Mmmm....so south of AL

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Stormavoider
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#141 Postby Stormavoider » Sat Aug 05, 2006 10:32 pm

KFDM Meteorologist wrote:West/NW eventaully to South Texas/Mexico. I don't see much of a circulation.


You can see it on radar bottom dead center.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=N0R&rid=LIX&loop=yes
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#142 Postby Rainband » Sat Aug 05, 2006 10:46 pm

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#143 Postby Stormavoider » Sat Aug 05, 2006 10:58 pm

Rainband wrote:http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=87311&highlight=radar

This might help 8-)


Thanks, I understand the angle thing.

From the 8:05 TWD
A 1013 MB SURFACE LOW
HAS DEVELOPED AT 05/2100 UTC OFF THE COAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI
DELTA NEAR 29N88W

It's visible on the IR and the radar. I think it does exist.
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#144 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat Aug 05, 2006 11:02 pm

---erased---
Last edited by Extremeweatherguy on Sat Aug 05, 2006 11:05 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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#145 Postby ROCK » Sat Aug 05, 2006 11:02 pm

Stormavoider wrote:
Rainband wrote:http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=87311&highlight=radar

This might help 8-)


Thanks, I understand the angle thing.

From the 8:05 TWD
A 1013 MB SURFACE LOW
HAS DEVELOPED AT 05/2100 UTC OFF THE COAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI
DELTA NEAR 29N88W

It's visible on the IR and the radar. I think it does exist.




well what do you know it did make it to the surface. I am in the wrong profession.... :lol:
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#146 Postby Bailey1777 » Sat Aug 05, 2006 11:03 pm

He was talking about Chris, just a slip up.
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#147 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat Aug 05, 2006 11:05 pm

Bailey1777 wrote:He was talking about Chris, just a slip up.
oh, ok. Yeah, your right. :lol: I was wondering how that would be possible.
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#148 Postby ROCK » Sat Aug 05, 2006 11:07 pm

Nice flare up on the infared......Interesting to see if it persist tonight. Sure is booking it WSW.....
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#149 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat Aug 05, 2006 11:12 pm

ROCK wrote:Nice flare up on the infared......Interesting to see if it persist tonight. Sure is booking it WSW.....
I think it is moving more west right now (based on radar), but I don't think it will have enough time to become anything serious. If it can slow down...may be, but I see this as being more of a severe weather maker in SE Texas tomorrow which could include a few damaging wind reports. I will not rule out a TD or weak TS yet, but it is losing it's opportunity quickly.
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#150 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat Aug 05, 2006 11:17 pm

Hmm...the new 0Z NAM looks interesting. It tries to slow down and develop this low and moves it into SE Texas in about 30-36 hours.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _036.shtml

The GFS, however, is a bit faster and brings this in as just a heavy rain maker in about 16-24 hrs.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _036.shtml
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#151 Postby Rainband » Sat Aug 05, 2006 11:21 pm

The nam is showing the remains of Chris into SE TX.
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#152 Postby SouthFloridawx » Sat Aug 05, 2006 11:23 pm

Rainband wrote:The nam is showing the remains of Chris into SE TX.


Also is the GFS 00Z
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#153 Postby Bailey1777 » Sat Aug 05, 2006 11:26 pm

Looks like alot of rain here no matter what!
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#154 Postby LaBreeze » Sat Aug 05, 2006 11:28 pm

Pretty severe weather came through here late this afternoon with hail, strong winds, vivid lightning and heavy rain. Some wind damage reports from what I am hearing, but stronger wind damage in SE Texas. Trees down and power transformer fell on a house catching it on fire. I believe the worst of it was around the Jasper area, north of Beaumont. The lightning was popping around here in SW LA that's for sure.
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#155 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Sat Aug 05, 2006 11:31 pm

Extremeweatherguy wrote:Hmm...the new 0Z NAM looks interesting. It tries to slow down and develop this low and moves it into SE Texas in about 30-36 hours.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _036.shtml

The GFS, however, is a bit faster and brings this in as just a heavy rain maker in about 16-24 hrs.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _036.shtml
GFS is much better than the WRF in tropics..
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#156 Postby LaBreeze » Sat Aug 05, 2006 11:36 pm

Hey KFDM, did you all get any action out of that horrendous thunderstorm that came out of LA and rode in just north of Beaumont? I heard that there was wind damage and trees down around Jasper. Hope all is well on your end.
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#157 Postby ROCK » Sat Aug 05, 2006 11:37 pm

SouthFloridawx wrote:
Rainband wrote:The nam is showing the remains of Chris into SE TX.


Also is the GFS 00Z



notice the "X" beelining it for NMEX.....that is Chris
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#158 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Sat Aug 05, 2006 11:41 pm

LaBreeze wrote:Hey KFDM, did you all get any action out of that horrendous thunderstorm that came out of LA and rode in just north of Beaumont? I heard that there was wind damage and trees down around Jasper. Hope all is well on your end.
Here in the Triangle just some moderate rain with Lightning. Worst of it passed north of I-10
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#159 Postby Bailey1777 » Sun Aug 06, 2006 12:59 am

Seems to be refiring convection. Wonder if it will get an invest?
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#160 Postby Yankeegirl » Sun Aug 06, 2006 1:21 am

Nothin here yet...
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