Invest 93L,SE Carolinas,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

[Derek Ortt]

I have to admit that I am having trouble closing off a low north of the Bahamas. That area also appears broad. It may be slightly better defined than the eastern low/trough now, but with the better dynamics, if I had to place a bet on which one has the better chance, it would be the eastern trough

[Thunder44]

The whole system looks like a mess this afternoon. And it wouldn't suprise me the current low north of Grand Bahmama dissapate and see another low develop somewhere in the next few days.

[Grease Monkey]

So basically all you have to do to make a nice plot is to blind fold someone, spin them around 3 times and have them draw a line.

[Damar91]

So basically all you have to do to make a nice plot is to blind fold someone, spin them around 3 times and have them draw a line.

You are on a roll, but be careful, some around here aren't as light hearted.

[Swimdude]

So basically all you have to do to make a nice plot is to blind fold someone, spin them around 3 times and have them draw a line.

That's sure what it looks like with this system, huh!?

[TampaFl]

looks like Accuweather messed up with this graphic. They have the low still positioned near the old location instead of north of the Bahamas.

EWG, Joe in his morning video said that the low he has marked on the map would become the dominate one. IMHO I think the low just north of the Bahamas is the stronger one of the two at this time. Thoughts and comments welcomed.


Robert

[Damar91]

A little bit overhyped wouldn't you say? "Coast on Alert". I don't see much to be alerted about.

[TampaFl]

A little bit overhyped wouldn't you say? "Coast on Alert". I don't see much to be alerted about.

Agree Damar91. Best to just keep an eye on it and be aware that it is out there.


Robert

[Air Force Met]

I have to admit that I am having trouble closing off a low north of the Bahamas. That area also appears broad. It may be slightly better defined than the eastern low/trough now, but with the better dynamics, if I had to place a bet on which one has the better chance, it would be the eastern trough

Chances are neither of the two are going to be the one...if any. Probably will be somewhere else....if at all.

[CrazyC83]

The Cape Verde system (94L), IMO, is the most likely to develop.

[Stephanie]

So basically all you have to do to make a nice plot is to blind fold someone, spin them around 3 times and have them draw a line.

[Hybridstorm_November2001]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

I believe with two shortwaves forecast to erode the Ridge. That 93L will follow a track like the below, over the course of the next seven days. If I was between Florida and the Carolinas I would closely watch this system, as any jog to the West could greatly impact those areas:



As for intensity I believe there is a chance 93L could become a category one storm, thus my track reflects such.

[wxman57]

I have to admit that I am having trouble closing off a low north of the Bahamas. That area also appears broad. It may be slightly better defined than the eastern low/trough now, but with the better dynamics, if I had to place a bet on which one has the better chance, it would be the eastern trough

Yep, I agree.

[Stormavoider]

Just to really complicate things, we need another low. Maybe we could get one turning down in the Keys. There does seem to be some turning right over Marathon. Is the very tail end of these frontal systems typically the most common place for tropical development?

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=BYX&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=yes

[Stormavoider]

Just kidding! Carry on!

[SouthFloridawx]

Just kidding! Carry on!

Don't worry you didn't kill the thread.

[Stormavoider]

I was beginning to wonder.

[Extremeweatherguy]

From the afternoon Houston NWS disco:

MOISTURE IS PROGGED TO INCREASE OVER THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL
GULF OF MEXICO WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY AS A 500MB INVERTED
TROUGH/LOW OVER FLORIDA WEDNESDAY MIGRATES WESTWARD OVER THE GULF
THURSDAY.

[SouthFloridawx]

From the afternoon Houston NWS disco:

MOISTURE IS PROGGED TO INCREASE OVER THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL
GULF OF MEXICO WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY AS A 500MB INVERTED
TROUGH/LOW OVER FLORIDA WEDNESDAY MIGRATES WESTWARD OVER THE GULF
THURSDAY.

I think that is the Upper Level to Mid Level low that has been mentioned in the thread.

[Thunder44]

I have to admit that I am having trouble closing off a low north of the Bahamas. That area also appears broad. It may be slightly better defined than the eastern low/trough now, but with the better dynamics, if I had to place a bet on which one has the better chance, it would be the eastern trough

Yep, I agree.

To be honest, I'm seeing more organziation with the thunderstorm cluster further to east now. Dr. Lyons was just on the tropical update and he also seems to agree with your scenerio.