Mmmm....so south of AL

[KFDM Meteorologist]

Good answer. Plus looking at models you can tell as well.

[ROCK]

Question when you see rotation how can you tell what level it is at low, middle, upper?

I always look for the lower level clouds moving into a suspected center. AFM describes this well in the Chris post. During the day the vis loop is the best. At night, infared is harder but you got to look for the light gray clouds beneath the mid / upper levels.

Upper level is easy like the poster above. Water Vapor loop is my preference.

[rnbaida]

KFDM Meteorologist, how much do you make a year?

[Thunder44]

2pm analysis is out. Not much difference.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8sht.html

[Bailey1777]

Thanks guys, I'm always learning something on here!

[Extremeweatherguy]

2pm analysis is out. Not much difference.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8sht.html

the circulation is just ENE of the tip of LA right now and should pass just north of the area of increasing shear. Shear continues to let up off the TX coast though, so that may lead to an even better shot of development/strengthening tomorrow or Monday. Looks like the most shear this will experience is about 15-20 knots which is not too bad for development. It was not until about 40 knot shear that Chris was ripped apart.

[Sanibel]

Has the look of formation curvature.

[Dean4Storms]

Have to say if that holds together and makes it your way TX. and LA get ready for a spectacular lightning show. The Lightning was NON- STOP and one of the most impressive I've seen in a long time. Also, the rain and wind came down much like in a TS. BTW, we had a nice pressure drop to 29.93" during the height of that storm.

[Yankeegirl]

Lokks like a nice rotation, to the untrained eye... Definately something to keep an eye on... even if it is just a rain maker for the Houston area...

[Bailey1777]

Only will have what? Maybe 48hrs over the water. Looks like a repeat of what happened to us a couple of weeks ago here in Texas.

[Stormavoider]

Has it ever happened where an established ULL overran a budding LLC and combined to form one big tropical system???? Looking at the water vapor you can see the ULL heading straight for the circulation south of Mobile.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-wv.html

[KFDM Meteorologist]

KFDM Meteorologist, how much do you make a year?

Not enough!

[Bailey1777]

If you made a dime for every question you're asked on here I bet you'd be doing fine!!

[PTrackerLA]

The outflow boundary from the storms last night is spawning severe thunderstorms in the Baton Rouge area moving westward. Looks like we'll be getting this "outer band" within an hour or so. If this system were stationary I'd give it a pretty good shot at development but I think it will run out of time.

[GoldenTriangle]

[rnbaida wrote:
KFDM Meteorologist, how much do you make a year?
Not enoughquote]!

That is fact...KFDM is very seldom wrong [/quote]

[KFDM Meteorologist]

Thanks. We try not to be.

[Stormavoider]

Has it ever happened where an established ULL overran a budding LLC and combined to form one big tropical system???? Looking at the water vapor you can see the ULL heading straight for the circulation south of Mobile.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-wv.html

Don't make me go Will on ya!

[Yankeegirl]

Look! They upped our chances of rain tonight to 50%, gee I wonder why?? And we have a hazardous weather outlook too.... HHHMMMMMM.......

[KFDM Meteorologist]

Rainy weather for SE Tx through Monday. Don't see any development with Gulf system though as pressure are high and no real circulation.

[Stormavoider]

I borrowed this from AFM and modified it. BIG loop

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=28&lon=-88&info=vis&zoom=1&width=2800&height=2000&type=Animation&numframes=15&palette=ir.pal