a question for the pro mets and experts

[willjnewton]

I just want the only real smart people or pro mets to answer this at storm2k and the question is do most people think or have predicted that for this 2006 storm season once we head into the peak that the carolina's on northward into new england will get most of the hurricane action this storm season???and IF someone does say that, may I have there explanation or data on why please and also once I get the answer for or from someone then this will either be a SHORT threaD OR once I recieve the answer than they will lock it up, But anyway I love you all and thankyou so much for your responses I greatly appreciate them

[skysummit]

I consider myself smart....this question is getting old. Many, if not all, of the mets already answered a few times.

[willjnewton]

this will be the last time I answer this question though because I just need a clear answer last time I never recieved clear answers and I want to know why too, thanks

[willjnewton]

I understand though that No body can predict accurately because weather is NOT a exact science but I just need the right answer though, thanks

[Stratosphere747]

I understand though that No body can predict accurately because weather is NOT a exact science but I just need the right answer though, thanks

Will...

You just answered your own question...

[willjnewton]

but so you all are saying that most if not all pro mets or experts here at storm2k believe that the east coast is more at risk than the gulf of mexico am I correct???

[willjnewton]

and I want someone to tell me why too, thanks

[T-man]

All pro mets or experts please hurry and answer young will's question. I will love you all a lot...

[the_winds_that_sheared_me]

Hurry!!! ASAP!!!!!!!!!!

[cycloneye]

All pro mets or experts please hurry and answer young will's question. I will love you all a lot...

Check your PM box please.

[boca]

Dude you ask the same question everyday and you get answered everyday.

[cycloneye]

Hurry!!! ASAP!!!!!!!!!!

Check your PM box please.

[willjnewton]

but can you all answer my question please and tell me why too than you all may lock this threaD immediately afterwords okay thanks

[southerngale]

Have y'all ever heard this? If you don't have anything nice to say, don't say anything at all. If it's obvious the staff is letting him ask questions (which it must be since it was said that he asks every day), then it's not necessary for anyone to point this out. Everyone knows. It's ok...just pass this thread up if you don't want to respond to his questions. Thanks.

[hurricanedude]

wow..where did this cat come from?

[cycloneye]

wow..where did this cat come from?

Check your PM Box.

[willjnewton]

wheres the PM box???

[miamicanes177]

This quote is from Professional Met Aslkahuna and can be found in the thread below. This thread still contains useful and relevant information. http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic ... 98#1410998

It depends very much where the axis of the trough sets up and its orientation. If the axis is along the coast and the tilt is positive then the storms will be pushed out to sea. A negative tilt might enhance the chances of New England but not by much. If the axis is inland and the tilt is neutral to negative then the East Coast could be at risk. There are other factors as well such as amplitude and whether or not a shortwave is coming down into the mean trough position which can change the tilt and windflow direction on the front side of the trough. In 1995, a persistent trough in the East pretty much shielded the East Coast. In 1938, a deep trough drew the Long Island Express north and accelerated it into New England for their worse hit in modern history.

Steve

[hurricanedude]

BTW.....I also consider myself a smart man...many experts believe the situation is unfolding which could produce a few storms for the mid and north atlantic states..water temps in the low 80s as far north as NJ sure helps the cause!..but at the same time..everyone is at risk wheter your in Maine, NY, VA, FL, LA, or TX...coastal residents in general are at risk at all times from june till november

[boca]

If a storm is to threaten the Carolinas up to New England the trough needs to be aligned inland from the coast along with the bermuda high positioned along 30N producing a SE flow pushing a system northward or NNW along the coast just like Isabel in 2003.