how soon will ernesto get back over the warm waters??

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emeraldislencguy
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how soon will ernesto get back over the warm waters??

#1 Postby emeraldislencguy » Mon Aug 28, 2006 8:14 pm

will it happen tonight or just die over cuba
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Josephine96

#2 Postby Josephine96 » Mon Aug 28, 2006 8:18 pm

NHC thinks per 8pm advisory sometime tonight.. but we'll see.. I kinda hope he gets back out soon..
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Re: how soon will ernesto get back over the warm waters??

#3 Postby Lifesgud2 » Mon Aug 28, 2006 8:41 pm

emeraldislencguy wrote:will it happen tonight or just die over cuba


Bye Bye Ernesto
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Josephine96

#4 Postby Josephine96 » Mon Aug 28, 2006 8:43 pm

Not so fast, wait for it to get back over water 1st
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#5 Postby Lifesgud2 » Mon Aug 28, 2006 8:50 pm

Josephine96 wrote:Not so fast, wait for it to get back over water 1st


OK.. We shall see if it ever does Josephine
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#6 Postby cpdaman » Mon Aug 28, 2006 10:25 pm

22.5 79 at 6 am nite nite sw and west florida WATCH THIS STORM
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crab_storm

#7 Postby crab_storm » Mon Aug 28, 2006 10:27 pm

i'm afraid not soon enough...
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#8 Postby Bane » Mon Aug 28, 2006 10:27 pm

it'll regroup as soon as it gets away from land.
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crab_storm

#9 Postby crab_storm » Mon Aug 28, 2006 10:37 pm

no core left...
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#10 Postby Bane » Mon Aug 28, 2006 10:42 pm

i'll stick with the nhc.
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crab_storm

#11 Postby crab_storm » Mon Aug 28, 2006 10:42 pm

that's what the nhc said.
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#12 Postby Grease Monkey » Mon Aug 28, 2006 10:45 pm

I don't think they said that, but I think they said the LLC is really weakening.
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#13 Postby stormtruth » Mon Aug 28, 2006 10:47 pm

everyone on this thread should write one short sentence.
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#14 Postby Wx_Warrior » Mon Aug 28, 2006 10:48 pm

die ernie
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crab_storm

#15 Postby crab_storm » Mon Aug 28, 2006 10:49 pm

Grease Monkey wrote:I don't think they said that, but I think they said the LLC is really weakening.


the 5pm discussion... said the core was gone.
i will be very surprised if this is still a TS at 5am.
look at the current IR loop.
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#16 Postby Grease Monkey » Mon Aug 28, 2006 10:53 pm

maybe they said that for the 5pm, but I haven't heard them say that since. Each advisory can change a lot, but I agree I don't see much hope for this system.
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crab_storm

#17 Postby crab_storm » Mon Aug 28, 2006 10:55 pm

Grease Monkey wrote:maybe they said that for the 5pm, but I haven't heard them say that since. Each advisory can change a lot.


are you implying that between 5pm and 11pm ernesto has re-developed and stacked a core while over Cuba the whole time?
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#18 Postby Grease Monkey » Mon Aug 28, 2006 10:57 pm

No i'm trying to say they constantly change their forecasts. They may have made a mistake and it could of had an LLC all along. Sometimes it's very hard for them to tell where the LLC is over land with a very disorganized system.
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Scorpion

#19 Postby Scorpion » Mon Aug 28, 2006 10:57 pm

crab_storm wrote:
Grease Monkey wrote:I don't think they said that, but I think they said the LLC is really weakening.


the 5pm discussion... said the core was gone.
i will be very surprised if this is still a TS at 5am.
look at the current IR loop.


It will have emerged off Cuba by then..hopefully.. so I doubt it could weaken further over water.
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#20 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Mon Aug 28, 2006 10:57 pm

Bottom line is it just stayed over land to long today.
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