Where will Chris go?

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timNms
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#261 Postby timNms » Wed Aug 02, 2006 9:59 pm

Looking at the latest loop, looks like Chris may be thinking suicide??? LOL. That would be good news for the US.
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#262 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Wed Aug 02, 2006 10:04 pm

May not survive!!!!!
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#263 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Wed Aug 02, 2006 10:06 pm

I am still amazed this thing has gone from a NICE looking "near Hurricane" this morning to a possibly doomed 60mph TS this evening. Wow. things change fast. Hopefully I don't wake up tomorrow to a re-organized Chris heading WNW toward the straits again, but quite frankly I am kind of expecting it with all of these recent surprises.
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#264 Postby ROCK » Wed Aug 02, 2006 10:07 pm

KFDM Meteorologist wrote:May not survive!!!!!



yep, not with that track. Nothing left after a day on the island smoking Cuban cigars.
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#265 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Wed Aug 02, 2006 10:08 pm

Your right!
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#266 Postby beachbum_al » Wed Aug 02, 2006 10:08 pm

Don't let your guard down just because right now it looks like it might go over Cuba. That would be great news for the US but a lot of things can happen between tonight and tomorrow. It has happen one too many times. My guess right now is that this storm could go anywhere. Just wait and see situation. I think we will know more on Sunday or Monday where Chris is going.
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#267 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Wed Aug 02, 2006 10:09 pm

IF it were to come back, and sure its possible the threat would be even farther south than Texas.
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#268 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Wed Aug 02, 2006 10:11 pm

KFDM Meteorologist wrote:IF it were to come back, and sure its possible the threat would be even farther south than Texas.
Why does the NHC start turning Chris back WNW or NW once in the Gulf then?
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#269 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Wed Aug 02, 2006 10:12 pm

There's alot of things people wonder about with NHC? :D
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#270 Postby ROCK » Wed Aug 02, 2006 10:12 pm

Extremeweatherguy wrote:
KFDM Meteorologist wrote:IF it were to come back, and sure its possible the threat would be even farther south than Texas.
Why does the NHC start turning Chris back WNW or NW once in the Gulf then?



Maybe seeing a weakness in the high. I dunno. The good news it that it will spend less time over the LPC in an disorganized state.
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#271 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Wed Aug 02, 2006 10:14 pm

The WNW you see on the track if it gets going again is just the system moving around the high as the high builds west.
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#272 Postby KatDaddy » Wed Aug 02, 2006 10:31 pm

Hey KFDM! Rooting for the ridge to over take Chris into Mexico. No Rita II this season.
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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#273 Postby KatDaddy » Wed Aug 02, 2006 10:36 pm

Just dont ask Joe B..............he says TX. Well he gives us a higher chance than other coastal areas of the GOM
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#274 Postby chris_fit » Wed Aug 02, 2006 10:42 pm

GFDL Wins??
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#275 Postby Brent » Wed Aug 02, 2006 10:43 pm

chris_fit wrote:GFDL Wins??


Unless it goes well into Hispanola, no.
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#276 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Wed Aug 02, 2006 10:44 pm

A look at a few computer models (quite a spread):

Image
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#277 Postby f5 » Wed Aug 02, 2006 10:44 pm

GDFL ruled the 2005 season
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#278 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Wed Aug 02, 2006 10:45 pm

f5 wrote:GDFL ruled the 2005 season
according to a met I talked to, that is not true. Supposedly they did a study and the GFS came out on top last year. The GFDL did rule 2004 though.
Last edited by Extremeweatherguy on Wed Aug 02, 2006 10:48 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#279 Postby Stratosphere747 » Wed Aug 02, 2006 10:46 pm

Look at the time stamp on those models...
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#280 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Wed Aug 02, 2006 10:47 pm

GFS did do well last year.
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