Recon ready for 91L starting Wed....

[dixiebreeze]

WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1100 AM EDT TUE 08 AUG 2006
SUBJECT: TROPICAL STORM PLAN OF THE DAY (TSPOD)
VALID 09/1100Z TO 10/1100Z AUG 2006
TSPOD NUMBER.....06-070

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA
FLIGHT ONE FLIGHT TWO
A. 09/1800Z A. 10/0600Z,1200Z
B. AFXXX 01DDA INVEST B. AFXXX 0204A CYCLONE
C. 09/1700Z C. 10/0500Z
D. 15.0N 55.0W D. 16.0N 59.0W
E. 09/1700Z TO 10/0000Z E. 10/0500Z TO 10/1200Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: CONTINUE 6 HRLY FIXES IF SYSTEM
DEVELOPS AND REMAINS A THREAT.

II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.
WVW

[dixiebreeze]

Luis, when will Recon fly today? Thanks.

[HURAKAN]

We should get an answer in the TWO @ 11:30 AM EDT.

[Thunder44]

It will probably be cancelled.

[MWatkins]

I suspect they will go ahead with the flight...I guess we will find out..

MW

[Thunder44]

It's looking like they maybe more interested in this system developing again. So they may go after all.

[jlauderdal]

It will probably be cancelled.

why would you say that, have you looked at it in say the last 6 hours.

[Thunder44]

It will probably be cancelled.

why would you say that, have you looked at it in say the last 6 hours.

It was I thought earlier because the system had no LLC yet, from current obs in the area. Also TPC seemed to not think this system was going to develop anymore in the last TWO.

[Aquawind]

If they knew for 100% there was no LLC comming together again they probably would not fly.. but they can't be 100% over the water and with the deep convection..they could easily side on caution and just make sure with land in the path..

[dixiebreeze]

I suspect they will go ahead with the flight...I guess we will find out..

MW

Hi Mike, this is nicest looking "open wave" I've ever seen!

[Lowpressure]

Funny how when most of us give up on this thing, we wake up to this. All along NHC said this "could" become a depression, once they remove that portion due to increasingly less favorable environment- boom. Interesting season so far. Not very exciting but a learning experience.

[MWatkins]

They are going in:

http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... BNT20.KNHC

MW

[CrazyC83]

What are we looking for?

[CronkPSU]

What are we looking for?

what they always looks for...a LLC and wind speed

[CrazyC83]

What indicates a LLC, wind speeds all over the place?

[jlauderdal]

It will probably be cancelled.

why would you say that, have you looked at it in say the last 6 hours.

It was I thought earlier because the system had no LLC yet, from current obs in the area. Also TPC seemed to not think this system was going to develop anymore in the last TWO.

ok, one of the things they do in developing systems is look for the LLC. they system has looked better today thus the need for a mission.

[gatorcane]

Funny how when most of us give up on this thing, we wake up to this. All along NHC said this "could" become a depression, once they remove that portion due to increasingly less favorable environment- boom. Interesting season so far. Not very exciting but a learning experience.

It does seem like these systems this year are really challenging the NHC....

[WindRunner]

What indicates a LLC, wind speeds all over the place?

Well, most notably the transmission of a vortex data message. Those don't go out unless they go through a circ center.

[southerngale]

I've been really busy the last few days, but from the few comments I saw here late last night, I figured recon would be cancelled. I'm guessing it looks better today....off to check it out!