
and the TWD:
AN UPPER LOW IS SE OF BERMUDA NEAR 29N62W GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM 25N-31N BETWEEN 50W-63W.
Some models show slight development as it goes north:
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/nam/00/fp0_072.shtml