Invest 91L,E Caribbean,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #3

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cycloneye
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#101 Postby cycloneye » Wed Aug 09, 2006 6:34 am

ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST 91L

INITIAL TIME 0Z AUG 9

DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT
REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD
NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC
OFFICIAL FORECAST.


FORECAST STORM POSITION

HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT)

0 12.6 51.4 275./20.0
6 12.9 52.9 282./14.4
12 12.4 55.0 257./21.4
18 12.4 57.2 271./21.7
24 12.4 58.3 268./10.1
30 13.2 60.6 290./24.0
36 13.5 62.2 281./16.1
42 13.8 63.7 281./14.3
48 13.9 65.7 272./20.0
54 14.2 67.1 281./13.9
60 14.8 68.4 296./13.5
66 15.3 70.0 287./16.1

STORM DISSIPATED AT 66 HRS AT THE ABOVE PSN.

GFDL run of 00z.
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#102 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Aug 09, 2006 6:37 am

Aside from the unfavorable conditions, the difference why Chris was able to develop in this area, and 91L wasn't, is that Chris was moving at about 10 mph, and 91L is moving 25 mph. 91L, you have to take it easy!!!
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#103 Postby cycloneye » Wed Aug 09, 2006 6:37 am

Image
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#104 Postby Blown Away » Wed Aug 09, 2006 6:38 am

I wish they would stop teasing us! I can't handle the disappointment!!
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#105 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Wed Aug 09, 2006 6:39 am

I can't handle it my self. Thats why I'm watching the western Pacific system.
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#106 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Aug 09, 2006 6:40 am

Doesn't anyone know where is 92L, I'm looking for it. Maybe east of the Carolinas in a few days we could have it!!!
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#107 Postby drezee » Wed Aug 09, 2006 6:55 am

Ahhh, finally good convection....to this point all other convection was of the transient variety. This convection will likely hold on for more than 3 hours! Barbados...Good Morning...just think of yourself as a large buoy today. Everyone is going to be looking at your obs....

http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/TBPB.html
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#108 Postby kenl01 » Wed Aug 09, 2006 6:55 am

I actually wouldn't mind a TS, like Gaston of 2004, hitting here at all.
We need the rain.
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#109 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Aug 09, 2006 6:57 am

kenl01 wrote:I actually wouldn't mind a TS, like Gaston of 2004, hitting here at all.
We need the rain.


Gaston was a hurricane!!!
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#110 Postby Thunder44 » Wed Aug 09, 2006 6:58 am

I think much of this convection is being enchanced by the ULL to the north of the islands now. I don't know if we can get a new LLC to develop out of this.
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#111 Postby kenl01 » Wed Aug 09, 2006 7:06 am

HURAKAN wrote:
kenl01 wrote:I actually wouldn't mind a TS, like Gaston of 2004, hitting here at all.
We need the rain.


Gaston was a hurricane!!!


Barely.
But we did get a gust of 63mph in Ladson along with squalls of heavy rains.
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#112 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Wed Aug 09, 2006 7:14 am

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... wg8sht.GIF

Shear really isn't that unfavorable for redevelopment of an LLC though.
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#113 Postby cycloneye » Wed Aug 09, 2006 7:15 am

09/1145 UTC 12.5N 54.9W T1.0/1.0 91L -- Atlantic Ocean

Well,SSD is still giving t numbers to 91L.
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#114 Postby GeneratorPower » Wed Aug 09, 2006 7:22 am

Cycloneye do you ever sleep? :-)
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#115 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Aug 09, 2006 7:24 am

GeneratorPower wrote:Cycloneye do you ever sleep? :-)


He goes through some EWRC, but that's all!!!
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#116 Postby cycloneye » Wed Aug 09, 2006 7:25 am

GeneratorPower wrote:Cycloneye do you ever sleep? :-)


Believe it or not yes.I sleep around 7 hours. :)
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#117 Postby Aquawind » Wed Aug 09, 2006 7:27 am

HURAKAN wrote:
GeneratorPower wrote:Cycloneye do you ever sleep? :-)


He goes through some EWRC, but that's all!!!


:lol: Nice one..
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#118 Postby cycloneye » Wed Aug 09, 2006 7:27 am

The question is,will recon go this afternoon?
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#119 Postby bvigal » Wed Aug 09, 2006 7:27 am

cycloneye wrote:09/1145 UTC 12.5N 54.9W T1.0/1.0 91L -- Atlantic Ocean


Well,SSD is still giving t numbers to 91L.

Yeah, that's a bit wierd, just when they decide there is no low pressure. Definitely a wind surge ahead of this, see 56.2 14.6 buoy 41101 plot
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/show_plot.php? ... wdpr&uom=E
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#120 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Aug 09, 2006 7:28 am

Aquawind wrote:
HURAKAN wrote:
GeneratorPower wrote:Cycloneye do you ever sleep? :-)


He goes through some EWRC, but that's all!!!


:lol: Nice one..


I couldn't hold myself!!! :lol: :lol: :lol:
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