tropical depression four

[willjnewton]

I know that tropical depression as of right now is currently weak and disorganized, but I heard that based on the national hurricane centers 11:00am forecast track, it is becoming more and more likely to affect the east coast in the next couple of weeks than being more FISH??is that true, please explain

[SouthFloridawx]

I know that tropical depression as of right now is currently weak and disorganized, but I heard that based on the national hurricane centers 11:00am forecast track, it is becoming more and more likely to affect the east coast in the next couple of weeks than being more FISH??is that true, please explain

No one has said that it is becoming more of an east coast threat at this time. Still expected to go fishing.

[Innotech]

its one of those cases where if it remain really weak, like Chris did, it might trend more West. If it gets stronger then Id say it would definitely go fishing.

[willjnewton]

but why fish???, because I do not see anything with fish by the hurricane centers forecast track, and they also forecasted it to become a hurricane...and by the way I am going fishing today out on the dock maybe I will meet the storm, oopse NOT LIKELY just me catching some fish

[skysummit]

No Will...you hear wrong. The NHC did not mention anything in their discussion or track that points to the East Coast.

[SouthFloridawx]

but why fish???, because I do not see anything with fish by the hurricane centers forecast track, and they also forecasted it to become a hurricane...and by the way I am going fishing today out on the dock maybe I will meet the storm, oopse NOT LIKELY just me catching some fish

That was rather funny...

[willjnewton]

but why I am wrong because I thought that the national hurricane center is being pointed westward?and on this threaD can someone please show me all sorts of global forecast models and colorfull pictures of tropical depression four before I go FISHING late today okay, thankyou much

[skysummit]

You can see the updated models on the main thread. They all go out to sea.

[willjnewton]

sorry I had a computer problem again

[willjnewton]

yes it is the computer my computer has problems where its slow and my computer person is coming today to fix my computer

[george_r_1961]

Will there is little chance of this system making it to the US. Nothing is impossible but IMO the chances are close to zero at this time. Of course we will keep checking the models and our own storm2k mets are monitoring this system as well

[storms in NC]

Will This iis a good one for you to follow and learn as you go. As far as it coming to the east coast I would give it a 50/50 chance. For it is weak and It has alot of dry air to deal with on the corse it is on. IMO it will not turn like they are calling for But you have to remmber all the cool fronts coming down might just keep it out to sea. Just keep watching and ask when you need some help

[Stephanie]

yes it is the computer my computer has problems where its slow and my computer person is coming today to fix my computer

I removed the duplicated threads will.

[willjnewton]

Has anything changed with the global forecast models today with tropical depression four??

[gatorcane]

Will there is still the possibility it could be a west-runner if it remains weak. The NHC guidance is split between some models that bring a weaker system westward and other models that turn it more NW and then N due to southerly shear.

It still may not be a fish.

[willjnewton]

so there is the possibility that this system may NOT be fish and effect bermuda or the east coast in the next couple of weeks???

[Acral]

There is always the possibility of it threatening U.S. interests if it remains on its westwardly track, but I would expect a northern recurve as history has shown us with these types of storms.

[gatorcane]

so there is the possibility that this system may NOT be fish and effect bermuda or the east coast in the next couple of weeks???

I still think there is a possibility it may not be a fish. Its definitely not set in stone that it is a fish but the chances are that it will eventually be a fish given the lattitude that it is at and from what climatology says.

[tgenius]

Yep, I'd venture to say its probably about 60-70 percent chance it will be a fish and/or deteriorate from SAL/shear.

[willjnewton]

but will this system likely to strenghthen and effect bermuda and then recurve and be FISH at least??or atleast bring rough surf to worsen the bermuda trianle??