a quick but very important question
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willjnewton
a quick but very important question
I was currently wondering since Dr.Gray is still indicating a above average season I am assuming. Will a el nino likely to inhibit the storm activity in the atlantic basin or not??? because I thought that this hurricane season will be active someone please answer my question I need all the experts to answer this..
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gatorcane
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well I am not a true expert but el nino has historically meant lower activity in the Atlantic Basin due to increased shear, however, I don't believe there are any indications that we are going to see an el nino this year and if we don't see them by now, we probably will not see one.
Also, although Dr. Gray lowered his numbers, they are still above avg and are consistent with the active-cycle that started in 1995 where we have been avg 15 storms a year.
Also, although Dr. Gray lowered his numbers, they are still above avg and are consistent with the active-cycle that started in 1995 where we have been avg 15 storms a year.
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JonathanBelles
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Extreme Alde
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Josephine96 wrote:remember.. anyone that has a question is entitled to ask..
Glad you said that because I have a few
Can I find easily the last time Saharan dust was as prevalent as this year?
Is there any way we can find data / stats linking the current slow start in the Pacific North West with that of the Atlantic basin?
When was the most recent study into lightning discharge and storm intensity done?
While I'm at it - last year there was a number of storms that formed in the Caribbean basin marking it as very different from 04 (Ivan springs to mind). This year we are not (as yet) seeing this - any thoughts as to why?
Sorry for these - I just find there is sooo much to take in regarding these wonderfully powerful creations I'm trying to get a handle on what I can. Please understand, having already forgotten more than I know
I may be prone to the odd simplistic question. I hope you will / can be understanding. 
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willjnewton
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Extreme Alde
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What incidentally do people think of this (taken from the Weather site I'm a member of in the UK) :
On a more serious but not so serious note, that's some pretty high 850mb temps ECMWF is showing at 168h in the far North Atlantic. A crazy SST anomaly will be developing there that's for sure. I think perhaps even the 20C SST isotherm could reach the 50N Latitude line, with 26C SST around the Azores Islands.
What do you think it might do to the longevity of the East Coast storms?
On a more serious but not so serious note, that's some pretty high 850mb temps ECMWF is showing at 168h in the far North Atlantic. A crazy SST anomaly will be developing there that's for sure. I think perhaps even the 20C SST isotherm could reach the 50N Latitude line, with 26C SST around the Azores Islands.
What do you think it might do to the longevity of the East Coast storms?
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