Invest 91L,E of Windwards,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

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HenkL
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#41 Postby HenkL » Sun Aug 06, 2006 8:41 am

The most prominent convective area looks like a fish. Could be an omen ;)
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#42 Postby Frank2 » Sun Aug 06, 2006 8:48 am

Steve Lyons mentioned this morning that whatever forms in that area over the next few days, would recurve into the Central Atlantic (similar to what was mentioned here yesterday)...

Frank
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#43 Postby kenl01 » Sun Aug 06, 2006 8:51 am

Frank2 wrote:Steve Lyons mentioned this morning that whatever forms in that area over the next few days, would recurve into the Central Atlantic (similar to what was mentioned here yesterday)...

Frank


Agreed. Even the long range GFS hints at that during the next 120hrs. That's fine with me.
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#44 Postby Frank2 » Sun Aug 06, 2006 8:52 am

Yes, the GFS has continually suggested this recurve over the past 5 or 6 days, and seems to be forecasting that the fairly strong cold front that swept through the northeast several days ago, will create a trough in the North Central Atlantic...

Frank

P.S. That's fine with me, too...
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#45 Postby kenl01 » Sun Aug 06, 2006 9:06 am

Frank2 wrote:Yes, the GFS has continually suggested this recurve over the past 5 or 6 days, and seems to be forecasting that the fairly strong cold front that swept through the northeast several days ago, will create a trough in the North Central Atlantic...

Frank

P.S. That's fine with me, too...


I only hope that's the trend throughout the rest of September. :wink:
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#46 Postby rnbaida » Sun Aug 06, 2006 9:12 am

ok, then it's really not worth watching it if it going to curve out to sea...
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#47 Postby rnbaida » Sun Aug 06, 2006 9:13 am

There looks like there is high shear in the area. I dont see a way for this to develop in the next 12-24 hours....
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#48 Postby wxwatcher91 » Sun Aug 06, 2006 9:29 am

Link

Link

EDIT: Images changed into links to save on scrolling. -senorpepr
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#49 Postby wxwatcher91 » Sun Aug 06, 2006 9:45 am

Image
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#50 Postby stormtruth » Sun Aug 06, 2006 9:46 am

rnbaida wrote:ok, then it's really not worth watching it if it going to curve out to sea...


its still worth watching. :D
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#51 Postby El Nino » Sun Aug 06, 2006 9:59 am

I always said I like the GFDL model. I hope it will become true, because this season is really boring me.
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#52 Postby Windtalker1 » Sun Aug 06, 2006 10:00 am

rnbaida wrote:ok, then it's really not worth watching it if it going to curve out to sea...
If it doesn't form with-in the next 48hrs then chances for recurving gets thrown out the window. Only a strong storm will recurve and a weaker tend to move more westerly.
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#53 Postby O Town » Sun Aug 06, 2006 10:03 am

rnbaida wrote:ok, then it's really not worth watching it if it going to curve out to sea...

Well if you enjoy tracking then it doesn't matter where it goes, its just another learning experience. :wink:
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#54 Postby Air Force Met » Sun Aug 06, 2006 10:07 am

rnbaida wrote:ok, then it's really not worth watching it if it going to curve out to sea...


You know...you are really on the wrong board. You are the bizarro world's version of Great One.

As I told you last night...if you don't WANT to watch something...DON'T. You don't HAVE to click on the thread...it's not mandatory. The rest of us have earned the right...and reserve the right TO watch it.

Therefore....you can keep your comments confined to the posts about Cat 4 and 5 hurricanes.

That is all. :wink: :D
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#55 Postby MiamiensisWx » Sun Aug 06, 2006 10:07 am

Also, the GFS has trended on a cool bias and to weaken the west-central Atlantic ridging at the middle levels. So far, that synoptic pattern hasn't played out, and mid-level ridging is entrenced in the west-central Atlantic.
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#56 Postby Bailey1777 » Sun Aug 06, 2006 10:16 am

"That is all", that's classic AFM. mbaida they are right why come on here and shoot down everything. We obviously enjoy watching these systems even when there's little to watch. Until you get your degree in meteorology and 20 years on the job under your belt I think you should watch and learn with the rest of us. :cheesy:
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#57 Postby Frank2 » Sun Aug 06, 2006 10:16 am

But, the northeast is forecast to remain relatively cool to mild this week (70s in New England), with the ridge west of the Mississippi, so, apparently a trough is developing off the east coast, which would help to erode the ridge (or at least means it's more eastward than the last several weeks)...

Frank
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#58 Postby Frank2 » Sun Aug 06, 2006 10:17 am

Those large graphics are making this board too long - smaller graphics, please (per admin on Friday)...
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#59 Postby HurricaneMaster_PR » Sun Aug 06, 2006 10:18 am

11:30am TWO

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 650 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST
OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF
ORGANIZATION. SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH.
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#60 Postby Frank2 » Sun Aug 06, 2006 10:19 am

That sounds about right - nothing too much at this time...
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