Hurricane Ernesto - Cat. 1

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MiamiensisWx

#2761 Postby MiamiensisWx » Tue Aug 29, 2006 10:24 am

It would be good for RECON to explore the eastern and northern sides, too. Some higher winds may be found there.
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StormsAhead
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#2762 Postby StormsAhead » Tue Aug 29, 2006 10:27 am

UZNT13 KWBC 291510
XXAA 79158 99242 70793 08049 99009 25456 09522 00077 25040 09025
92762 22008 09036 85493 17809 10031 88999 77999
31313 09608 81504
61616 NOAA2 1505A ERNESTO OB 15
62626 SPL 2420N07935W 1507 WL150 09026 085 DLM WND 09529 008766 M
BL WND 08531=
XXBB 79158 99242 70793 08049 00009 25456 11992 24603 22972 23800
33926 22004 44919 22050 55912 21839 66905 21265 77897 20869 88866
19660 99785 124// 11766 14008
21212 00009 09522 11972 08537 22956 08533 33938 09538 44925 09036
55900 09543 66823 11517 77766 10024
31313 09608 81504
61616 NOAA2 1505A ERNESTO OB 15
62626 SPL 2420N07935W 1507 WL150 09026 085 DLM WND 09529 008766 M
BL WND 08531=

Surface 1009mb, 22 knots
938mb: 38 knots
925mb: 36 knots
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#2763 Postby StormsAhead » Tue Aug 29, 2006 10:28 am

SXXX50 KNHC 291522
AF308 1605A ERNESTO HDOB 21 KNHC
1512. 2239N 07817W 00423 0005 165 028 228 228 028 00440 0000000000
1513 2239N 07815W 00429 0006 165 027 224 224 028 00446 0000000000
1513. 2238N 07813W 00426 0006 168 027 232 230 027 00444 0000000000
1514 2238N 07812W 00427 0007 167 027 236 230 028 00446 0000000000
1514. 2238N 07811W 00427 0007 166 028 236 228 028 00445 0000000000
1515 2237N 07809W 00425 0007 167 030 234 230 031 00444 0000000000
1515. 2237N 07808W 00429 0007 169 030 230 228 030 00447 0000000000
1516 2237N 07806W 00425 0008 170 030 232 228 030 00445 0000000000
1516. 2237N 07805W 00428 0010 170 028 234 226 029 00449 0000000000
1517 2238N 07804W 00428 0009 167 030 230 228 031 00448 0000000000
1517. 2240N 07804W 00426 0008 164 030 230 226 031 00445 0000000000
1518 2241N 07804W 00427 0008 165 031 230 226 032 00447 0000000000
1518. 2243N 07804W 00425 0007 166 030 236 222 030 00444 0000000000
1519 2245N 07804W 00427 0007 166 031 236 224 031 00446 0000000000
1519. 2247N 07803W 00427 0007 167 031 240 220 032 00446 0000000000
1520 2249N 07803W 00427 0007 168 032 236 220 033 00445 0000000000
1520. 2251N 07803W 00426 0007 168 033 236 220 033 00445 0000000000
1521 2252N 07803W 00427 0006 168 033 236 224 033 00445 0000000000
1521. 2254N 07803W 00426 0006 167 032 236 222 033 00444 0000000000
1522 2256N 07803W 00427 0006 165 033 234 222 033 00445 0000000000
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#2764 Postby StormsAhead » Tue Aug 29, 2006 10:30 am

CapeVerdeWave wrote:It would be good for RECON to explore the eastern and northern sides, too. Some higher winds may be found there.


The NOAA plane has made several passes through the north side, and there haven't been any flight-level winds stronger than 36 knots or so.
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#2765 Postby Brent » Tue Aug 29, 2006 10:30 am

chris_fit wrote:URNT12 KNHC 291510
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 29/14:43:20Z
B. 23 deg 29 min N
079 deg 26 min W
C. NA mb NA m
D. 30 kt
E. 301 deg 051 nm
F. 045 deg 028 kt
G. 301 deg 050 nm
H. EXTRAP 1008 mb
I. 23 C/ 430 m
J. 24 C/ 430 m
K. 22 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1345 / 1
O. 0.02 / 8 nm
P. AF308 1605A ERNESTO OB 06
MAX FL WIND 28 KT NW QUAD 14:26:20 Z
SLP EXTRAP FROM 1500 FT.


Back to bed... lol


Not strengthening at all.

:sleeping:
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#2766 Postby Thunder44 » Tue Aug 29, 2006 10:30 am

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#2767 Postby craptacular » Tue Aug 29, 2006 10:31 am

OK, they had the VDM at 14:43:20, which makes some sense looking at the minobs below, but does anyone else think they could have very easily put it at 14:49 or 14:50? The winds changed back to NNE after the location of the VDM, then made a big, permanent jump to the S at 14:50. I know this isn't a real big difference ... I'm just trying to learn here.

SXXX50 KNHC 291452
AF308 1605A ERNESTO HDOB 18 KNHC
1442. 2329N 07930W 00426 5022 357 004 234 234 004 00416 0000000000
1443 2329N 07928W 00427 5022 316 003 236 232 003 00416 0000000000
1443. 2329N 07926W 00427 5021 304 002 238 224 003 00417 0000000000
1444 2329N 07925W 00425 5020 253 001 234 226 002 00416 0000000000
1444. 2328N 07923W 00417 5021 304 001 230 230 001 00408 0000000000
1445 2327N 07922W 00430 5020 286 002 230 230 003 00421 0000000000
1445. 2326N 07921W 00427 5020 285 004 230 230 005 00418 0000000000
1446 2325N 07920W 00427 5020 281 005 226 226 005 00418 0000000000
1446. 2323N 07919W 00427 5020 288 005 226 226 006 00418 0000000000
1447 2322N 07917W 00426 5020 287 006 228 228 006 00418 0000000000
1447. 2321N 07916W 00428 5022 283 007 230 230 008 00418 0000000000
1448 2320N 07915W 00427 5022 285 008 230 230 008 00417 0000000000
1448. 2319N 07914W 00425 5021 281 006 228 228 006 00416 0000000000
1449 2318N 07912W 00430 5022 302 007 218 218 010 00419 0000000000
1449. 2317N 07911W 00421 5024 340 004 198 198 008 00409 0000000100
1450 2315N 07910W 00432 5024 210 002 196 196 003 00419 0000000000
1450. 2314N 07909W 00424 5026 201 008 206 206 008 00410 0000000000
1451 2313N 07908W 00428 5025 214 014 220 220 015 00415 0000000000
1451. 2312N 07906W 00426 5023 204 015 214 214 017 00415 0000000000
1452 2311N 07905W 00426 5022 182 020 218 218 022 00416 0000000000
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MiamiensisWx

#2768 Postby MiamiensisWx » Tue Aug 29, 2006 10:32 am

StormsAhead wrote:The NOAA plane has made several passes through the north side, and there haven't been any flight-level winds stronger than 36 knots or so.


I was referring to the north-northeast, northeast, and eastern sides. Sorry for misstating.
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#2769 Postby StormsAhead » Tue Aug 29, 2006 10:33 am

URNT40 KWBC 291520
NOAA2 1505A ERNESTO
151100 2343 07924 7553 +0327 114015 +140 +102 112016 007 000
151200 2339 07926 7551 +0325 125011 +140 +108 124014 009 000
151300 2336 07928 7547 +0325 130008 +139 +100 124010 009 000
151400 2333 07931 7556 +0328 117002 +143 +103 127009 011 000
151500 2330 07931 7552 +0324 069002 +144 +091 092004 999 999
151600 2328 07928 7552 +0331 078004 +150 +079 075004 009 000
151700 2325 07924 7553 +0329 100004 +147 +091 108005 010 000
151800 2323 07920 7553 +0324 133005 +145 +111 117006 008 000
151900 2321 07916 7552 +0322 170003 +147 +106 195006 015 001
152000 2319 07912 7554 +0318 170011 +145 +123 174014 023 002
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#2770 Postby Aquawind » Tue Aug 29, 2006 10:35 am

Nice VDM.. :D So glad to see the pressures not even starting to drop yet.. They should but this storm got pretty disorganized alrighty..takes more time the more disorganized it is.. 8-)
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#2771 Postby StormsAhead » Tue Aug 29, 2006 10:37 am

SXXX50 KNHC 291532
AF308 1605A ERNESTO HDOB 22 KNHC
1522. 2258N 07803W 00427 0006 162 033 232 224 034 00445 0000000000
1523 2300N 07802W 00427 0006 162 033 232 224 034 00445 0000000000
1523. 2302N 07802W 00426 0007 159 035 230 230 035 00444 0000000000
1524 2303N 07802W 00427 0007 158 034 224 224 035 00445 0000000000
1524. 2305N 07802W 00428 0007 159 036 224 224 037 00447 0000000000
1525 2307N 07802W 00426 0007 159 036 228 228 036 00445 0000000000
1525. 2309N 07802W 00427 0007 159 035 226 226 036 00446 0000000000
1526 2311N 07802W 00426 0007 158 037 226 226 038 00445 0000000000
1526. 2312N 07801W 00427 0007 158 037 226 226 038 00445 0000000000
1527 2314N 07801W 00426 0007 158 037 226 226 039 00445 0000000000
1527. 2316N 07801W 00427 0007 157 037 226 226 038 00446 0000000000
1528 2318N 07801W 00426 0007 155 038 224 224 038 00445 0000000000
1528. 2320N 07801W 00427 0007 157 038 222 222 039 00446 0000000000
1529 2322N 07801W 00427 0007 157 039 226 226 039 00446 0000000000
1529. 2323N 07801W 00426 0008 154 037 226 226 038 00445 0000000000
1530 2325N 07800W 00426 0007 155 038 226 226 039 00445 0000000000
1530. 2327N 07800W 00427 0007 153 036 224 224 037 00445 0000000000
1531 2329N 07800W 00426 0007 155 037 226 226 037 00444 0000000000
1531. 2331N 07800W 00427 0007 155 040 226 226 040 00446 0000000000
1532 2333N 07800W 00426 0007 151 038 224 224 040 00445 0000000000

40 knots at FL
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#2772 Postby Thunder44 » Tue Aug 29, 2006 10:40 am

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#2773 Postby StormsAhead » Tue Aug 29, 2006 10:40 am

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#2774 Postby westmoon » Tue Aug 29, 2006 10:44 am

the more time he takes the better! I just wonder how much more rain we can take here in fl before flooding becomes an issue.
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#2775 Postby Thunder44 » Tue Aug 29, 2006 10:47 am

It going to take some time for the wind field to get back up again. Eventually it's satellite appearance will reflect on the intensity.
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#2776 Postby StormsAhead » Tue Aug 29, 2006 10:47 am

URNT40 KWBC 291530
NOAA2 1505A ERNESTO
152100 2316 07909 7557 +0316 171016 +145 +126 173023 029 007
152200 2314 07905 7554 +0323 176024 +140 +116 171027 029 004
152300 2312 07902 7559 +0336 178027 +142 +109 176030 025 000
152400 2310 07858 7560 +0343 178030 +145 +116 174032 030 002
152500 2308 07854 7557 +0344 187030 +148 +128 198036 041 007
152600 2307 07850 7550 +0348 174029 +148 +121 171031 043 008
152700 2305 07847 7557 +0362 184028 +151 +101 181030 036 000
152800 2303 07843 7561 +0370 179028 +144 +103 180028 032 000
152900 2301 07839 7560 +0372 186028 +146 +101 184029 031 000
153000 2259 07835 7558 +0378 184026 +144 +111 190027 035 002

SFMR has 41 knots where the FL winds were 36 knots, then 43 knots where the FL winds were 31 knots.

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#2777 Postby StormsAhead » Tue Aug 29, 2006 10:48 am

URNT11 KWBC 291534
97779 15344 30229 78308 23000 18027 14096 /8012 41730
RMK NOAA2 1505A ERNESTO OB 16 KWBC

30 knots at the surface
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#2778 Postby StormsAhead » Tue Aug 29, 2006 10:49 am

SXXX50 KNHC 291542
AF308 1605A ERNESTO HDOB 23 KNHC
1532. 2334N 07800W 00428 0007 151 039 226 226 040 00446 0000000000
1533 2336N 07800W 00426 0007 151 040 226 226 041 00444 0000000000
1533. 2338N 07800W 00428 0007 150 041 226 226 043 00447 0000000000
1534 2340N 07759W 00426 0008 147 041 224 224 042 00445 0000000000
1534. 2342N 07759W 00427 0008 146 040 222 222 040 00447 0000000000
1535 2344N 07759W 00426 0008 147 040 222 222 041 00446 0000000000
1535. 2345N 07759W 00428 0009 145 039 220 220 040 00448 0000000000
1536 2347N 07759W 00426 0009 146 040 220 220 041 00446 0000000000
1536. 2349N 07759W 00427 0010 143 038 220 220 039 00449 0000000000
1537 2351N 07759W 00426 0010 142 038 220 220 039 00447 0000000000
1537. 2353N 07759W 00427 0010 145 039 222 222 040 00449 0000000000
1538 2354N 07759W 00428 0010 149 042 226 226 043 00450 0000000000
1538. 2356N 07800W 00425 0011 148 042 224 224 042 00447 0000000000
1539 2358N 07800W 00427 0011 145 042 224 224 042 00450 0000000000
1539. 2400N 07801W 00427 0011 142 042 226 222 043 00449 0000000000
1540 2402N 07801W 00427 0011 142 043 228 220 043 00450 0000000000
1540. 2403N 07802W 00426 0012 142 042 230 216 043 00450 0000000000
1541 2405N 07803W 00427 0012 139 043 224 222 044 00450 0000000000
1541. 2407N 07804W 00426 0012 139 039 220 220 041 00449 0000000000
1542 2409N 07804W 00430 0011 140 035 220 220 037 00453 0000000000

44 knots
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#2779 Postby StormsAhead » Tue Aug 29, 2006 10:57 am

URNT40 KWBC 291540
NOAA2 1505A ERNESTO
153100 2257 07831 7554 +0381 181026 +148 +102 182027 034 001
153200 2255 07827 7554 +0382 181028 +145 +087 179029 033 000
153300 2253 07823 7555 +0387 180028 +140 +093 178030 032 000
153400 2252 07820 7555 +0394 179027 +139 +094 179028 031 000
153500 2251 07816 7555 +0399 178028 +140 +088 177028 032 000
153600 2249 07812 7554 +0405 176028 +142 +078 175029 031 000
153700 2247 07808 7554 +0409 174028 +142 +074 174028 031 000
153800 2246 07804 7553 +0410 178028 +140 +074 180029 032 000
153900 2244 07801 7553 +0413 180028 +136 +090 181029 031 000
154000 2243 07757 7555 +0416 178028 +136 +110 180029 031 000

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#2780 Postby StormsAhead » Tue Aug 29, 2006 10:59 am

SXXX50 KNHC 291552
AF308 1605A ERNESTO HDOB 24 KNHC
1542. 2410N 07805W 00424 0011 139 038 220 220 039 00447 0000000000
1543 2412N 07806W 00427 0011 139 039 220 220 040 00450 0000000000
1543. 2414N 07807W 00426 0011 137 039 226 226 040 00449 0000000000
1544 2415N 07807W 00428 0012 137 037 224 224 038 00451 0000000000
1544. 2417N 07808W 00426 0012 136 037 220 220 038 00450 0000000000
1545 2419N 07809W 00427 0012 133 037 220 220 038 00450 0000000000
1545. 2421N 07810W 00426 0012 133 037 222 222 037 00449 0000000000
1546 2422N 07811W 00428 0012 131 039 220 220 040 00451 0000000000
1546. 2423N 07812W 00427 0012 130 039 220 220 041 00450 0000000000
1547 2425N 07814W 00426 0011 130 040 220 220 041 00449 0000000000
1547. 2426N 07815W 00427 0011 130 041 220 220 042 00449 0000000000
1548 2427N 07817W 00426 0010 130 043 220 220 043 00448 0000000000
1548. 2428N 07818W 00425 0010 130 043 220 220 044 00446 0000000000
1549 2430N 07819W 00428 0007 128 044 220 220 044 00446 0000000000
1549. 2432N 07819W 00427 0008 130 043 224 224 043 00447 0000000000
1550 2434N 07819W 00425 0008 129 042 224 224 043 00445 0000000000
1550. 2435N 07818W 00427 0009 129 043 224 224 043 00448 0000000000
1551 2437N 07818W 00428 0011 131 043 226 226 043 00450 0000000000
1551. 2438N 07817W 00426 0011 133 043 226 226 043 00449 0000000000
1552 2439N 07816W 00426 0012 132 042 226 226 043 00449 0000000000

44 knots again
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