000
2352 2353N 07929W 01522 0050 213 029 170 170 031 01573 0000000000

[Thunder44]

SXXX50 KNHC 300005
AF300 1805A ERNESTO HDOB 19 KNHC
2352. 2352N 07928W 01524 0052 210 030 170 162 030 01578 0000000000
2353 2351N 07927W 01526 0052 209 028 170 162 029 01579 0000000000
2353. 2350N 07926W 01522 0052 207 028 170 164 028 01575 0000000000
2354 2349N 07924W 01524 0053 202 027 166 160 028 01577 0000000000
2354. 2348N 07923W 01526 0054 201 029 170 152 030 01580 0000000000
2355 2347N 07922W 01525 0054 203 031 174 166 032 01581 0000000000
2355. 2345N 07921W 01521 0056 203 032 176 146 033 01578 0000000000
2356 2344N 07920W 01527 0055 202 031 172 158 032 01583 0000000000
2356. 2343N 07919W 01524 0055 201 029 172 156 029 01580 0000000000
2357 2342N 07917W 01524 0056 204 029 174 158 030 01581 0000000000
2357. 2341N 07916W 01524 0055 205 029 176 156 030 01580 0000000000
2358 2340N 07915W 01522 0057 207 029 178 152 030 01580 0000000000
2358. 2339N 07914W 01526 0058 207 030 180 152 030 01585 0000000000
2359 2338N 07913W 01523 0058 207 029 180 150 030 01582 0000000000
2359. 2337N 07911W 01524 0059 206 029 180 150 029 01584 0000000000
0000 2335N 07910W 01525 0060 206 030 178 148 031 01587 0000000000
0000. 2334N 07909W 01524 0060 205 030 180 156 030 01585 0000000000
0001 2333N 07908W 01523 0061 204 029 176 160 030 01585 0000000000
0001. 2332N 07907W 01526 0063 206 029 176 160 030 01590 0000000000
0002 2331N 07906W 01523 0063 210 030 176 158 031 01587 0000000000


457
SXXX50 KNHC 300015
AF300 1805A ERNESTO HDOB 20 KNHC
0002. 2330N 07904W 01523 0063 211 031 176 160 031 01587 0000000000
0003 2329N 07903W 01526 0065 211 031 174 162 032 01592 0000000000
0003. 2327N 07902W 01523 0067 210 030 172 164 030 01592 0000000000
0004 2327N 07900W 01527 0066 207 030 174 160 030 01595 0000000000
0004. 2328N 07859W 01521 0067 207 031 174 164 032 01589 0000000000
0005 2330N 07858W 01525 0065 202 029 172 166 030 01591 0000000000
0005. 2332N 07859W 01522 0061 201 029 172 164 029 01585 0000000000
0006 2333N 07859W 01524 0060 201 027 176 156 028 01585 0000000000
0006. 2335N 07900W 01524 0061 198 028 172 166 029 01587 0000000000
0007 2337N 07901W 01524 0060 198 030 174 162 030 01585 0000000000
0007. 2339N 07901W 01525 0059 200 030 180 152 030 01585 0000000000
0008 2341N 07901W 01522 0060 200 032 176 156 032 01583 0000000000
0008. 2343N 07901W 01526 0060 200 031 180 150 031 01587 0000000000
0009 2345N 07901W 01523 0059 201 032 180 150 032 01583 0000000000
0009. 2346N 07901W 01524 0058 199 033 176 152 033 01584 0000000000
0010 2348N 07901W 01524 0057 198 032 176 152 032 01583 0000000000
0010. 2350N 07901W 01523 0059 198 031 176 156 031 01583 0000000000
0011 2352N 07901W 01525 0058 198 031 176 154 031 01584 0000000000
0011. 2354N 07902W 01523 0058 198 032 178 150 032 01582 0000000000
0012 2356N 07902W 01525 0060 197 032 176 154 032 01586 0000000000

[Thunder44]

SXXX50 KNHC 300025
AF300 1805A ERNESTO HDOB 21 KNHC
0012. 2358N 07902W 01525 0058 196 032 176 152 032 01584 0000000000
0013 2400N 07902W 01523 0056 196 031 180 152 032 01580 0000000000
0013. 2402N 07902W 01527 0056 194 031 176 154 031 01584 0000000000
0014 2404N 07902W 01520 0056 193 031 176 160 031 01578 0000000000
0014. 2405N 07902W 01526 0054 192 031 170 162 031 01582 0000000000
0015 2407N 07902W 01524 0059 190 032 170 160 032 01585 0000000000
0015. 2409N 07902W 01522 0060 190 030 172 154 031 01583 0000000000
0016 2411N 07902W 01526 0056 191 030 170 158 031 01583 0000000000
0016. 2413N 07902W 01525 0057 189 031 170 158 032 01583 0000000000
0017 2415N 07903W 01521 0057 188 031 172 154 031 01580 0000000000
0017. 2417N 07903W 01526 0059 187 030 176 148 030 01586 0000000000
0018 2419N 07903W 01525 0061 188 030 176 150 030 01587 0000000000
0018. 2421N 07903W 01522 0058 189 030 176 148 030 01581 0000000000
0019 2423N 07903W 01526 0059 188 031 176 154 032 01586 0000000000
0019. 2425N 07903W 01522 0061 186 032 172 160 032 01584 0000000000
0020 2427N 07903W 01525 0062 183 032 170 158 033 01588 0000000000
0020. 2429N 07903W 01522 0063 181 033 174 152 033 01587 0000000000
0021 2430N 07903W 01524 0060 184 033 176 158 033 01586 0000000000
0021. 2432N 07903W 01525 0067 180 031 178 152 032 01593 0000000000
0022 2434N 07904W 01526 0071 175 032 178 158 032 01599 0000000000






000

SXXX50 KNHC 300035
AF300 1805A ERNESTO HDOB 22 KNHC
0022. 2436N 07904W 01521 0070 174 032 176 158 032 01592 0000000000
0023 2438N 07904W 01524 0072 174 033 176 156 034 01597 0000000000
0023. 2440N 07904W 01523 0085 176 032 174 162 033 01609 0000000000
0024 2442N 07904W 01524 0087 179 031 170 162 032 01612 0000000000
0024. 2444N 07904W 01526 0097 178 033 170 164 033 01624 0000000000
0025 2446N 07904W 01521 0100 177 032 172 158 033 01622 0000000000
0025. 2448N 07904W 01525 0112 173 032 174 154 032 01639 0000000000
0026 2450N 07904W 01525 0113 173 032 174 152 032 01639 0000000000
0026. 2452N 07904W 01522 0119 171 031 176 154 031 01643 0000000000
0027 2454N 07905W 01527 0127 170 032 172 154 032 01656 0000000000
0027. 2455N 07905W 01522 0086 167 032 172 158 032 01611 0000000000
0028 2457N 07905W 01526 0057 164 033 170 160 034 01615 0000000000
0028. 2459N 07905W 01521 0058 164 034 170 160 035 01611 0000000000
0029 2501N 07905W 01526 0058 158 036 162 162 038 01615 0000000000
0029. 2503N 07905W 01525 0058 162 033 166 166 034 01615 0000000000
0030 2505N 07905W 01523 0059 160 034 168 168 034 01614 0000000000
0030. 2507N 07905W 01523 0059 159 034 170 166 034 01615 0000000000
0031 2509N 07905W 01526 0060 160 033 168 164 034 01618 0000000000
0031. 2511N 07905W 01522 0059 157 035 166 166 036 01613 0000000000
0032 2513N 07906W 01525 0060 156 035 170 166 035 01617 0000000000

[Thunder44]

672
SXXX50 KNHC 300045
AF300 1805A ERNESTO HDOB 23 KNHC
0032. 2515N 07906W 01523 0060 156 035 170 162 036 01615 0000000000
0033 2517N 07906W 01526 0061 153 037 170 164 038 01619 0000000000
0033. 2519N 07906W 01523 0061 153 038 170 164 038 01616 0000000000
0034 2521N 07906W 01524 0061 152 039 170 166 040 01617 0000000000
0034. 2523N 07906W 01523 0061 149 040 170 170 041 01616 0000000000
0035 2524N 07906W 01528 0061 152 043 164 164 044 01621 0000000000
0035. 2526N 07906W 01519 0061 153 042 168 168 042 01613 0000000000
0036 2528N 07906W 01527 0062 153 042 172 162 042 01621 0000000000
0036. 2530N 07906W 01523 0062 152 042 174 166 042 01617 0000000000
0037 2532N 07906W 01524 0063 152 042 172 160 042 01618 0000000000
0037. 2534N 07907W 01526 0063 151 044 168 154 045 01621 0000000000
0038 2536N 07907W 01522 0063 150 042 168 154 043 01617 0000000000
0038. 2538N 07907W 01525 0063 151 044 170 144 044 01621 0000000000
0039 2540N 07907W 01525 0063 153 044 168 150 045 01620 0000000000
0039. 2542N 07907W 01521 0064 157 041 160 154 042 01617 0000000000
0040 2544N 07907W 01527 0065 159 039 150 150 040 01624 0000000000
0040. 2546N 07907W 01522 0065 159 039 170 158 040 01619 0000000000
0041 2548N 07907W 01527 0064 159 035 148 148 038 01623 0000000000
0041. 2550N 07907W 01526 0063 154 034 140 140 036 01621 0000000000
0042 2552N 07908W 01522 0062 145 033 146 146 033 01617 0000000000

[Thunder44]

798
SXXX50 KNHC 300055
AF300 1805A ERNESTO HDOB 24 KNHC
0042. 2554N 07908W 01525 0062 140 034 146 146 036 01619 0000000000
0043 2556N 07908W 01526 0064 139 037 148 148 039 01622 0000000000
0043. 2558N 07908W 01524 0062 133 037 144 144 039 01618 0000000000
0044 2559N 07908W 01522 0064 124 030 140 140 033 01618 0000000000
0044. 2601N 07908W 01527 0068 130 031 146 146 034 01627 0000000000
0045 2603N 07908W 01533 0074 129 039 156 156 040 01639 0000000000
0045. 2605N 07908W 01509 0071 150 040 164 164 041 01612 0000000000
0046 2607N 07908W 01526 0072 149 041 166 166 041 01630 0000000000
0046. 2609N 07908W 01523 0072 147 041 170 170 042 01627 0000000000
0047 2611N 07908W 01524 0071 147 041 170 170 041 01627 0000000000
0047. 2613N 07909W 01523 0072 146 041 170 170 042 01627 0000000000
0048 2615N 07909W 01525 0073 143 041 166 166 042 01630 0000000000
0048. 2617N 07909W 01524 0074 142 040 168 168 040 01629 0000000000
0049 2619N 07909W 01523 0075 142 038 166 166 038 01630 0000000000
0049. 2620N 07910W 01531 0079 144 038 170 170 039 01642 0000000000
0050 2620N 07912W 01522 0076 141 035 168 168 036 01630 0000000000
0050. 2619N 07913W 01522 0072 140 036 166 166 036 01627 0000000000
0051 2618N 07914W 01526 0072 138 036 164 164 036 01630 0000000000
0051. 2616N 07915W 01523 0072 140 036 166 166 037 01627 0000000000
0052 2615N 07917W 01524 0071 138 038 166 166 038 01626 0000000000

[Thunder44]

907
SXXX50 KNHC 300105
AF300 1805A ERNESTO HDOB 25 KNHC
0052. 2614N 07918W 01525 0070 138 037 168 168 037 01627 0000000000
0053 2613N 07919W 01523 0069 133 038 170 170 038 01624 0000000000
0053. 2612N 07921W 01525 0068 127 038 172 172 038 01625 0000000000
0054 2611N 07922W 01525 0065 120 038 172 172 040 01622 0000000000
0054. 2609N 07923W 01533 0066 108 034 162 162 038 01631 0000000000
0055 2608N 07925W 01511 0062 119 020 156 156 024 01605 0000000000
0055. 2607N 07926W 01524 0062 112 015 154 154 018 01618 0000000000
0056 2606N 07927W 01523 0063 124 022 152 152 027 01618 0000000000
0056. 2605N 07929W 01523 0063 137 025 160 160 026 01619 0000000000
0057 2603N 07930W 01525 0063 142 024 174 154 025 01620 0000000000
0057. 2602N 07931W 01524 0063 135 025 174 152 026 01619 0000000000
0058 2601N 07933W 01524 0064 134 027 172 166 028 01619 0000000000
0058. 2600N 07934W 01525 0063 130 029 164 164 030 01620 0000000000
0059 2559N 07935W 01524 0063 133 031 162 162 031 01619 0000000000
0059. 2558N 07936W 01523 0062 132 030 162 162 031 01617 0000000000
0100 2557N 07938W 01525 0061 132 030 164 164 031 01618 0000000000
0100. 2555N 07939W 01522 0061 135 029 162 162 030 01615 0000000000
0101 2554N 07940W 01524 0059 134 030 162 162 030 01616 0000000000
0101. 2553N 07942W 01525 0060 133 028 162 162 029 01617 0000000000
0102 2552N 07943W 01524 0059 134 028 164 164 028 01614 0000000000



Coming in for another pass

[Thunder44]

052
SXXX50 KNHC 300116
AF300 1805A ERNESTO HDOB 26 KNHC
0102. 2551N 07944W 01524 0059 132 028 164 164 029 01615 0000000000
0103 2550N 07946W 01524 0058 124 028 162 162 030 01614 0000000000
0103. 2548N 07947W 01524 0059 128 028 166 166 029 01614 0000000000
0104 2547N 07948W 01525 0058 125 031 154 154 031 01614 0000000000
0104. 2546N 07950W 01525 0055 121 032 144 144 032 01611 0000000000
0105 2545N 07951W 01524 0055 121 029 146 146 032 01611 0000000000
0105. 2544N 07952W 01523 0055 132 020 160 160 020 01610 0000000000
0106 2542N 07954W 01526 0056 129 021 168 168 024 01614 0000000000
0106. 2541N 07955W 01521 0055 133 026 172 170 026 01609 0000000000
0107 2540N 07956W 01526 0054 133 024 156 156 027 01612 0000000000
0107. 2539N 07957W 01524 0054 129 022 164 164 025 01610 0000000000
0108 2538N 07959W 01524 0053 133 025 176 172 025 01609 0000000000
0108. 2537N 08000W 01523 0053 131 026 176 164 027 01609 0000000000
0109 2535N 08001W 01526 0053 128 027 174 164 029 01610 0000000000
0109. 2534N 08003W 01524 0052 130 029 170 170 029 01608 0000000000
0110 2533N 08004W 01524 0052 127 028 166 166 028 01562 0000000000
0110. 2532N 08005W 01524 0041 126 027 166 166 027 01561 0000000000
0111 2531N 08007W 01524 0036 128 028 166 166 028 01560 0000000000
0111. 2529N 08008W 01524 0035 128 030 166 166 030 01560 0000000000
0112 2528N 08009W 01524 0034 128 031 174 160 032 01559 0000000000

[Thunder44]

944
SXXX50 KNHC 300125
AF300 1805A ERNESTO HDOB 27 KNHC
0112. 2527N 08011W 01524 0032 125 028 176 158 031 01558 0000000000
0113 2526N 08012W 01524 0031 125 029 178 152 030 01556 0000000000
0113. 2525N 08013W 01525 0029 122 030 180 152 031 01555 0000000000
0114 2524N 08015W 01523 0029 122 032 178 150 033 01553 0000000000
0114. 2522N 08016W 01526 0028 119 033 170 154 033 01555 0000000000
0115 2521N 08017W 01524 0029 118 031 168 158 033 01554 0000000000
0115. 2520N 08019W 01524 0026 119 032 170 156 032 01551 0000000000
0116 2519N 08020W 01522 0025 117 030 172 162 031 01548 0000000000
0116. 2517N 08021W 01525 0023 113 030 172 172 032 01549 0000000000
0117 2516N 08022W 01525 0023 106 027 172 172 029 01549 0000000000
0117. 2515N 08024W 01527 0022 109 026 162 162 028 01550 0000000000
0118 2513N 08025W 01519 0020 104 029 180 156 030 01541 0000000000
0118. 2512N 08026W 01528 0021 098 029 182 150 030 01550 0000000000
0119 2510N 08027W 01522 0018 093 029 178 150 029 01542 0000000000
0119. 2509N 08027W 01525 0018 094 027 178 148 028 01543 0000000000
0120 2507N 08028W 01524 0016 093 026 176 150 027 01540 0000000000
0120. 2506N 08029W 01524 0014 088 023 174 158 023 01538 0000000000
0121 2504N 08029W 01524 0013 081 019 170 170 020 01538 0000000000
0121. 2502N 08030W 01524 0013 077 019 170 170 020 01538 0000000000
0122 2501N 08029W 01523 0011 076 017 170 170 018 01535 0000000000

[Thunder44]

897
SXXX50 KNHC 300135
AF300 1805A ERNESTO HDOB 28 KNHC
0122. 2459N 08029W 01524 0006 080 014 172 170 015 01531 0000000000
0123 2457N 08029W 01524 0004 079 013 174 160 013 01529 0000000000
0123. 2456N 08029W 01526 0003 082 011 178 158 013 01530 0000000000
0124 2454N 08028W 01524 0003 073 007 180 156 009 01528 0000000000
0124. 2452N 08028W 01523 0002 023 004 176 164 005 01526 0000000000
0125 2451N 08028W 01523 0001 052 003 180 164 004 01525 0000000000
0125. 2450N 08029W 01526 0003 049 004 182 164 005 01530 0000000000
0126 2448N 08031W 01523 0003 053 005 186 170 005 01526 0000000000
0126. 2447N 08032W 01525 0004 055 005 186 174 006 01530 0000000000
0127 2446N 08033W 01524 0006 056 003 190 172 004 01531 0000000000
0127. 2445N 08035W 01524 0006 334 002 190 174 003 01530 0000000000
0128 2444N 08036W 01524 0006 321 004 198 164 006 01531 0000000000
0128. 2443N 08037W 01524 0005 326 008 196 168 010 01530 0000000000
0129 2441N 08039W 01524 0009 322 012 194 176 014 01534 0000000000
0129. 2440N 08040W 01524 0018 320 017 190 178 018 01543 0000000000
0130 2439N 08041W 01522 0021 318 022 188 182 023 01544 0000000000
0130. 2438N 08043W 01525 0006 315 026 186 186 029 01532 0000000000
0131 2437N 08044W 01525 0008 321 029 184 182 029 01533 0000000000
0131. 2436N 08045W 01525 0009 313 031 186 176 033 01535 0000000000
0132 2434N 08046W 01525 0011 314 028 182 170 029 01536 0000000000



Center pass, VDM Shortly

[brunota2003]

Even though this is not an advisory, it is only two counties to my south:

Hurricane Local Statement

TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT
AMZ250-252-254-256-NCZ087-096-097-099>101-SCZ017-023-024-032>034-
039-046-300400-

TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
806 PM EDT TUE AUG 29 2006

...TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WILL AFFECT THE CAROLINAS ON THURSDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...
THIS STATEMENT UPDATES THE CURRENT POSITION OF TROPICAL STORM
ERNESTO.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT IS FOR RESIDENTS OF THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN
NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...

GEORGETOWN...HORRY...WILLIAMSBURG...MARION...DILLON...
FLORENCE...DARLINGTON...AND MARLBORO.

AND IN SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...

BRUNSWICK...NEW HANOVER...PENDER... COLUMBUS...BLADEN...AND ROBESON.

...WATCHES...
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA...ALONG
THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST...AND TO CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA. A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON
THURSDAY.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 8 PM THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS JUST SOUTH OF THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA AT LATITUDE 24.8 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 80.4 WEST.
THE STORM WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH...AND IS
EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THE FORECAST
TRACK IS UNCERTAIN...BUT ERNESTO IS FORECAST TO MOVE UP THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA AND OFF THE FLORIDA EAST COAST WEDNESDAY
EVENING. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL THAT ERNESTO MAY REACH HURRICANE
STRENGTH BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. ERNESTO IS THEN FORECAST TO CROSS THE EASTERN
CAROLINAS THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS LIVING IN THE AREA SHOULD BEGIN PREPAREDNESS ACTIVITIES.
REFER TO YOUR PLAN FOR ACTIONS DURING A WEAK HURRICANE. KEEP A
SUPPLY OF NONPERISHABLE FOODS AND MEDICATIONS AT THE READY.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY ASSOCIATED WITH THE TRACK OF THIS WEAK
STORM...STORM SURGE IS FORECAST TO EXCEED THE TIDE BY UP TO THREE
FEET.

...WIND IMPACTS...
ALONG THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST AND CAPE FEAR REGION...TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY. THESE WINDS
WILL SPREAD NORTH ALONG THE COAST DURING THE DAY...AFFECTING THE
NORTH CAROLINA COAST BY LATE AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WILL DIMINISH FROM THE SOUTH THURSDAY NIGHT.

...FLOODING IMPACTS...
HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WILL DEVELOP
THURSDAY AND GRADUALLY END FROM THE SOUTH THURSDAY NIGHT. THREE TO
SIX INCHES OF RAIN IS EXPECTED...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS.
RIVER LEVELS ARE CURRENTLY WELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BUT COULD
RAPIDLY RISE IF HEAVY RAINFALL DEVELOPS.

...TORNADO IMPACTS...
TORNADOES WILL BECOME POSSIBLE THURSDAY...MAINLY NEAR THE
CENTER...AND TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF ERNESTO
MOVES. TORNADOES IN LANDFALLING TROPICAL SYSTEMS ARE GENERALLY
SMALL...FAST MOVING...AND DIFFICULT TO SEE DUE TO HEAVY RAINFALL.
KEEP A BATTERY POWERED NOAA WEATHER RADIO NEARBY TO WARN YOU OF
APPROACHING HAZARDS.

...INLAND WIND IMPACTS...
ACROSS INLAND AREAS WINDS OF 40 MPH WILL BECOME POSSIBLE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY EVENING AS THE CENTER OF ERNESTO MOVES
NORTH. HIGHER GUSTS MAY OCCUR WHICH COULD CAUSE SCATTERED POWER
OUTAGES AND MINOR TREE DAMAGE.

...RIP CURRENT IMPACTS...
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE BEACHES OF
SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA WEDNESDAY. THE RIP CURRENT RISK WILL
LIKELY BECOME HIGH ALONG ALL THE AREA BEACHES ON THURSDAY. RIP
CURRENTS CAN PULL EVEN EXPERIENCED SWIMMERS OUT TO SEA.

...HIGH SURF/BEACH EROSION IMPACTS...
SURF OF 2 TO 4 FEET WEDNESDAY WILL LIKELY BUILD TO 4 TO 6 FEET
THURSDAY...AND TO AS HIGH AS 8 FT THURSDAY NIGHT. MINOR TO
MODERATE BEACH EROSION IS LIKELY TO OCCUR IN MANY AREAS.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
WILMINGTON BY MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

$$

TRA

[Thunder44]

850
SXXX50 KNHC 300145
AF300 1805A ERNESTO HDOB 29 KNHC
0132. 2433N 08048W 01523 0011 313 029 172 172 029 01535 0000000000
0133 2432N 08049W 01525 0010 318 027 174 174 028 01536 0000000000
0133. 2431N 08050W 01522 0011 316 028 174 172 028 01534 0000000000
0134 2430N 08052W 01526 0012 315 031 168 168 031 01539 0000000000
0134. 2429N 08053W 01523 0013 314 031 170 160 032 01537 0000000000
0135 2428N 08054W 01525 0016 312 032 168 168 032 01541 0000000000
0135. 2427N 08055W 01525 0017 315 033 170 164 034 01543 0000000000
0136 2425N 08057W 01522 0020 317 034 174 154 034 01542 0000000000
0136. 2424N 08058W 01525 0023 316 032 170 156 032 01549 0000000000
0137 2423N 08059W 01523 0026 316 031 172 154 031 01550 0000000000
0137. 2422N 08101W 01522 0026 316 030 172 160 032 01549 0000000000
0138 2421N 08102W 01529 0028 317 030 168 168 031 01559 0000000000
0138. 2420N 08103W 01521 0028 324 028 168 168 029 01549 0000000000
0139 2418N 08105W 01523 0033 321 027 170 166 027 01557 0000000000
0139. 2417N 08106W 01525 0034 318 025 174 152 025 01560 0000000000
0140 2416N 08107W 01524 0036 319 024 172 150 024 01561 0000000000
0140. 2415N 08108W 01524 0038 319 023 170 152 023 01563 0000000000
0141 2413N 08110W 01526 0040 318 022 150 150 023 01567 0000000000
0141. 2413N 08111W 01526 0039 309 019 152 152 021 01566 0000000000
0142 2411N 08113W 01519 0038 323 021 170 170 022 01558 0000000000

[Thunder44]

161
URNT12 KNHC 300154
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 30/01:24:20Z
B. 24 deg 52 min N
080 deg 28 min W
C. 850 mb 1455 m
D. NA kt
E. NA deg nm
F. 117 deg 040 kt
G. 040 deg 098 nm
H. 1004 mb
I. 17 C/ 1525 m
J. 18 C/ 1523 m
K. 16 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 134 / 8
O. 0.02 / 6 nm
P. AF300 1805A ERNESTO OB 10
MAX FL WIND 46 KT SE QUAD 23:40:50 Z
FL CTR ELONGATED NE TO SW
;