Will #4 make it across the Atlantic?

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Josephine96

Will #4 make it across the Atlantic?

#1 Postby Josephine96 » Mon Aug 21, 2006 5:20 pm

Ok folks.. Kinda curious what everybody thinks here..

Do you guys think #4 will survive the trek across the Atlantic or curve well before any potential coastal threats?

Granted it's almost 4,000 miles from me :lol: So it'll take forever to make the long trek near the US.. but I'm curious..
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Extremeweatherguy
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#2 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Mon Aug 21, 2006 5:23 pm

I am going to have to say...

-50% chance of recurve

-30% chance of reaching Barbados

-20% chance of going further west than that.
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#3 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Aug 21, 2006 5:24 pm

I think:

60% chance of recurve

20% chance of crossing north of the Caribbean

20% chance of passing through the Caribbean
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#4 Postby Scorpion » Mon Aug 21, 2006 5:26 pm

I think theres a 25% possibility so far.
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Re: Will #4 make it across the Atlantic?

#5 Postby jlauderdal » Mon Aug 21, 2006 5:27 pm

Josephine96 wrote:Ok folks.. Kinda curious what everybody thinks here..

Do you guys think #4 will survive the trek across the Atlantic or curve well before any potential coastal threats?

Granted it's almost 4,000 miles from me :lol: So it'll take forever to make the long trek near the US.. but I'm curious..


90 percent recurve before the islands
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#6 Postby george_r_1961 » Mon Aug 21, 2006 5:30 pm

I do not think it wil reach the US but Bermuda may want to watch this one since there is a chance it could make it that far west. I think 30% chance of it reaching bermuda and 5% or less chance of it hitting the US. At this time I do think that the cyclone will stay north of the islands.
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#7 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 21, 2006 5:36 pm

I am in Puerto Rico more worried about the Central Atlantic Wave than TD Four. Tropical Depression 4/Debby will pass very far NE of the Caribbean.
Last edited by cycloneye on Mon Aug 21, 2006 5:36 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#8 Postby kevin » Mon Aug 21, 2006 5:36 pm

Nope.
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#9 Postby Grease Monkey » Mon Aug 21, 2006 5:37 pm

CNN said it's not expected to cross the atlantic. That's good enough for me. :lol:
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#10 Postby mvtrucking » Mon Aug 21, 2006 5:38 pm

100 % recurve. Just a guess...
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#11 Postby x-y-no » Mon Aug 21, 2006 5:39 pm

cycloneye wrote:I am in Puerto Rico more worried about the Central Atlantic Wave than TD Four. Tropical Depression 4/Debby will pass very far NE of the Caribbean.


I agree. Even though the models don't make much of it, I'm still a bit concerned about that one as it approaches the islands.

TD4 - whether it makes it to be Debby or not - won't affect anything but the Cape Verdes.
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#12 Postby george_r_1961 » Mon Aug 21, 2006 5:40 pm

mvtrucking wrote:100 % recurve. Just a guess...


Bold prediction. And logical i might add. But ive learned when tracking tropical cyclones there no such thing as being 100% sure on anything.
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#13 Postby caribepr » Mon Aug 21, 2006 5:45 pm

cycloneye wrote:I am in Puerto Rico more worried about the Central Atlantic Wave than TD Four. Tropical Depression 4/Debby will pass very far NE of the Caribbean.


On the same page with you Luis...not worried as much as concerned, but I DID buy another boxed milk today...no WAY I won't have milk with my coffee! 8-)
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#14 Postby canegrl04 » Mon Aug 21, 2006 5:52 pm

Never say anthing is 100% sure.I will give this system 40% chance of making it to US ,60% recurve
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#15 Postby storms in NC » Mon Aug 21, 2006 5:57 pm

It will go where it wants to go. They have a mine of their own at times. So I can't say where it will go. I bet it will not cruve when it said is too. I think it will stay west for a few days then recruve to the nw. IMO
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#16 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Aug 21, 2006 5:57 pm

canegrl04 wrote:Never say anthing is 100% sure.I will give this system 40% chance of making it to US ,60% recurve


I give it only a 20% chance of reaching the US. My prediction doesn't even take it past 60°W.
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#17 Postby deltadog03 » Mon Aug 21, 2006 6:03 pm

i say 50% it goes WEST 25% dissapation and 25% recurve.
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#18 Postby ROCK » Mon Aug 21, 2006 6:03 pm

80 recurve ...20 islands
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#19 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Mon Aug 21, 2006 6:07 pm

This system does seem to be moving due west at the current time.
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#20 Postby beachbum_al » Mon Aug 21, 2006 6:09 pm

70% that this will recurve and become a fish.

To cover myself just in case it does the opposite I say 30%. :lol:
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