Tropical Storm Chris

[Stormavoider]

OK...I'm gonna talk some crazy talk here. Given teh gradient is weak...and since the upper level winds are more favorable to the NW and there is some convergence over there...plus snice it is moistening up...what if...

During the diurnal max we get a blowup of convection in the NW quad and the LLC gets sucked up about 1-2 degrees to the NW?

Just an idea...not saying it is going to happen...just wondering out loud.

Your just itching for some extra camping supplies...


It's to the point with this system, would anyone be surprised if it did such a thing....

I feel like it has better chances than ever.

[mvtrucking]

Hey CHRIS:





....and BTW.....

I've rented an industrial size smoker and I've got the fire going..... I'm gonna need help pluckin' all this crow, though .... and y'all better get yer orders in now, cuz its gonna go FAST!

"None Shall Pass"!

[Stratosphere747]

http://www.cira.colostate.edu/ramm/rmsdsol/menu.html

When you run a loop of the 16km WV, it appears that at least the ULL to the NE has lost a bit of its punch, along with a much more moist atmosphere.

[Air Force Met]

http://www.cira.colostate.edu/ramm/rmsdsol/menu.html

When you run a loop of the 16km WV, it appears that at least the ULL to the NE has lost a bit of its punch, along with a much more moist atmosphere.

That is what the GFS has been foreacasting too....along with a small ridge to nose its way into the COL over Chris.

[craptacular]

While the Black Knight sketch is indeed a great one, I think the Dead Parrot Sketch might be the best way to characterize this discussion.

He's not dead, he's just resting.

This storm ceases to be. It is an ex-storm.

He's pining for the straits.

[Pebbles]

I finally figured it out. Now we know the REAL reason why Fidel Castro hasn't been seen in days.......he's flying around spraying a Russian-made version of Dynomat all over the Caribbean!!!!!! Occasionally he has to stop to refuel and Chris fights back!

That must be it!

HAHA i find this hilarious... Dynomat OMG HAHAHA btw.. dynomat peez me off and i hate em.. funnies stuffs though:lol:

[WindRunner]

whens the nextg recon goin in?

Well, it's scheduled for 1am EDT takeoff, but they may or may not go. I still think it'll fly as it's too close to land and still pulsing pretty decently.

[JonathanBelles]

ghcc?

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html

Never use the SSD vis page for close in stuff unless you want the overlays. This updates every 5-10 minues in rapidscan mode and is 1km res.

does it uupdate automatically or will i have to break the refresh button?

[HouTXmetro]

ghcc?

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html

Never use the SSD vis page for close in stuff unless you want the overlays. This updates every 5-10 minues in rapidscan mode and is 1km res.

does it uupdate automatically or will i have to break the refresh button?

you need to refresh

[wxman57]

http://www.cira.colostate.edu/ramm/rmsdsol/menu.html

When you run a loop of the 16km WV, it appears that at least the ULL to the NE has lost a bit of its punch, along with a much more moist atmosphere.

That is what the GFS has been foreacasting too....along with a small ridge to nose its way into the COL over Chris.

That col doesn't look too wide now. The two upper lows are closer together this evening. Strong southerly winds aloft just ahead of Chris, northerly behind it. May "ventilate" it too much. Let's hope it dies tonight.

[KFDM Meteorologist]

That or Cuba will get it because Chris is so weak as it is.

[wxman57]

That or Cuba will get it because Chris is so weak as it is.

Sometimes these weak circulations can be hard to kill. Moving over land might actually make it look better, as daytime heating may enhance convection near the center.

[JonathanBelles]

http://www.cira.colostate.edu/ramm/rmsdsol/menu.html

When you run a loop of the 16km WV, it appears that at least the ULL to the NE has lost a bit of its punch, along with a much more moist atmosphere.

That is what the GFS has been foreacasting too....along with a small ridge to nose its way into the COL over Chris.

That col doesn't look too wide now. The two upper lows are closer together this evening. Strong southerly winds aloft just ahead of Chris, northerly behind it. May "ventilate" it too much. Let's hope it dies tonight.

i still dont know what a col is

[Stratosphere747]

I was thinking that the only positive thing for Chris was to get as "weak" as possible to survive Cuba.

Seems though that even with the LLC nowhere near as defined as the last two days, the conditions around it are improving, if you can call it that. The moisture has definitely improved with more convection around the center, but still not working its way to the center.

Pesky sucker...

[P.K.]

i still dont know what a col is

It is a point between two depressions and two highs arranged alternately such as I've tried to show below where the X is.

..........H.........
L........X........L
..........H........

[Sanibel]

Weak center burst south of LLC.

[miamicanes177]

SHEAR IS FINALLY BACKING OFF

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Come on chris!!!

[Extremeweatherguy]

SHEAR IS FINALLY BACKING OFF

the "L" symbol looks too far south on this image.

[wxman57]

Come on chris!!!

DIE CHRIS, DIE!