WPAC is Actually Slow as Well

#1 Postby **Aslkahuna** » Mon Aug 21, 2006 1:32 am

As of today, with 10 days to go in the month, WPAC has 12 warned systems so far this year. By the end of August the average number is 16 so they need to get 4 storms in 10 days just to make the average. Just thought I might bring that up.

Steve

AussieMark · #2 Postby **AussieMark** » Mon Aug 21, 2006 2:19 am

if People think we are in a el nino does not look like a El Nino West Pacific to me

so far in 2006 we have had 11 systems and had 5 typhoons of which 3 had 1 min winds above 100 kts and of those 3; 1 had winds of 140 kts or more

i.e

by this point in 2004 we were on our 20th system and had 14 typhoons of which 6 had 1 min winds above 100 kts and of those 6; 3 had winds of 140 kts or more

by this point in 2002 we were on our 20th system and had 9 typhoons of which 7 had 1 min winds above 100 kts and of those 7; 3 had winds of 140 kts or more

by this point in 1997 we were on our 18th system and had 13 typhoons of which 6 had 1 min winds above 100 kts and of those 6; 5 had winds of 140 kts or more

bob rulz · #3 Postby **bob rulz** » Mon Aug 21, 2006 3:29 am

The West Pacific has really been firing up lately. The activity in the earlier part of the season was probably stifled by the weak La Nina we had.

rainstorm · #4 Postby **rainstorm** » Mon Aug 21, 2006 5:41 am

isnt the east pac a little below normal as well? what happened to global warming causing severe cane seasons? all 3 areas are somewhat below normal

KWT · #5 Postby **KWT** » Mon Aug 21, 2006 6:30 am

In terms of ACE I suspect the EPAC is actually in the average range and is already ahead of 2003 and probably pretty close to 2004 as well now, mind you Daniel has pretty much single handily doubled the ACE

bob rulz · #6 Postby **bob rulz** » Mon Aug 21, 2006 7:37 am

rainstorm wrote:isnt the east pac a little below normal as well? what happened to global warming causing severe cane seasons? all 3 areas are somewhat below normal

Don't get the global warming stuff started, please.

#7 Postby **Aslkahuna** » Mon Aug 21, 2006 4:20 pm

By the end of August, EPAC has an average of 9.9 named storms so with 8 named so far we are a bit below.

Steve

HurricaneBill · #8 Postby **HurricaneBill** » Mon Aug 21, 2006 4:54 pm

Aslkahuna wrote:By the end of August, EPAC has an average of 9.9 named storms so with 8 named so far we are a bit below.

Steve

Better make that 9 storms, Steve. Ileana just formed.

bombarderoazul · #9 Postby **bombarderoazul** » Mon Aug 21, 2006 6:40 pm

The Epac is where it should be.

#10 Postby **JonathanBelles** » Mon Aug 21, 2006 6:43 pm

wo wi thought the pacific was right on track...

Scorpion · #11 Postby **Scorpion** » Mon Aug 21, 2006 7:36 pm

Interesting... I guess due to the inactivity in the Atlantic I thought that the EPAC was running well above normal. We may very well get an active Atlantic.

#12 Postby **Aslkahuna** » Mon Aug 21, 2006 8:35 pm

When I posted that about EPAC, NHC was still carrying it as a TD but yes we are now up 9 named in EPAC. When discussing the level of activity in the other basins, it's important to know the climo. I do a monthly Summary of all basins except the ATL on a can not be mentioned site so I keep the monthly climo summaries close at hand.

Steve

WPAC is Actually Slow as Well

WPAC is Actually Slow as Well

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