one more question so please answer

[willjnewton]

I was currently wondering it seems to me that most people are generally agreeing to more east coast hurricanes or storms for this hurricane season can someone please explain why are most people agreeing on more toward a east coast year RATHER than the Gulf of Mexico it sounds like???and this is a question I am asking so people PLEASE respond to me and give me the RIGHT answer

[Grease Monkey]

Wow, your so demanding.

[dwg71]

Will - you seem like a nice enough person, but these generic questions are hard to answer. All areas are at risk, some might speculate some more than others. Every storm is different and every situation is different. There is no consensous as to east coast v gulf coast. Some speculate theories, but they are just that theories.

Read more than you type, there is plenty of info to learn from.

[Steve]

I agree with this topic too.

Steve

[willjnewton]

I read your statement even though you said its hard to predict the storms or hurricanes than how come Dr.Gray is predicting more east coast storms or hurricanes based on his august update and a near average gulf season?????

[willjnewton]

I apologize but I waited a long time can someone PLEASE answer my question and do it right THANKYOU

[stormtruth]

That's just what Dr. Gray does. He is the Predictor. He constantly makes predictions and then makes changes and updates to his predictions and so on. I don't think he is very good -- especially last year when he was beyond terrible -- but other people on here really like him.

[Grease Monkey]

Yeah, you all are taking way too long to answer his questions. Shame on you. Shaaaame!

[dwg71]

Dr. Gray has forgotten more about hurricanes than you will ever know...

bite your tounge

[Grease Monkey]

That's just what Dr. Gray does. He is the Predictor. He constantly makes predictions and then makes changes and updates to his predictions and so on. I don't think he is very good -- especially last year when he was beyond terrible -- but other people on here really like him.

I'm still waiting for his prediction in November.

[willjnewton]

but in Dr.Gray's PREVIOUS august update on the 3rd for the future 2006 hurricane season it sounds like He predicts more east coast hurricanes THAN the gulf of mexico is that true???

[bevgo]

I apologize but I waited a long time can someone PLEASE answer my question and do it right THANKYOU

Dr Gray has grad students that look at all the climate and atmospheric data for a given season, look at other similar years and make a prediction based on variables only he is aware of. See if he has a site. That may give you an answer.

BTY: Thjis is a message board, not a chat room and responses may be slow to come or nonexistent. When you are demanding people want to avoid you. I felt your statement that you had waited a long time after less than an hour was uncalled for.

Sorry Mods---I could not hold it any longer.

[Regit]

That's just what Dr. Gray does. He is the Predictor. He constantly makes predictions and then makes changes and updates to his predictions and so on. I don't think he is very good -- especially last year when he was beyond terrible -- but other people on here really like him.

You might want to refer here:

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=84781

[willjnewton]

I am NOT trying to be demanding. All I am asking is in Dr.Gray's august update I just thought he said more east coast hurricanes or storms including florida because Didn't he said in Dr.Gray's august the 3rd update that a 64percent chance of a storm or major storm striking the east coast including florida and a 26 percent chance in the gulf of mexico what does that mean??? please explain

[Regit]

I am NOT trying to be demanding. All I am asking is in Dr.Gray's august update I just thought he said more east coast hurricanes or storms including florida because Didn't he said in Dr.Gray's august the 3rd update that a 64percent chance of a storm or major storm striking the east coast including florida and a 26 percent chance in the gulf of mexico what does that mean??? please explain

You might also want to look at the link I posted above for thoughts on forecasting landfalls.

[willjnewton]

I READ that link and I do NOT think that it has thought's on landfalls. Thought's or predicting on landfalls where at???

[Regit]

I READ that link and I do NOT think that it has thought's on landfalls. Thought's or predicting on landfalls where at???

The first post is divided in half by a black line. EVERYTHING under that black line discusses strike probability (landfall) forecasts.

[willjnewton]

okay thanks

[willjnewton]

and by the way what data does Dr.Gray use to predict his Landfall forecast for the hurricane season or whatever its called???

[willjnewton]

hello where are you guys all I asked was what data does Dr.Gray used to PREDICT HIS LANDFALL FORECAST WITH for this hurricane season?????