Tropical Storm Chris

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#4921 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Fri Aug 04, 2006 5:38 pm

Please die..Tired of talking about it, him or whatever.
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#4922 Postby Grease Monkey » Fri Aug 04, 2006 5:44 pm

Ok chris stay alive just until Debby forms.
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#4923 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Aug 04, 2006 5:56 pm

Looks on the bright side at least this is not a 1914...Lets see what chris doe's the shear on the shear maps looks to be decreasing. But overall chris doe's not look very good at this time. In if it go over cuba its over.
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#4924 Postby Cape Verde » Fri Aug 04, 2006 6:01 pm

It's "pining for the fjords", but you had the right Monty Python skit in mind. :wink:
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#4925 Postby AJC3 » Fri Aug 04, 2006 6:03 pm

Cape Verde wrote:It's "pining for the fjords", but you had the right Monty Python skit in mind. :wink:


IMO he probably knew that, but modified the quote to the more regionally appropriate geographical feature that lies ahead of Chris. :wink:
Last edited by AJC3 on Fri Aug 04, 2006 6:04 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#4926 Postby Bailey1777 » Fri Aug 04, 2006 6:03 pm

Is there still a closed LLC and if so what direction is it moving?
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#4927 Postby P.K. » Fri Aug 04, 2006 6:10 pm

Cape Verde wrote:It's "pining for the fjords", but you had the right Monty Python skit in mind. :wink:


LOL, well it looks similar. :wink:

Image
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#4928 Postby storms in NC » Fri Aug 04, 2006 6:15 pm

Bailey1777 wrote:Is there still a closed LLC and if so what direction is it moving?
West then a little North then west then a little North then west west
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#4929 Postby Cape Verde » Fri Aug 04, 2006 6:21 pm

LOL, I'm basically washing my pet shop hands of Chris. Like most of us, I thought it would be a serious threat to the Keys this weekend, and possibly even a major hurricane in the Gulf early next week.

I couldn't get many of the model animations to even see the storm, much less make it develop, and that puzzled me.

I'm just here to learn, and I've learned a lot. I know not to discount Chris entirely, but I know enough that if we saw this feature looking like it looks tonight for the first time, it wouldn't get much comment.

I'm not saying I think it's a dead parrot pining for the fjords. It just looks like one to this rookie.
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#4930 Postby JonathanBelles » Fri Aug 04, 2006 6:26 pm

what is the best satelite at this time of nite?
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#4931 Postby miamicanes177 » Fri Aug 04, 2006 6:28 pm

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#4932 Postby MississippiHurricane » Fri Aug 04, 2006 6:57 pm

Looks like more convection is firing up.
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#4933 Postby Brent » Fri Aug 04, 2006 6:57 pm

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHRIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032006
800 PM AST FRI AUG 04 2006

...CHRIS PASSING THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR LONG ISLAND AND THE
EXUMAS IN THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...
GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN CUBA...AS WELL AS IN SOUTHERN FLORIDA AND THE
FLORIDA KEYS...SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CHRIS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 PM AST...0000Z...THE BROAD AND POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHRIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.5
NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.4 WEST OR ABOUT 20 MILES... 30 KM...NORTH
OF GREAT INAGUA ISLAND AND ABOUT 285 MILES...460 KM...EAST OF
CAMAGUEY CUBA.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH... 20 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS. THIS MOTION WILL TAKE THE CENTER OF CHRIS WEST OF THE
SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS TONIGHT AND NEAR THE NORTH COAST OF CUBA ON
SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. HOWEVER...ANY INCREASE IN STRENGTH WOULD BRING CHRIS BACK TO
TROPICAL STORM STATUS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 MB...29.85 INCHES.

CHRIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES
ACROSS THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...THE TURKS AND CAICOS...THE SOUTHEAST
BAHAMAS...HAITI AND EASTERN CUBA...WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF UP TO 4
INCHES OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN THROUGH SATURDAY.

REPEATING THE 800 PM AST POSITION...21.5 N...73.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/KNABB
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#4934 Postby Flakeys » Fri Aug 04, 2006 6:57 pm

Are we going to see ANYTHING from Chris here in the Keys? Lobster season opens Sunday and they'll be a lot of nuts in boats out there.
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#4935 Postby jlauderdal » Fri Aug 04, 2006 7:03 pm

Flakeys wrote:Are we going to see ANYTHING from Chris here in the Keys? Lobster season opens Sunday and they'll be a lot of nuts in boats out there.


few clouds, little breeze. little rain and like mini lobster season here lots of boats and lots of beer, stay safe three died during our season
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#4936 Postby MGC » Fri Aug 04, 2006 7:13 pm

Love Florida lobster....I'll be in the Keys this October...NO WILMA!!!!......MGC
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#4937 Postby Flakeys » Fri Aug 04, 2006 7:15 pm

I'll get my bugs later in August. I try to hide on the busy weekends.
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#4938 Postby Normandy » Fri Aug 04, 2006 7:18 pm

Chris is gone....look at a vis loop and u can see his LLC spin down almost completely.
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#4939 Postby HouTXmetro » Fri Aug 04, 2006 7:21 pm

Normandy wrote:Chris is gone....look at a vis loop and u can see his LLC spin down almost completely.


I was thinking the same thing, I can't depict an LLC.
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[Disclaimer: My Amateur Opinion, please defer to your local authorities or the NHC for Guidance.]

Coredesat

#4940 Postby Coredesat » Fri Aug 04, 2006 7:23 pm

I can't see any spin either. All I see are clouds and disorganized thunderstorms.
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