Western Caribbean Wave (Ex 91L)

[wxman57]

Wxman, what do you think 91L will do in the Carribbean?

I think it'll continue moving rapidly westward as a tropical wave, reach the Yucatan Peninsula maybe Sunday night/Monday morning, cross the BoC, then move into Mexico. Some moisture might track northward toward the lower TX coast next Tue/Wed. No development likely.

[Trugunzn]

So where is the center??

[george_r_1961]

So where is the center??

Its an open wave..no "center" so to speak.

[Trugunzn]

So pretty much a lot of people on here even Mets thinks its over.

[Acral]

My opinion, and that's all it is, this one is done.

[wxboy222]

seems to be losing that midlevel center too. oh well, next one.

[mike815]

yeah whenever that happ not in the near future.

[hawkeh]

next...

[SouthFloridawx]

Wxman, what do you think 91L will do in the Carribbean?

I think it'll continue moving rapidly westward as a tropical wave, reach the Yucatan Peninsula maybe Sunday night/Monday morning, cross the BoC, then move into Mexico. Some moisture might track northward toward the lower TX coast next Tue/Wed. No development likely.

Yeah the short wave and front associated with it may pull some of the moisture northward.

[hiflyer]

Leading cluster of storms now quite visible on SJU long range radar....middle of the night and some good leading edge storms with 30k plus tops showing.

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... 1&loop=yes
but the last image there is 60 mins old....Grlevelx is running current however so must be something with the NWS site.

[Thunder44]

Shear seems to be increasing over the wave now. Development looks unlikely tonight.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8shr.html

[ConvergenceZone]

Well, looks like the unanimous verdict is that it's over.... The dissipation may take awhile though. I doubt it will dissipate completely overnight.

[Extremeweatherguy]

I am going to have to say NEXT for now too. I think we will have to wait another week or two before we see any real Caribbean threats. However, I do expect at least one major in the Caribbean this year (just not from 91L). Let's just hope that major doesn't curve back into the U.S. when it happens.

[Brent]

I think IF it can slow down to 15-20 mph then it can develop, but I'm not sure it's going too, so, until it does, it's next for me too.

[cycloneye]

Next.

[cycloneye]

[PTrackerLA]

It appears I started a trend earlier today when I declared "Next"! A few members got angry at me but as much as some might wish storms to develop this one is obviously not a good candidate anymore. By September we'll have plenty of systems to track, you can bet on that. I just hope the gulf is quiet this year .

[Thunder44]

1030 Pm Edt Wed Aug 9 2006


For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico...
A strong tropical wave is moving westward at 20 to 25 mph across the
Lesser Antilles. This wave is producing numerous showers and
squalls with wind gusts to tropical storm force over portions of
the Lesser Antilles and the adjacent waters. This activity is
expected to spread over the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico early
Thursday. While this system is currently poorly organized...it
still has the potential to develop into a tropical depression
during the next day or so. An Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter
aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system on Thursday
afternoon...if necessary.
Elsewhere...tropical storm formation is not expected through
Friday.
$$
Forecaster Beven/brown

[ROCK]

I am going to have to say NEXT for now too. I think we will have to wait another week or two before we see any real Caribbean threats. However, I do expect at least one major in the Caribbean this year (just not from 91L). Let's just hope that major doesn't curve back into the U.S. when it happens.

I am with you. Bring on the next teaser... ..I also expect a major this year but in the GOM.

[28_Storms]

NHC still thinks a TD could form.