TD 5 in the wake of TD 4 -- looks that way.....

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

TD 5 in the wake of TD 4 -- looks that way.....

#1 Postby dixiebreeze » Mon Aug 21, 2006 10:19 pm

Still in the African interior, but pretty impressive:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/met8/eatl/avn-l.jpg
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
CronkPSU
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2016
Joined: Sun Aug 07, 2005 10:44 pm
Location: Avalon Park, FL

#2 Postby CronkPSU » Mon Aug 21, 2006 10:20 pm

i thought you were going to go with the wave ahead of TD4...that sure is a lot of red though in that interior storm
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
skysummit
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5305
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 11:09 pm
Location: Ponchatoula, LA
Contact:
Contact skysummit

#3 Postby skysummit » Mon Aug 21, 2006 10:20 pm

Actually that might be TD 6 if the Central Atlantic wave can get its act together.
0 likes   
Top
temujin
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 109
Joined: Thu Aug 25, 2005 9:58 pm

Re: TD 5 in the wake of TD 4 -- looks that way.....

#4 Postby temujin » Mon Aug 21, 2006 10:20 pm

dixiebreeze wrote:Still in the African interior, but pretty impressive:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/met8/eatl/avn-l.jpg



I think TD 5 is out ahead of TD 4.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

#5 Postby dixiebreeze » Mon Aug 21, 2006 10:23 pm

skysummit wrote:Actually that might be TD 6 if the Central Atlantic wave can get its act together.


That's a point -- it's a race! :)
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
LAwxrgal
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1763
Joined: Tue Jul 06, 2004 1:05 pm
Location: Reserve, LA (30 mi west of NOLA)

#6 Postby LAwxrgal » Mon Aug 21, 2006 10:25 pm

Yep, buckle up folks... The train has left the station.

All those "season cancel" posts we saw last week...

Get ready for a bumpy ride! This time next week we could be tracking 3 storms.
0 likes   
Andrew 92/Isidore & Lili 02/Bill 03/Katrina & Rita 05/Gustav & Ike 08/Isaac 12 (flooded my house)/Harvey 17/Barry 19/Cristobal 20/Claudette 21/Ida 21 (In the Eye)/Francine 24
Wake me up when November ends
Top
User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

#7 Postby dixiebreeze » Mon Aug 21, 2006 10:27 pm

Stewart has nailed it in the 11 p.m. advisory -- no fishing for this one.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Evil Jeremy
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5463
Age: 32
Joined: Mon Apr 10, 2006 2:10 pm
Location: Los Angeles, CA

#8 Postby Evil Jeremy » Mon Aug 21, 2006 10:38 pm

Mike W. was right! the season is now really going now!
0 likes   
Frances 04 / Jeanne 04 / Katrina 05 / Wilma 05 / Fay 08 / Debby 12 / Andrea 13 / Colin 16 / Hermine 16 / Matthew 16 / Irma 17
Top
CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34091
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#9 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Aug 21, 2006 10:41 pm

I'd say that would be TD6 if it develops. I think the central wave will be TD5.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Grease Monkey
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 727
Joined: Fri Jun 09, 2006 9:25 pm

#10 Postby Grease Monkey » Mon Aug 21, 2006 10:42 pm

Too early to draw those kind of conclusions.
0 likes   
Top
Air Force Met
Military Met
Military Met
Posts: 4372
Age: 56
Joined: Tue Jul 08, 2003 9:30 am
Location: Roan Mountain, TN

Re: TD 5 in the wake of TD 4 -- looks that way.....

#11 Postby Air Force Met » Mon Aug 21, 2006 10:49 pm

dixiebreeze wrote:Still in the African interior, but pretty impressive:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/met8/eatl/avn-l.jpg


Didn't see this thread when I posted this in TD4's thread. I've been watching this one for a couple of days now. It just now getting a good satellite presentation...but the models have been showing a monster for a while.

Here is my post for those who missed it.

Look what is coming behind TD 4. It is HUGE. The GFS has been showing it for a couple of days. It now has a good satellite presentation.

Sat Image

Take a look at the size of the 850mb circulation...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Grease Monkey
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 727
Joined: Fri Jun 09, 2006 9:25 pm

Re: TD 5 in the wake of TD 4 -- looks that way.....

#12 Postby Grease Monkey » Mon Aug 21, 2006 10:52 pm

Air Force Met wrote:
dixiebreeze wrote:Still in the African interior, but pretty impressive:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/met8/eatl/avn-l.jpg


Didn't see this thread when I posted this in TD4's thread. I've been watching this one for a couple of days now. It just now getting a good satellite presentation...but the models have been showing a monster for a while.

Here is my post for those who missed it.

Look what is coming behind TD 4. It is HUGE. The GFS has been showing it for a couple of days. It now has a good satellite presentation.

Sat Image

Take a look at the size of the 850mb circulation...


It looks like it's just going to curve out to sea even if it does form?
0 likes   
Top
Air Force Met
Military Met
Military Met
Posts: 4372
Age: 56
Joined: Tue Jul 08, 2003 9:30 am
Location: Roan Mountain, TN

Re: TD 5 in the wake of TD 4 -- looks that way.....

#13 Postby Air Force Met » Mon Aug 21, 2006 11:01 pm

Grease Monkey wrote:It looks like it's just going to curve out to sea even if it does form?


May or may not. Not sure if you have looked at the models but the GFS at least keeps it going west thru 180 hours plus something that size has less of a tendency to turn north.

Point is its big. Should be fun to look at.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
GeneratorPower
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1648
Age: 45
Joined: Sun Dec 18, 2005 11:48 pm
Location: Huntsville, AL

#14 Postby GeneratorPower » Mon Aug 21, 2006 11:06 pm

Tropical Wave Tip.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
wxmann_91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8013
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2005 2:49 pm
Location: Southern California
Contact:
Contact wxmann_91

#15 Postby wxmann_91 » Mon Aug 21, 2006 11:07 pm

Guys. It's just a tropical wave. Chill.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
skysummit
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5305
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 11:09 pm
Location: Ponchatoula, LA
Contact:
Contact skysummit

#16 Postby skysummit » Mon Aug 21, 2006 11:08 pm

wxmann_91 wrote:Guys. It's just a tropical wave. Chill.


Dude...it's a tropical forum. Chill.
0 likes   
Top
temujin
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 109
Joined: Thu Aug 25, 2005 9:58 pm

#17 Postby temujin » Mon Aug 21, 2006 11:18 pm

skysummit wrote:
wxmann_91 wrote:Guys. It's just a tropical wave. Chill.


Dude...it's a tropical forum. Chill.



:lol:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
fci
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3324
Joined: Tue Sep 14, 2004 10:29 am
Location: Lake Worth, FL

#18 Postby fci » Mon Aug 21, 2006 11:21 pm

Hop on y'all, the train is startin'....... :coaster:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
wxmann_91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8013
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2005 2:49 pm
Location: Southern California
Contact:
Contact wxmann_91

#19 Postby wxmann_91 » Mon Aug 21, 2006 11:22 pm

fci wrote:Hop on y'all, the train is startin'....... :coaster:


I would hop on, but I prefer to take the bus. :wink:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
fci
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3324
Joined: Tue Sep 14, 2004 10:29 am
Location: Lake Worth, FL

#20 Postby fci » Mon Aug 21, 2006 11:23 pm

dixiebreeze wrote:Stewart has nailed it in the 11 p.m. advisory -- no fishing for this one.



Not quite so sure that Stewart is saying "fish cancel" here; just dialing back the expectation a bit.

I think Derek also mentions that some of the models kill this one off maybe before it can put its "fishin pole" in the water....
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Beef Stew, IsabelaWeather, LarryWx, TampaWxLurker, TreasureIslandFLGal, zal0phus and 89 guests