Convection near 10N 45W
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Convection near 10N 45W
If this keeps up it will be looking better than 91L.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-avn.html
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-avn.html
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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AXNT20 KNHC 092356
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT WED AUG 09 2006
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...THE GULF OF MEXICO...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHEASTERN
SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE
AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION
IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...
AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY
THROUGH 2315 UTC.
...ITCZ...
ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 12N15W 11N35W 13N54W TO VENEZUELA
NEAR 10N66W. THE AXIS IS RATHER QUIET THIS EVENING WITH ONLY
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS E OF 22W WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE
OF THE AXIS LIKELY AHEAD OF THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 43W-48W.
AXNT20 KNHC 092356
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT WED AUG 09 2006
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...THE GULF OF MEXICO...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHEASTERN
SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE
AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION
IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...
AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY
THROUGH 2315 UTC.
...ITCZ...
ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 12N15W 11N35W 13N54W TO VENEZUELA
NEAR 10N66W. THE AXIS IS RATHER QUIET THIS EVENING WITH ONLY
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS E OF 22W WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE
OF THE AXIS LIKELY AHEAD OF THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 43W-48W.
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- Category 5
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Development chances are zero since this is with the ITCZ.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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That's what someone else on this forum told me. 

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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- TheEuropean
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AXNT20 KNHC 101818 CCA
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT THU AUG 10 2006
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...THE GULF OF MEXICO...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHEASTERN
SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE
AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION
IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...
AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 41W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING
WEST NEAR 15 KT. CYCLONIC CURVATURE WITH AN INVERTED V PATTERN
IS MAINLY NOTED IN THE LOW CLOUD MOTIONS N OF 10N BETWEEN 35W
AND 48W. OVERALL THERE IS LITTLE SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE. A CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION THAT
WAS NOTED W OF THE AXIS NEAR 9N45W THIS MORNING HAS SINCE
DIMINISHED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOTED AS OF 1700 UTC WITHIN 200NM OF EITHER
SIDE OF THE AXIS.
AXNT20 KNHC 101818 CCA
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT THU AUG 10 2006
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...THE GULF OF MEXICO...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHEASTERN
SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE
AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION
IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...
AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 41W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING
WEST NEAR 15 KT. CYCLONIC CURVATURE WITH AN INVERTED V PATTERN
IS MAINLY NOTED IN THE LOW CLOUD MOTIONS N OF 10N BETWEEN 35W
AND 48W. OVERALL THERE IS LITTLE SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE. A CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION THAT
WAS NOTED W OF THE AXIS NEAR 9N45W THIS MORNING HAS SINCE
DIMINISHED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOTED AS OF 1700 UTC WITHIN 200NM OF EITHER
SIDE OF THE AXIS.
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