Tropical Wave in East Atlantic (Ex 94L)

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ConvergenceZone
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#21 Postby ConvergenceZone » Mon Aug 14, 2006 9:19 am

storms in NC wrote:This one will be like the rest of them. There just is to much shear and dry air and the ull's out there that just likes to kill them. If we had a year like last year then yes it would stand a good chance to development. But not this year. I think when we do get a storm it will be homegrown and not CV. JMO


which it why I'm not worrying about. On the outside chance something does form, at least it looks like it will be a fish.
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#22 Postby kenl01 » Mon Aug 14, 2006 9:21 am

In fact, many runs of the GFS show many of the disturbances in the next 10 days take a northward turn out to sea.............

we'll see if this pans out.
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#23 Postby SouthFloridawx » Mon Aug 14, 2006 9:44 am

Looks like a pretty good candidate for Debby in the future. Let's see how it holds up.

Image

You can see what happens when the dust is pretty much non-exsistent off of Africa.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... split.html

Although it looks to be a pretty good candidate for Fishy it would be nice to track a storm.
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#24 Postby beachbum_al » Mon Aug 14, 2006 9:47 am

Debby The Fish!
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#25 Postby Thunder44 » Mon Aug 14, 2006 9:48 am

Tropical Weather Outlook

Statement as of 11:30 am EDT on August 14, 2006


For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico...
A vigorous surface low pressure area is producing numerous showers
and heavy squalls between the West Coast of Africa and the Cape
Verde Islands. Wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph have been reported with
this system today. Although environmental conditions are only
marginally favorable for any significant development to occur...a
tropical depression could still form before the system reaches the
Cape Verde Islands tomorrow. Interests near the Cape Verde Islands
should closely monitor the progress of this system as it moves
west-northwest to northwestward at 15 to 20 mph.

$$
Forecaster brown/Stewart
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#26 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Mon Aug 14, 2006 9:50 am

I expect either this or the system off FL to become Debby within the next 72 hours.
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#27 Postby x-y-no » Mon Aug 14, 2006 9:51 am

Yeah, that's a pretty little system ...

Good candidate for a fishy Debby. :D
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#28 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 14, 2006 9:54 am

I dont remember seeing the Tropical Weather Outlook well before 11 AM being released.
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#29 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Mon Aug 14, 2006 9:56 am

cycloneye wrote:I dont remember seeing the Tropical Weather Outlook well before 11 AM being released.
same here. This seems very early.
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#30 Postby Windsurfer_NYC » Mon Aug 14, 2006 9:56 am

cycloneye wrote:I dont remember seeing the Tropical Weather Outlook well before 11 AM being released.


I've noticed the "1130 AM EDT" reports coming in at 10:30 AM EDT many times in the past few weeks.....
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#31 Postby ConvergenceZone » Mon Aug 14, 2006 10:10 am

x-y-no wrote:Yeah, that's a pretty little system ...

Good candidate for a fishy Debby. :D



well, knowing that it's a fish makes me want to see it develop into a cat5 monster storm, although I don't think the conditions would support it, but I can still dream... :lol:
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#32 Postby Derek Ortt » Mon Aug 14, 2006 10:14 am

the last significant storm to hti the CV Islands killed more than 100 people. Thus, THIS IS NO FISH
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#33 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Mon Aug 14, 2006 10:14 am

ConvergenceZone wrote:
x-y-no wrote:Yeah, that's a pretty little system ...

Good candidate for a fishy Debby. :D



well, knowing that it's a fish makes me want to see it develop into a cat5 monster storm, although I don't think the conditions would support it, but I can still dream... :lol:


no one knows this is a fish yet...unless they can see the future.
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#34 Postby Hybridstorm_November2001 » Mon Aug 14, 2006 10:17 am

I hope the one off Florida becomes Debby. Seeing as that name has been used so many times before, it is like the "curse of Chris", a good luck charm.
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#35 Postby ConvergenceZone » Mon Aug 14, 2006 10:18 am

Derek Ortt wrote:the last significant storm to hti the CV Islands killed more than 100 people. Thus, THIS IS NO FISH


I define Fish as a storm that DOESN'T hit any islands or other landmass...I takes it for granted that people know that's what I mean, but I do realize if a hurricane hits an island that it's not a fish storm, but the chance of a hurricane going over a small island as it curves out to sea is pretty small when you look at how small the island is in the expanse of the ocean.
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#36 Postby Hybridstorm_November2001 » Mon Aug 14, 2006 10:18 am

cycloneye wrote:Yes Frank,is a good candidate for this :rarrow: :fishing:


Hope so, that is my favorite type :D
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#37 Postby WmE » Mon Aug 14, 2006 10:18 am

Derek Ortt wrote:the last significant storm to hti the CV Islands killed more than 100 people. Thus, THIS IS NO FISH


Yeah, 1982 Beryl killed nearly 120 people, and it was only a tropical storm.

EDIT:Yay,I'm a depression :D
Last edited by WmE on Mon Aug 14, 2006 10:34 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Derek Ortt

#38 Postby Derek Ortt » Mon Aug 14, 2006 10:19 am

there is a very large island chain that this will hit TOMORROW

The Cape Verde Islands, are ISLANDS
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#39 Postby sevenleft » Mon Aug 14, 2006 10:22 am

Derek Ortt wrote:there is a very large island chain that this will hit TOMORROW

The Cape Verde Islands, are ISLANDS
Are you gonna cry yourself to sleep tonight because of it?

Relax...
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#40 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 14, 2006 10:22 am

Derek Ortt wrote:the last significant storm to hti the CV Islands killed more than 100 people. Thus, THIS IS NO FISH


What the members refer to a fish from this system is not affecting any landmasses in the Western Hemisphere that includes the Lesser Antilles,Bermuda and the U.S East coast apart from the Cape Verde Islands.
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