Conditions look pretty good for development (area is in light green):
http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/project ... xyrfpr.gif
TWD mentions "low cloud swirl" near 10/41:
AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 41W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING
WEST 10 KT. A SMALL SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS IS NEAR 10N 41W.
CONVECTION IS CONFINED TO THE ITCZ. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 40W-45W.
Shear is low:
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8shr.html
There are a couple of pockets of LL convergence:
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8conv.html
As well as vorticity near the surface:
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8vor4.html
Some convection has been firing throughout the day
Possibly far enough south to avoid SAL:
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... split.html
Main negatives--still attached to ITCZ; no model support yet
Edit: Changed title to include wave near 30N
