A quastion about who would forecast for a hurricane into Cal

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

The nhc this says forecasts for the eastern Pacific...

THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W.

In which if theres a strong El nino in you get another linda moving northward. In which is going to hit LA. Which is north of the 32 north. Then is that like the nhc can't forecast any more once a storm passes 140 west? In which a nws takes over? Or can the nhc keep forecasting?

Thanks!

[Jim Cantore]

It's happened, although it never made landfall the 1858 Hurricane battered San Diego, I believe there was also a tropical storm in I think 1949? (correct me if I'm wrong)

I'd guess it would have to gain alot of strength and then make a mad dash at over 30mph.

I'd imagine the NHC would cover it though.

[Hurricanehink]

Yea, in 1939 a storm hit California. However, in recent times, Tropical Storm Nora was tracked as far northward as 35º to the south of Las Vegas.

[Aslkahuna]

Los Angeles is nowhere near 140W so NHC would continue to forecast any storm that might make a threat to CA. As for storms that cross 140W, then the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu takes over from NHC. NHC followed Tropical Storm Lester into AZ north of 32N. NHC will continue to forecast the storms as long as they retain tropical characteristics regardless of latitude (they once followed a storm nearly to Norway before it became ET)

Steve

[btangy]

In 2000, Hurricane Lane almost made it to Point Conception as a tropical depression.

http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/e_p ... /track.gif

[Aslkahuna]

Hurricane Olivia in 1982 made landfall as a TD near Santa Barbara and the heavy rains did some 600 million dollars of damage to crops in the Central Valley and in particular the Tomato and Raisin crops. Kathleen in 1976 tracked into CA just west of the CO River as a strong TS (Gusts to 66kt in Yuma) and the final advisory was issued when it was a TD at 38N 116W or in South Central NV. The remnant low BTW was tracked into Idaho.

Steve

[bombarderoazul]

California should always watch its back during strong el nino years.