NHC being very generous to Chris...

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mobilebay
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NHC being very generous to Chris...

#1 Postby mobilebay » Fri Aug 04, 2006 4:02 am

Based on recon data I have monitored all night and this travesty of justice below, I say they are being very nice to Chris!
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/avn.jpg
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#2 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Aug 04, 2006 4:04 am

This is not a tropical storm...Nothing in the recon had over 30 knots flight level winds...The 53 was just a thunderstorm which has been blown to heck. This is a 25 knot depression tops.
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#3 Postby mobilebay » Fri Aug 04, 2006 4:07 am

I'm not saying this won't refire because the circulation is still strong, and recon is not having any trouble closing off an LLC. I'm just saying it is a Depression right now, and a weak one at that!
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#4 Postby mobilebay » Fri Aug 04, 2006 4:34 am

This is not an official forecast, and should not be used as such. This is just my opinion of what is going on. ( I don't no where to find the disclaimer).

Latest reports from an Air Force Recon Aircraft, Surface Observations, Satellite Imagery, and good old common sense, Tropical Storm Chris is probably a Tropical Depression. :lol:
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#5 Postby Grease Monkey » Fri Aug 04, 2006 4:42 am

...but I think nhc gives chris an extra 10-15mph added bonus for effort.
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#6 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Aug 04, 2006 5:17 am

It's just as bad to have nothing as to have an weak system that doesn't know what to do with its life. JUST DIE!!!
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#7 Postby HouTXmetro » Fri Aug 04, 2006 5:24 am

The nhc must have their plot thingy's wrong. because everytime I look Chris is N of his position yet there track doesn't change.

Oh, and good morning everyone :D
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[Disclaimer: My Amateur Opinion, please defer to your local authorities or the NHC for Guidance.]
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#8 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Aug 04, 2006 5:34 am

HouTXmetro wrote:The nhc must have their plot thingy's wrong. because everytime I look Chris is N of his position yet there track doesn't change.

Oh, and good morning everyone :D


Good morning. I think since Storm2k goes around the clock nobody notices the time of the day, furthermore, in the case of P.K. is already midday!!!
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#9 Postby RQSTR » Fri Aug 04, 2006 5:49 am

it's midday for me too... good lunch P.K.

i think NHC is generous with Chris because they believe it still can (re)strenghtens and it is not that far from land...
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#10 Postby AussieMark » Fri Aug 04, 2006 6:11 am

its 9 pm for me ;)
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#11 Postby Jim Hughes » Fri Aug 04, 2006 6:12 am

RQSTR wrote:it's midday for me too... good lunch P.K.

i think NHC is generous with Chris because they believe it still can (re)strenghtens and it is not that far from land...


Or they are possibly doing what some of talked about last year. There is a conflict of interest with these long term seasonal forecasts. It is human nature to support your brethren. Chris is a joke and it has been for the past 12- 24 hours and it could strengthen to a CAT 5 but that would not be the point here.
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#12 Postby kenl01 » Fri Aug 04, 2006 6:14 am

Beat me to it guys ! I was just about to mention that Chris is a tropical depression at this point. They are being way to generous.

"OVERALL THE AIRCRAFT HAS ONLY MEASURED 30 TO 35
KT WINDS AT FLIGHT LEVEL." So below 35 knots is not TS status.
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