Invest 93L,E of Florida,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #2

[gatorcane]

Looks like a TD to me - the NHC basically gave it a chance for days and then finally wrote it off yesterday due to the hostile env - then guess what as soon as they write it off it surprises us and should probably be a TD now but if they called it a TD it would not be in line with what they forecasted...

Waste of time to upgrade it and issue advisories only to downgrade it shortly.

I agree, 93L looked doomed from the get go so I have not been concerned with it at all. I wouldn't bother upgrading either personally.

[jdray]

got the LaCrosse 2310 dialed up again (was moving it to dedicated server, but that can wait)

Lets see the winds and pressures later today....

[CronkPSU]

Looks like a TD to me - the NHC basically gave it a chance for days and then finally wrote it off yesterday due to the hostile env - then guess what as soon as they write it off it surprises us and should probably be a TD now but if they called it a TD it would not be in line with what they forecasted...

Waste of time to upgrade it and issue advisories only to downgrade it shortly.

i didn't think it was the duty of the NHC to decide if or if it isn't a threat...they just report what the conditions are...if it meets the qualifications of a TD it should be labeled as thus regardless of how close or how soon it hits land

disclaimer:i have no idea if it does meet the qualifications, just responding to the waste of time quote

[Stormavoider]

It's been stripped clean now.

[fci]

Looks like a TD to me - the NHC basically gave it a chance for days and then finally wrote it off yesterday due to the hostile env - then guess what as soon as they write it off it surprises us and should probably be a TD now but if they called it a TD it would not be in line with what they forecasted...

Waste of time to upgrade it and issue advisories only to downgrade it shortly.

i didn't think it was the duty of the NHC to decide if or if it isn't a threat...they just report what the conditions are...if it meets the qualifications of a TD it should be labeled as thus regardless of how close or how soon it hits land

disclaimer:i have no idea if it does meet the qualifications, just responding to the waste of time quote

I can't believe that we actually need to debate this!

Is there some kind of thrill elicted by having a TD title?
Why the fuss and bother??

IT REALLY MEANS NOTHING!!!

We are on the edge of the "active" part of the season, whatever that will entail in 2006.

Why don't we concentrate on the "named" storms to come and potential threats like the system the GFS is modeling off of Africa and the potential system wxman57 is posting about and not worry about nomenclature!!!!

[CronkPSU]

Looks like a TD to me - the NHC basically gave it a chance for days and then finally wrote it off yesterday due to the hostile env - then guess what as soon as they write it off it surprises us and should probably be a TD now but if they called it a TD it would not be in line with what they forecasted...

Waste of time to upgrade it and issue advisories only to downgrade it shortly.

i didn't think it was the duty of the NHC to decide if or if it isn't a threat...they just report what the conditions are...if it meets the qualifications of a TD it should be labeled as thus regardless of how close or how soon it hits land

disclaimer:i have no idea if it does meet the qualifications, just responding to the waste of time quote

I can't believe that we actually need to debate this!

Is there some kind of thrill elicted by having a TD title?
Why the fuss and bother??

IT REALLY MEANS NOTHING!!!

We are on the edge of the "active" part of the season, whatever that will entail in 2006.

Why don't we concentrate on the "named" storms to come and potential threats like the system the GFS is modeling off of Africa and the potential system wxman57 is posting about and not worry about nomenclature!!!!

oh, I get it, let's talk about ones that haven't even started developing yet and leave the one that actually exists alone...OK

[Grease Monkey]

I can't believe that we actually need to debate this!

Is there some kind of thrill elicted by having a TD title?
Why the fuss and bother??

IT REALLY MEANS NOTHING!!!

We are on the edge of the "active" part of the season, whatever that will entail in 2006.

Why don't we concentrate on the "named" storms to come and potential threats like the system the GFS is modeling off of Africa and the potential system wxman57 is posting about and not worry about nomenclature!!!!

It's called boredom. This is what happens when there's nothing in the Atlantic to track. It's not a pretty sight. Don't worry as soon as another invest develops, this thread will hit rock bottom.

[gopherfan21]

There are several "invests" this year that were way too hyped and some which should not have been invests. That said, this particular one was way too hyped but in a different way....it was getting organized, but it was doomed to be sheared to death before it ever got sufficiently organized.

[Nimbus]

So does JB feel that the upper level circulation that has been causing the shear is going to lift out? The naked swirl appears to still be sinking south maybe even a little east of south so it may stay over water a while, but when is the shear forecast to let up?

[curtadams]

So does JB feel that the upper level circulation that has been causing the shear is going to lift out? The naked swirl appears to still be sinking south maybe even a little east of south so it may stay over water a while, but when is the shear forecast to let up?

About 3 days A long time for a swirl to hang out.

[Sanibel]

It's awfully cool and dry in my garage for mid-August.


Conditions are obviously unseasonal.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Still a nice LLC on the visible. http://www.cira.colostate.edu/ramm/rmsd ... PICAL.html

[HURAKAN]

YEAH, IT LOOKS GOOD!!!

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

It keeps blowing convection over it, it had some earlier today. This is a closed LLC no quastion about that. Looks better then Chris, and many other cyclones. We will see once that shear moves out in a few days if this can do anything. I would not be at all suprized.

[cpdaman]

ya its dead, but i'll still check it every couple hours to make sure it doesn't come back from the dead

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

40 knot shear with 20 knot increase over our system. Its almost funny how the shear increases right over the system. While its lighter around it. Weird.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8sht.html

[CrazyC83]

ya its dead, but i'll still check it every couple hours to make sure it doesn't come back from the dead

That would be a good nickname - Debby the Undead...

[benny]

door please

[JonathanBelles]

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Very nice LLC at 1am pst/4am est moving slowly west-southwestward. Nice blow up of convection right over it. This looks much better then then Chris for the last 2 days of its life. This may get into the Gulf of Mexico. Yes I said it its possible.


Look at that LLC...I see 3 wind barbs on a few of those=30 knots. I won't say what "I" think it is. But I can't wait to read the nhc post discussion on this. Also the shear core is moving south of it now...Its under 40 knots of shear. This thing is fighting much harder then Chris. Could be 28 to 34 knot shear by later today.

http://manati.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/sto ... _at_0.html