Invest 91L,E of Windwards,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
TheEuropean
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 1797
Age: 60
Joined: Tue Sep 20, 2005 3:17 pm
Location: Voerde, Germany
Contact:

#341 Postby TheEuropean » Mon Aug 07, 2006 1:38 am

gilbert88 wrote:
HurricaneMaster_PR wrote:OMG...Any thoughts on the GFDL 0600Z run? :lol:


LOL... right into Panama. :roll:


Panama??? Where in the hell is "your" Panama? ;-)
0 likes   

User avatar
T-man
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 240
Joined: Mon Jul 04, 2005 10:57 am
Location: Lafitte, LA

#342 Postby T-man » Mon Aug 07, 2006 1:38 am

Panama? More like Venezuela :lol: :lol: :lol:
0 likes   

User avatar
HurricaneMaster_PR
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 795
Joined: Tue Jul 22, 2003 6:23 pm
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#343 Postby HurricaneMaster_PR » Mon Aug 07, 2006 1:40 am

T-man wrote:Panama? More like Venezuela :lol: :lol: :lol:

Guyana to be more precise :D
0 likes   

User avatar
T-man
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 240
Joined: Mon Jul 04, 2005 10:57 am
Location: Lafitte, LA

#344 Postby T-man » Mon Aug 07, 2006 1:44 am

I'll buy that. :wink:
0 likes   

Bailey1777
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 962
Joined: Mon Jul 31, 2006 6:23 pm
Location: Houston, Texas

#345 Postby Bailey1777 » Mon Aug 07, 2006 1:44 am

Looking at the visible it seems to be firing up to the East of the ciculation now.
0 likes   

Bailey1777
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 962
Joined: Mon Jul 31, 2006 6:23 pm
Location: Houston, Texas

#346 Postby Bailey1777 » Mon Aug 07, 2006 1:45 am

South East to be exact.
0 likes   

User avatar
TheEuropean
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 1797
Age: 60
Joined: Tue Sep 20, 2005 3:17 pm
Location: Voerde, Germany
Contact:

#347 Postby TheEuropean » Mon Aug 07, 2006 1:46 am

What is the right way: Opening a new thread if 91L will become T.D. No.4 or will this thread go on and on...
0 likes   

Bailey1777
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 962
Joined: Mon Jul 31, 2006 6:23 pm
Location: Houston, Texas

#348 Postby Bailey1777 » Mon Aug 07, 2006 1:48 am

I think they just change the name of the thread to reflect it.
0 likes   

User avatar
HurricaneMaster_PR
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 795
Joined: Tue Jul 22, 2003 6:23 pm
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#349 Postby HurricaneMaster_PR » Mon Aug 07, 2006 1:50 am

Does anybody has the 0600Z models?
0 likes   

User avatar
Swimdude
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2270
Joined: Mon Jul 26, 2004 11:57 am
Location: Houston, TX

#350 Postby Swimdude » Mon Aug 07, 2006 2:00 am

Check out 91L this morning with Dvorak enhancement... Neat!

Image
0 likes   

Matt-hurricanewatcher

#351 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Mon Aug 07, 2006 2:01 am

We should know with in the next hour on NRL if they upgrade. Hopefully they will do it.
0 likes   

clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#352 Postby clfenwi » Mon Aug 07, 2006 2:02 am

HurricaneMaster_PR wrote:Does anybody has the 0600Z models?


They haven't been run. I've noticed that many times, when there is just an invest out there, that there are either aren't any "early" 0600Z models or they come out at a later time than usual, for example the 30 Jul 06Z run for 90L wasn't posted until around 0830Z.

You can check here to see whether they come out... if they don't then the next thing posted will be the 06Z GFDL (normally posted a little after 11Z).
0 likes   

Matt-hurricanewatcher

#353 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Mon Aug 07, 2006 2:09 am

The center is at 12 north/38 west...A ship report from right in the center has reported no winds or under 5 knots. The convection is being sheared again. While there is a small area of convection trying to pop over the eastern Part. Darn it it would be upgraded by the nhc will not upgrade now.
0 likes   

Bailey1777
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 962
Joined: Mon Jul 31, 2006 6:23 pm
Location: Houston, Texas

#354 Postby Bailey1777 » Mon Aug 07, 2006 2:18 am

Shear is picking up to the North of the system.
0 likes   

Matt-hurricanewatcher

#355 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Mon Aug 07, 2006 2:28 am

Good Catch Bailey1777, looks like shear is increasing at 10 to 20 knots west and north of the system. Looks like the tutt is going to mess with this one to. Looks like this might not make it. This makes me very sad.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8sht.html



:grrr: :grrr: :grrr: :x :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :roll: :roll: :roll:

Excuses me while I put my fist through a wall. :x
0 likes   

Bailey1777
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 962
Joined: Mon Jul 31, 2006 6:23 pm
Location: Houston, Texas

#356 Postby Bailey1777 » Mon Aug 07, 2006 2:31 am

I hear you. It's like everytime something forms the shear monster chases em down and kicks their butt.
0 likes   

User avatar
deltadog03
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 3580
Joined: Tue Jul 05, 2005 6:16 pm
Location: Macon, GA

#357 Postby deltadog03 » Mon Aug 07, 2006 2:37 am

The TUTT is going to hurt this guy as well. Don't really know on how much yet though.
0 likes   

Matt-hurricanewatcher

#358 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Mon Aug 07, 2006 2:42 am

Like I keep saying we got a 2002 like Tutt.
0 likes   

User avatar
Cyclenall
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6667
Joined: Thu Jun 08, 2006 10:01 pm
Location: Ontario, Canada

#359 Postby Cyclenall » Mon Aug 07, 2006 2:43 am

It's always the TUTT or the shear that gets in the way this year :roll:. Every single one....
0 likes   

User avatar
Normandy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2293
Joined: Sun Oct 10, 2004 12:31 am
Location: Houston, TX

#360 Postby Normandy » Mon Aug 07, 2006 3:31 am

Wow this board flip flops.
Its not that serious.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: cheezyWXguy, jgh, O Town, ouragans and 54 guests