Besides the models PR NWS picks up on Potential system

[boca]

WE
WILL BE WATCHING TROPICAL WAVE AND MONSOON TROUGH ACTIVITY TO OUR
EAST CLOSELY OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...AS CONDITIONS APPEAR
PRIMED FOR POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT.

This was taken out of the San Juan NWS so we might see Debby soon.

[JonathanBelles]

where? can you show the entire NWS statement

[MiamiensisWx]

Steve, look here. The new second wave behind the larger one in front may well be a candidate.

[Brent]

where? can you show the entire NWS statement

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/JSJ/AFDSJU

[boca]

Fact789 here it is.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
502 PM AST SAT AUG 5 2006

.DISCUSSION...A LOW LEVEL PERTURBATION (TUTT REFLECTION) LOCATED
OVER WESTERN PUERTO RICO LATE THIS AFTERNOON WILL CONTINUE MOVING
WEST NORTHWEST ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE LOCAL AREA TONIGHT AND
THEN AWAY FROM THE REGION SUNDAY. AT THE SAME TIME...A SECOND LOW
LEVEL PERTURBATION (PROBABLY A PIECE OF THE NORTHERN VORTEX OF THE
TROPICAL WAVE STILL TO OUR EAST...AS NOTED IN PREVIOUS MIDNIGHT
SHIFT AFD) LOCATED OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS WILL MOVE WEST
NORTHWEST AND ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY AND THEN AWAY FROM THE REGION LATER SUNDAY AND SUNDAY
NIGHT. THESE TWO FEATURES WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT IN CLOUDINESS...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AND GUSTY WINDS ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS
TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY. LOOKING AHEAD...A BROAD TROPICAL
WAVE ACROSS THE WESTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC LATE THIS AFTERNOON...IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY...RESULTING IN ANOTHER SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN CLOUDINESS...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AND WINDS ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS. WE
WILL BE WATCHING TROPICAL WAVE AND MONSOON TROUGH ACTIVITY TO OUR
EAST CLOSELY OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...AS CONDITIONS APPEAR
PRIMED FOR POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT.

&&

.MARINE...INCREASING WINDS AND SEAS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
REGIONAL WATERS THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...AS
AFOREMENTIONED LOW LEVEL PERTURBATIONS AND TROPICAL WAVE MOVE
ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS. AS PREVIOUS FORECASTERS APTLY NOTED...
SUSTAINED LOW LEVEL WIND SURGE THAT WILL INDUCE THE INCREASE IN
WIND AND SEAS ACROSS THE REGION FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS WILL MAKE
FOR VERY SQUALLY WEATHER...AND MARINERS SHOULD EXPECT WIND GUSTS
OF 30 KNOTS OR GREATER WITH ANY SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM MOVING
ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. HAZARDOUS MARINE
CONDITIONS DUE TO FRESHENING WINDS...BUILDING SEAS...AND
OCCASIONALLY NASTY WEATHER SHOULD THEREFORE BE EXPECTED. WE HAVE A
PRECAUTIONARY STATEMENT FOR ALL OF THE LOCAL ATLANTIC AND
CARIBBEAN WATERS FOR TONIGHT...EXPECT A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL
GO INTO EFFECT FOR THE ATLANTIC OFF SHORE WATERS BEGINNING AT 11
PM AST TONIGHT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 77 87 77 87 / 50 50 70 50
STT 78 87 78 87 / 50 70 70 50

&&

.SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PR...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AMZ710 BEGINNING AT 11 PM AST.
VI...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AMZ710 BEGINNING AT 11 PM AST.
&&

$$