Flood watch for S FL now kind of humerous since E weakening

[boca]

NWS in Miami posted a flood watch from Tues 12pm until Wed 12am. I think they jumped the gun on that and probably cancel it before it starts at noon due to Ernesto weakening and the ULL pulling in all the dry air from the west and NW of Ernesto.

[wxmann_91]

Weakening has nothing to do with moisture from a TC.

The progged synoptics right now point to a possible major flood event once E gets carried into the Carolinas. By then, it woudl be the remnants of E.

[Terry]

Yep ---- this could deliver more rain to us than a hurricane.

[fci]

Yeah but the flood watch is for South Florida not the Carolinas!

[KFDM Meteorologist]

I've seen TD's dump 20 inches of rain before.

[boca]

Ernesto is still moving WNW which isn't towards S FL and has yet to turn NW since its so weak this might just totally dissapate thats why I'm questioning the flood watch. The dark reds have virtually dissappered during the last few hours.

[Typhoon_Willie]

Better to err on the side of caution than not to do so and have a major rain event come I guess.

[NC George]

Weakening has nothing to do with moisture from a TC.

The progged synoptics right now point to a possible major flood event once E gets carried into the Carolinas. By then, it woudl be the remnants of E.

Fortunately for us in here in eastern NC, we have plenty of room for rain. Our local river (the Tar River, the one the flooded so bad in Floyd) is so low it's tidal 30 miles inland from the Pamlico Sound. It's so tidal that there is no flow towards the coast at all during high tide, and minimal flow at low tide.

[Downdraft]

No offense Boca but your dead wrong. The dissipation of energy from a tropical storm comes not from wind but from rain. Any tropical system from depression up to a Cat 5 expends it's energy as rain not wind. Wind is the by-product produced by the transfer of heat energy in the water to the atmosphere. The real reason these storms exist in the first place. Tropical Storm Allison made boats the only reliable transportation in the city of Houston. One of the costliest tropical disasters in U.S. history I might add. To many novices and the public rate a system only by its ability to produce wind. I suggest you read Chris Landsea's papers on the energy dissipation through rainfall of a tropical system. This has the potential to produce a major flood event on pennsiular Florida. The threat is very real and should be treated accordingly.

[boca]

I like my crow well done and I fired up the grill. I'm eating it with barbaque sauce and its not that bad.

[Downdraft]

One final point on the flood threat. Right now Ernesto is lapping the heat out of bathtub temperature water like 10 cats drinking from a bowl of milk. He's a battery charging his cells and all of that stored energy is coming back at us in liquid form unfortunately. From nature's prospective Ernesto is doing his job....best we get ready to do ours.