You know things are quiet when

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Lowpressure
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You know things are quiet when

#1 Postby Lowpressure » Thu Aug 10, 2006 2:08 pm

A thunderstorm complex in the upper Ohio valley looks better than anything in the basin. :roll:
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#2 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 10, 2006 2:11 pm

Talking Tropics forum is very slow in the posting from the members.
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#3 Postby Lowpressure » Thu Aug 10, 2006 2:13 pm

cycloneye wrote:Talking Tropics forum is very slow in the posting from the members.


I remember about this time last year, the servers at S2K were trying to keep up and not smoke.
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#4 Postby jusforsean » Thu Aug 10, 2006 2:23 pm

you dont have to push the refresh button when you sit back down
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#5 Postby Swimdude » Thu Aug 10, 2006 2:26 pm

You don't have to scroll to the bottom of the page to find threads from 6 hours ago. :cheesy:
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#6 Postby Stormavoider » Thu Aug 10, 2006 2:26 pm

You do work related stuff.
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#7 Postby gatorcane » Thu Aug 10, 2006 2:28 pm

it is SO quiet right now - there is absolutely nothing even off Africa worth noting....is it really August?

However - I do expect it to ramp up very soon.
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#8 Postby seaswing » Thu Aug 10, 2006 2:29 pm

jusforsean wrote:you dont have to push the refresh button when you sit back down


Thats the truth!!! :22:
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#9 Postby decgirl66 » Thu Aug 10, 2006 2:37 pm

Stormavoider wrote:You do work related stuff.


I second that! :boared:
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#10 Postby Jim Cantore » Thu Aug 10, 2006 2:38 pm

Just like my You might be a Hurricane nut if stuff

If you have to scroll through piles of Season cancel posts to find a thread from yesterday, it just may be quiet

If a thunderstorm in your area has more convection then anything in the ITCZ, it just may be quiet

If you go to "retrack" storms from last year, it just may be quiet

If you make up a storm to track, it just may be quiet

If the games fourm is BOOMING! (which it isnt) it just may be quiet.
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#11 Postby ConvergenceZone » Thu Aug 10, 2006 2:43 pm

gatorcane wrote:it is SO quiet right now - there is absolutely nothing even off Africa worth noting....is it really August?

However - I do expect it to ramp up very soon.



I thought that too until I saw the wave that moved off the Atlantic, that should develop in time...
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#12 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Thu Aug 10, 2006 2:43 pm

I certainly prefer this quietness to a dangerous storm. :D 8-)
Hurricane Charley's threat...2004...and 2005 have put the fear of
storms in me.

Enjoy this quiet while it lasts. Savor it, and hope
the quietness continues. Once the storms get
going in August-September with high activity...folks in the path
of any storm will be praying for this quietness.
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#13 Postby miamicanes177 » Thu Aug 10, 2006 2:48 pm

Jeff Masters expects 4-5 storms and a major hurricane this August. Although it is only mid August, I just do not see how we can get anything going when there is 30-40kts of shear all across the Atlantic. You can not even get a tropical storm in 40kts of shear. I've seen some people post shear forecast maps...do those accurately predict the shear? If so, I would love to have a link to one. I appreciate it. Unless we lose the shear it will be very quiet and it does not matter what month it is.
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#14 Postby decgirl66 » Thu Aug 10, 2006 2:49 pm

That is true Tampa Bay! I certainly don't wish any storms on anyone! Charley did it for me too! They are beautiful to look at, but not fun to experience firsthand! (unless you are a kid and have no school...)
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#15 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Thu Aug 10, 2006 2:52 pm

miamicanes177 wrote:Jeff Masters expects 4-5 storms and a major hurricane this August. Although it is only mid August, I just do not see how we can get anything going when there is 30-40kts of shear all across the Atlantic. You can not even get a tropical storm in 40kts of shear. I've seen some people post shear forecast maps...do those accurately predict the shear? If so, I would love to have a link to one. I appreciate it. Unless we lose the shear it will be very quiet and it does not matter what month it is.
Have you seen what the pulse of activity has done in the western Pacific? That pulse should slowly move east and arrive in the Atlantic in 1-3 weeks. Once that happens...watch out! Things should get crazy.

BTW, I can not find the large areas of 30-40 knot shear you mentioned on this wind shear map. Looks more like 5-15 knots shear (with a few 20-30 knot pockets). That kind of shear is not too unusual for Aug. 10th:

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8shr.html
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#16 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Aug 10, 2006 2:59 pm

Extremeweatherguy wrote:
miamicanes177 wrote:Jeff Masters expects 4-5 storms and a major hurricane this August. Although it is only mid August, I just do not see how we can get anything going when there is 30-40kts of shear all across the Atlantic. You can not even get a tropical storm in 40kts of shear. I've seen some people post shear forecast maps...do those accurately predict the shear? If so, I would love to have a link to one. I appreciate it. Unless we lose the shear it will be very quiet and it does not matter what month it is.
Have you seen what the pulse of activity has done in the western Pacific? That pulse should slowly move east and arrive in the Atlantic in 1-3 weeks. Once that happens...watch out! Things should get crazy.

BTW, I can not find the large areas of 30-40 knot shear you mentioned on this wind shear map. Looks more like 5-15 knots shear (with a few 20-30 knot pockets). That kind of shear is not too unusual for Aug. 10th:

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8shr.html


Yeah I don't see 30-40 kts of shear in the atlantic basin on that picture. So far this is a normal regular Hurricane Season. This overactivity has really spoiled us hurricane trackers.

We will get our turn to track some storms just give it time. I know we keep saying give it time but, that is really what it is.

The season is not dead, the active part hasn't begun.
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#17 Postby dizzyfish » Thu Aug 10, 2006 3:05 pm

:uarrow: The season is not dead, the active part hasn't begun.

Can we just not have them all in a month's time though? :roll:

(that's what I'm afraid of - once it starts - it kicks us all in the butt!) :(
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#18 Postby Cyclenall » Thu Aug 10, 2006 3:22 pm

1. You know things are quiet when you start to track Eastern Pacific Storms very closely.

2. You know things are quiet when you get very exicted over a thunderstorm in your area.

3. You know things are quiet when all you talk about is how crazy the 2005 Atlantic Hurricane Season was.

4. You know things are quiet when you don't visit the NHC site more then 3 times a day.
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MiamiensisWx

#19 Postby MiamiensisWx » Thu Aug 10, 2006 3:24 pm

You know things are quiet when this discussion begins in earnest.
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#20 Postby MetroMike » Thu Aug 10, 2006 4:07 pm

You know it's a slow season so far when you wake-up in the morning and say "Where's the coffee?" and not say " I wonder where that tropical storm/hurricane is now.
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