One impressive wave in the Central Atlantic!

[caneman]

I think this may be the next player. Lots of moisture with it. ULL's ahead of it moving out. going at a much better speed than 91 was. I think we are very close to seeing things pop soon. And this from the 8:00 discussion. Also, check out moisture on Water Vapor in this area.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 48W/49W S OF 19N MOVING W NEAR 15 KT.
THIS WAVE REMAIN WELL DEFINED AND FAIRLY HIGH AMPLITUDE WITH A
LOW-MID LEVEL SWIRL EVIDENT ON THE AXIS NEAR 13N. THIS WAVE HAS
BEEN EMBEDDED IN A VERY DRY ENVIRONMENT OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS
SUPPRESSING ANY SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. THERE WAS A LITTLE MORE
WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH IT THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE FALLING APART
THIS EVENING. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE MAINLY AHEAD OF THE WAVE
AXIS FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 49W-55W.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

I feel that so far with the dry mid to upper level dry air over the central Atlatnic. That tropical cyclone formation is not very likely intill around 70 west/western Atlatnic.

I'm watching 91L right now...Which has a good MLC with covnection trying to develop over it. The shear is becoming more faverable and the Divergence at the upper levels are very strong over it now. Once that system gets to be about 75 west it should start developing.

This system is dealing with a ton of mid level dry air. Even so the lower and upper levels are moist. But this doe's have less shear to deal with. But I don't expect it to develop intill the around 70 west.

[StrongWind]

Do they mean the one that is now around 54W south of 14N? (Which coincidentally also happens to be south of 19N) Or, is this a new blob?

Has flared up this morning and looks to bring some good rains to the eastern Carib.

[colbroe]

Looks like it is firing up agaimn this morning, looks like it is going to do what
invest 91 did this week as it neared the winward islands, any ideas

[caneman]

Looks like the ULL near the Bahamas is finally moving out. The trades have slowed. Looks like moisture in the area is lacking in this area not sure how much of a problem that is though. Not sure what the water temps in that area are. Can someone post a link for that?

[colbroe]

Finally some one who is sure that the antlantic is not totally dead

[rainstorm]

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/sat-bin/disp ... C_SCALE=15

looks non impressive

[caneman]

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/sat-bin/display10.cgi?SIZE=full&PHOT=yes&AREA=mediterranean/sahara&PROD=ir&TYPE=ssmi&NAV=tropics&DISPLAY=Latest&ARCHIVE=Latest&CGI=tropics.cgi&CURRENT=20060703.1900.msg1.ir.x.sahara_dust.x.jpg&MOSAIC_SCALE=15

looks non impressive

True for now but looks like things are changing. take a look at the moisture in the Atlantic now.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EATL/WV/20.jpg