Western Caribbean Wave (Ex 91L)

[hcane27]

Invests date of first issue
2005 2006
91L - 05/13 90L - 06/07
90L - 06/07 91L - 06/22
92L - 06/12 92L - 06/23
93L - 06/14 93L - 06/27
94L - 06/21 95L - 06/29
95L - 06/27 96L - 07/08
96L - 07/01 97L - 07/16
97L - 07/03 98L - 07/22
98L - 07/08 99L - 07/26
99L - 07/12 90L - 07/30
90L - 07/19 91L - 08/07
91L - 07/21
92L - 07/25
93L - 07/26
94L - 07/30
95L - 08/03
96L - 08/11
97L - 08/21
98L - 08/21
99L - 08/22
90L - 08/25
91L - 08/27
93L - 08/08
95L - 08/03
96L - 08/11
97L - 08/21
98L - 08/21
99L - 08/22
90L - 08/25
91L - 08/27
92L - 08/30
93L - 09/03
94L - 09/04
95L - 09/12
96L - 09/15
97L - 09/18
98L - 09/22
90L - 09/26
99L - 09/30
91L - 10/03
92L - 10/03
93L - 10/04
94L - 10/05
95L - 10/06
96L - 10/07
97L - 10/10
98L - 10/14
99L - 10/21
90L - 10/25
91L - 10/25
92L - 10/29
93L - 11/12
94L - 11/12
95L - 11/19
96L - 11/27

[Sanibel]

The disturbance has done another weak rebound of convection south of Hispaniola.

Strange system this one. It is showing weak persistence. Just enough to not form but keep us watching.


Looking at the IR loop I believe the center under the red IR is pulling into the south point of Dominican Republic now.

[wjs3]

Looking at visible, I am not hopeful with this latest flare up. It looks like the new convection fired out an outflow boundary (racing northward across Hispaniola).

Outflow = bad for development of a TC. I may be wrong, but looks like another garden variety blow up from this wave.

[x-y-no]

Looking at visible, I am not hopeful with this latest flare up. It looks like the new convection fired out an outflow boundary (racing northward across Hispaniola).

Outflow = bad for development of a TC. I may be wrong, but looks like another garden variety blow up from this wave.

If anything is to come of this wave, it'll be when it gets into the western Caribbean.

[SouthFloridawx]

EX-91L is still encountering 20+kts of windshear from the TUTT trough. This shear will likely continue until it reaches the western caribbean.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... idshr.html

Conditions in the W. Caribbean, BOC and S. GOM might be a little more favorable.

[rockyman]

System has slowed way down and continues to fire convection today. By the weekend, this should be in the Western Caribbean...

[tailgater]

EX-91L is still encountering 20+kts of windshear from the TUTT trough. This shear will likely continue until it reaches the western caribbean.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... idshr.html

Conditions in the W. Caribbean, BOC and S. GOM might be a little more favorable.

Shear not bad here.
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... wg8sht.GIF

Shear not good here.
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8wvir.GIF

Just me looking at the water vapor loop, I'm thinking some southerly shear but not that bad. Also the low level steering currents should take this Blob WNW.

[Trugunzn]

So what happened to invest 96l? I wasnt here for the last 2 days. Did it die?

[Thunder44]

So what happened to invest 96l? I wasnt here for the last 2 days. Did it die?

No, conditions have just become unfavorable for development for next few days.

[Trugunzn]

Still has a chance to come bac?

[cycloneye]

SouthFloridawx,since 91L invest is gone,I changed the title to Central Caribbean Wave.

[SouthFloridawx]

SouthFloridawx,since 91L invest is gone,I changed the title to Central Caribbean Wave.

Woops.. forgot to do that.

[ConvergenceZone]

while there's a chance it can develop when it hits the gulf, that's a few days out, so it's a "nothing" right now....

[Trugunzn]

Shear is actually running about average right now:

[x-y-no]

Wonder why they dropped the invest number ... does it cost them anything to keep it active?

I would have expected them to keep it just for continuity in case it does make a comback in the wstern Caribbean.

[wxman57]

Still has a chance to come bac?

I think that the current chances of this wave becoming a TS are just about equal to my winning the lottery.

[Extremeweatherguy]

Still has a chance to come bac?

I think that the current chances of this wave becoming a TS are just about equal to my winning the lottery.

I agree with you on that statement this time.

[Trugunzn]

Still has a chance to come bac?

I think that the current chances of this wave becoming a TS are just about equal to my winning the lottery.

well theres a chance

[AnnularCane]

Still has a chance to come bac?

I think that the current chances of this wave becoming a TS are just about equal to my winning the lottery.

If this does become a TS, I would advise you to run out and buy lottery tickets immediately.

[HurricaneHunter914]