I heard more gulf storms for this 2006 season?

[willjnewton]

is it true that most people think the gulf of mexico and florida is going to get hit by a storm this 2006 storm season???because I heard from a lot of people is telling me at storm2k that the gulf of mexico and florida might get slammed for this 2006 storm season? If a storm forms, is that true does anyone agree???

[Extremeweatherguy]

I think overall the east coast may be more active this season, but I do still think the Gulf will see 1-3 hurricane (may be major hurricane) threats before November 30th. Depending on how strong these storms get, and exactly where they hit will make all the difference in whether we can consider the Gulf coast being "slammed" this season or not.

[sevenleft]

Its a crapshoot.

[vacanechaser]

no one that i have seen has told you that william.... you ask this every day, and the answer is the same.... the east coast looks to be the greatest threat this year...

and before you ask, there is a trough near the east coast that has shifted back and forth this summer, but the trough may be there if something comes towards the coast and bring it up the coast... nothing has changed since the last time you asked... it is still the east coast...

[willjnewton]

but if you look at the troughs and and everything or conditions in the atlantic, is the gulf coast more at risk or the east coast more at risk???someone please give me the right answer based on the conditions and troughs and upper level lows in the atlantic please tell me, thanks

[willjnewton]

okay thanks I apologize you all may lock this THREAD, thanks

[vacanechaser]

i just told you it is the east coast.... the upper lows are still out there, it is just something that happens... will they become less numerous, we just dont know... no one does... the trough has been consitantly near the coast this year... so, it should remain that way meaning the east coast

[Extremeweatherguy]

but if you look at the troughs and and everything or conditions in the atlantic, is the gulf coast more at risk or the east coast more at risk???someone please give me the right answer based on the conditions and troughs and upper level lows in the atlantic please tell me, thanks

according to long range predictions...the east coast seems to have a higher risk. However, if we really do get 15 storms this season (as Dr. Gray predicts), then I am sure a few of the 12 remaining would venture into the Gulf. No one can predict the future though, so there is really no 100% correct answer to your question that anyone can give you right now. Just sit back and see what happens..

[Frank2]

Hopefully one of the meteorolgists will answer your question, but, so far this season, the Gulf has seen many upper lows cross the area, which means the area has not been favorable for development.

Things can change rapidly, but, this seems to be due to a long-term weather pattern, and, since most long-term patterns last for many weeks or even months, perhaps this does mean that the Gulf environment will remain unfavorable through the rest of the season.

Again, hopefully one of the professional folks will comment...

Frank

[TampaFl]

but if you look at the troughs and and everything or conditions in the atlantic, is the gulf coast more at risk or the east coast more at risk???someone please give me the right answer based on the conditions and troughs and upper level lows in the atlantic please tell me, thanks

Good afternoon Will. This link to this thread listed below explains troughs and upper level lows and it's possible affects on hurricanes. Hope this helps

Robert

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=86968

[willjnewton]

it does help thanks

[MBismyPlayground]

willie, Honest to God, I do not think there is a right or wrong ....When it comes to mother nature and her powers, one can only make educated questamations.
All of these different things, the troughs, lows, highs, ect...change day to day week to week. and based on these changes, each area is in risk...

[windycity]

Things change from week to week, the conditions that are favorable for a fish storm can change to a east coast threat quickly. If it were predictable,it wouldnt as fun tracking them. Agree? Therefor, checking daily for changes in the tropics is what all of us on this board ,do.

[mikey mike]

The more I read willj's posts, the more I become convinced he's having a good 'ol time with everybody!!

[CocoCreek]

:lol: The more I read willj's posts, the more I become convinced he's having a good 'ol time with everybody!!

I'm with you on that one, but not all see that for some reason.

[willjnewton]

Oh my god a El nino's here according to accuweathers hurricane expert Joe Bastardi from accuweather and thats stupid because I love hurricanes someone please explain to me whats going on please thanks

[DESTRUCTION5]

LOL..Will Are you CHRISTY in Disguise?

[southerngale]

LOL..Will Are you CHRISTY in Disguise?

No...check your PM's in a minute.

[GulfBreezer]

LOL..Will Are you CHRISTY in Disguise?

No...check your PM's in a minute.

Thanks Kelly, you beat me to it!!

[mikey mike]

Very humble apologies and a thank you to Kelly.