Western Caribbean Disturbance ,Sat Pics,Models Thread(GOM)#2

Stormavoider · #241 Postby **Stormavoider** » Mon Aug 21, 2006 9:16 pm

Extremeweatherguy wrote:JB said this will be in the western or central Gulf by the end of the week, but is un-sure about development. We should hear more from him tomorrow..

I don't think he was going to far out on the limb there.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-avn.html

boca · #242 Postby **boca** » Mon Aug 21, 2006 9:17 pm

Extreme that was funny because I was just about to ask you what JB said about this area and you post it as I'm starting to type.

ROCK · #243 Postby **ROCK** » Mon Aug 21, 2006 9:17 pm

Extremeweatherguy wrote:JB said this will be in the western or central Gulf by the end of the week, but is un-sure about development. We should hear more from him tomorrow..

well if it does develope a LLC before getting into to GOM, the sst's with relaxing shear could make it amp up very quickly..... and that would be very bad..... :lol:

Extremeweatherguy · #244 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Mon Aug 21, 2006 9:34 pm

boca wrote:Extreme that was funny because I was just about to ask you what JB said about this area and you post it as I'm starting to type.

lol. may be I read your mind? :?:

#245 Postby **tailgater** » Mon Aug 21, 2006 9:37 pm

Windy but pressure is high.
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42056

Extremeweatherguy · #246 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Mon Aug 21, 2006 9:37 pm

tailgater wrote:Windy but pressure is high.
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42056

wow. that is pretty windy, and it seems like it has been so for the last many hours.

ROCK · #247 Postby **ROCK** » Mon Aug 21, 2006 9:40 pm

tailgater wrote:Windy but pressure is high.
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42056

also convection has waned since earlier this evening.....see if re-fires tonight

Johnny · #248 Postby **Johnny** » Mon Aug 21, 2006 9:40 pm

Like I said earliar this morning, I don't think convection will die off tonight as it did last night and so far this has been the case. If this persists through the night then this one will have a pretty good chance at rapping up a bit. I'm pretty confident in this.

Wx_Warrior · #249 Postby **Wx_Warrior** » Mon Aug 21, 2006 9:43 pm

Steve Lyons says things just to agree with NHC....Don't jump on his bandwagon.

HouTXmetro · #250 Postby **HouTXmetro** » Mon Aug 21, 2006 10:14 pm

Convection has been persistent inbetween the Yucatan and Cuba. Secondly there is a rotation along the wave in the BOC, but no convection.

#251 Postby **skysummit** » Mon Aug 21, 2006 10:16 pm

Yes convection has been really peristant today and so far tonight...much more than yesterday, however presures remain high. Buoy 42056 is reporting winds of 31.9 kts gusting to 37kts but the pressure is pretty high and rising.

#252 Postby **drezee** » Mon Aug 21, 2006 10:22 pm

Buoy 42056

Supplemental Measurements
Highest 1 minute Wind Speed
Time (GMT) WSPD WDIR
0148 34.4 kts ESE ( 120 deg true )

That would be TS sustained winds

HouTXmetro · #253 Postby **HouTXmetro** » Mon Aug 21, 2006 10:39 pm

Really deep convection is firing well off the Yucatan's Easterns coast.

#254 Postby **GeneratorPower** » Mon Aug 21, 2006 10:46 pm

Anybody have a close-up of IR color imagery like a floater would show? I'm going mad looking at this thing on the Western Atlantic full basin map. It's like using the Full Disk.

#255 Postby **CrazyC83** » Mon Aug 21, 2006 10:47 pm

When will they put out 97L.Invest on this?

#256 Postby **skysummit** » Mon Aug 21, 2006 10:49 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:When will they put out 97L.Invest on this?

There's really nothing to put an Invest on yet. It's only thunderstorms, yet persistant thunderstorms. Pressures are still pretty high.

Stratosphere747 · #257 Postby **Stratosphere747** » Mon Aug 21, 2006 10:51 pm

When it warrants an actual invest...

I must admit it looked for sure to be an on its way yesterday morning/afternoon.

Learn something every year...

#258 Postby **tailgater** » Mon Aug 21, 2006 10:51 pm

GeneratorPower wrote:Anybody have a close-up of IR color imagery like a floater would show? I'm going mad looking at this thing on the Western Atlantic full basin map. It's like using the Full Disk.

This is a very good site, bookmark it you will love it especially on the visible images and loops.
http://www.ghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconusir.html

#259 Postby **GeneratorPower** » Mon Aug 21, 2006 11:00 pm

That is much better. It's still not as good as a floater, though. But thanks for the link. It's really awesome.

Stratosphere747 · #260 Postby **Stratosphere747** » Mon Aug 21, 2006 11:09 pm

GeneratorPower wrote:That is much better. It's still not as good as a floater, though. But thanks for the link. It's really awesome.

It's much better than a floater...

As long as something is in range, I've seen the images update at 5/10 min. intervals.

Western Caribbean Disturbance ,Sat Pics,Models Thread(GOM)#2

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