Another example on why you shouldn't.....

Jim Cantore · #1 Postby **Jim Cantore** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 10:51 pm

Write off a tropical system, alot of people thought he'd be gone by now.

The point of this is to remind people, dont write a storm off until the final advisory is written, anything after that you dont have to eat crow for.

you never know what can happen, always keep that in mind. 8-)

#2 Postby **KFDM Meteorologist** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 11:04 pm

When a system like Chris was so exposed this aftenoon when at one time you could barely even see the swirl they rarely come back.

wxmann_91 · #3 Postby **wxmann_91** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 11:06 pm

Exactly. In fact, I'm not even convinced that the convection will stay until tomorrow. Don't forget about Cuba and Hispaniola! Downsloping winds from the mountains will entrain dry air into the circulation if Chris wanders too close.

#4 Postby **KFDM Meteorologist** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 11:08 pm

True!

Grease Monkey · #5 Postby **Grease Monkey** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 11:08 pm

Well what's happening with chris now?:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-ir2.html

He might be on his way down now.

Cyclenall · #6 Postby **Cyclenall** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 11:10 pm

KFDM Meteorologist wrote:When a system like Chris was so exposed this aftenoon when at one time you could barely even see the swirl they rarely come back.

I was just thinking the exact same thing a few hours ago.

Jim Cantore · #7 Postby **Jim Cantore** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 11:27 pm

KFDM Meteorologist wrote:rarely

Rarely, not "Never"

just dont want people to one day get caught off guard when a seemlingly dead storm blows up overnight :wink:

#8 Postby **brunota2003** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 11:58 pm

I would of sworn that we learned not to just simply write off a storm last year...I could be wrong though, one thing Chris has taught me is that I dont do good without SLEEP...nighty night guys and gals :lol:

wxmann_91 · #9 Postby **wxmann_91** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 11:59 pm

Hurricane Floyd wrote:
KFDM Meteorologist wrote:rarely

Rarely, not "Never"

just dont want people to one day get caught off guard when a seemlingly dead storm blows up overnight

A storm can only blow up (as in RI) if it has an inner core. And an inner core takes low shear and time.

Grease Monkey · #10 Postby **Grease Monkey** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 11:59 pm

The truth is we will never learn. Our egos are too big. There's no way we could ever be wrong. :cheesy:

Jim Cantore · #11 Postby **Jim Cantore** » Fri Aug 04, 2006 12:04 am

wxmann_91 wrote:
Hurricane Floyd wrote:
KFDM Meteorologist wrote:rarely

Rarely, not "Never"

just dont want people to one day get caught off guard when a seemlingly dead storm blows up overnight

A storm can only blow up (as in RI) if it has an inner core. And an inner core takes low shear and time.

I didnt mean something like this, of course it wont explode into anything without more then a low cloud swirl and a few showers.

Cyclenall · #12 Postby **Cyclenall** » Fri Aug 04, 2006 12:21 am

wxmann_91 wrote:A storm can only blow up (as in RI) if it has an inner core. And an inner core takes low shear and time.

Hurricane Bud this year RI while at low tropical storm strength. Bud had a inner core when at 40 Knots?

wxmann_91 · #13 Postby **wxmann_91** » Fri Aug 04, 2006 12:27 am

Cyclenall wrote:
wxmann_91 wrote:A storm can only blow up (as in RI) if it has an inner core. And an inner core takes low shear and time.

Hurricane Bud this year RI while at low tropical storm strength. Bud had a inner core when at 40 Knots?

I don't recall Bud but maybe. Inner cores don't have to be associated with strong TC's.

Another example on why you shouldn't.....

Another example on why you shouldn't.....

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