Will this year follow climatology

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boca
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Will this year follow climatology

#1 Postby boca » Sat Aug 12, 2006 9:58 am

I know the height of hurricane season is August 15th thru Oct 15th. Has their been any indication in our current pattern that all of the sudden this might materailize. The Azores high did move more north. The SAL is there but not as dense and father to the north. The dry air is still prevalent out their its not like a light switch were boom its active. Does anyone see any indication of a more active period on the horizon with all these ULL's and dry air killing everything off. Last year weather patterns didn't follow climatology why should it this year but in the opposite fashion.
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Sanibel
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#2 Postby Sanibel » Sat Aug 12, 2006 10:56 am

Most likely the dry air dominating upper feature in the West Atlantic will lift suddenly as the summer jet reaches its northern peak. Would not be surprised to see a sudden moistening of the theatre and turn out of big juicy systems.


The season will show us as it progresses. Right now the warmer than normal SST scenario is busting.
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#3 Postby SouthFloridawx » Sat Aug 12, 2006 11:59 am

Sanibel wrote:Most likely the dry air dominating upper feature in the West Atlantic will lift suddenly as the summer jet reaches its northern peak. Would not be surprised to see a sudden moistening of the theatre and turn out of big juicy systems.

The season will show us as it progresses. Right now the warmer than normal SST scenario is busting.


thanks for your prognosis.
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