Convection near 10N 45W

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Stormavoider
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Convection near 10N 45W

#1 Postby Stormavoider » Wed Aug 09, 2006 8:54 pm

If this keeps up it will be looking better than 91L.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-avn.html
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#2 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Wed Aug 09, 2006 9:06 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/avn-l.jpg

Right now its just a cluster of thunderstorms.
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#3 Postby Stormavoider » Wed Aug 09, 2006 9:07 pm

Yup.
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#4 Postby Acral » Wed Aug 09, 2006 9:15 pm

I see what MAY be convection, but the shear is really shredding this wannabe. I don't think we have much of anything right now except a few storms and some wet stuff.
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#5 Postby Stormavoider » Wed Aug 09, 2006 10:19 pm

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#6 Postby SouthFloridawx » Wed Aug 09, 2006 10:35 pm

000
AXNT20 KNHC 092356
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT WED AUG 09 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...THE GULF OF MEXICO...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHEASTERN
SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE
AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION
IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...
AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY
THROUGH 2315 UTC.

...ITCZ...
ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 12N15W 11N35W 13N54W TO VENEZUELA
NEAR 10N66W. THE AXIS IS RATHER QUIET THIS EVENING WITH ONLY
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS E OF 22W WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE
OF THE AXIS LIKELY AHEAD OF THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 43W-48W.
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#7 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Wed Aug 09, 2006 10:36 pm

Development chances are zero since this is with the ITCZ.
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#8 Postby Nimbus » Thu Aug 10, 2006 6:34 am

Floater two is on it and the sea surface temperatures are a litle warmer west of 50.
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#9 Postby MortisFL » Thu Aug 10, 2006 6:47 am

HurricaneHunter914 wrote:Development chances are zero since this is with the ITCZ.


A storm cant develop in the ITCZ?
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#10 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Thu Aug 10, 2006 7:11 am

That's what someone else on this forum told me. :)
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#11 Postby TheEuropean » Thu Aug 10, 2006 7:35 am

Nimbus wrote:Floater two is on it and the sea surface temperatures are a litle warmer west of 50.


Floater 2 is now back on 91L.
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#12 Postby bob rulz » Thu Aug 10, 2006 8:09 am

MortisFL wrote:
HurricaneHunter914 wrote:Development chances are zero since this is with the ITCZ.


A storm cant develop in the ITCZ?


They can, but it's very rare and requires the right set of conditions.
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#13 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Aug 10, 2006 1:25 pm

000
AXNT20 KNHC 101818 CCA
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT THU AUG 10 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...THE GULF OF MEXICO...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHEASTERN
SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE
AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION
IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...
AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 41W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING
WEST NEAR 15 KT. CYCLONIC CURVATURE WITH AN INVERTED V PATTERN
IS MAINLY NOTED IN THE LOW CLOUD MOTIONS N OF 10N BETWEEN 35W
AND 48W. OVERALL THERE IS LITTLE SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE. A CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION THAT
WAS NOTED W OF THE AXIS NEAR 9N45W THIS MORNING HAS SINCE
DIMINISHED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOTED AS OF 1700 UTC WITHIN 200NM OF EITHER
SIDE OF THE AXIS.
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