How far North??

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
bucman1
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 394
Joined: Mon Sep 13, 2004 7:59 am

How far North??

#1 Postby bucman1 » Wed Aug 02, 2006 9:00 am

How much farther North will the models Take Chris???
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
skysummit
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5305
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 11:09 pm
Location: Ponchatoula, LA
Contact:
Contact skysummit

#2 Postby skysummit » Wed Aug 02, 2006 9:01 am

Greenland.
0 likes   
Top
Josephine96

#3 Postby Josephine96 » Wed Aug 02, 2006 9:01 am

My amateur opinion has the models shifting into South Fla. But I really don't know..
0 likes   
Top
Eyewall

#4 Postby Eyewall » Wed Aug 02, 2006 9:04 am

I'd say south Dade county would be the farthest north this one goes
0 likes   
Top
Josephine96

#5 Postby Josephine96 » Wed Aug 02, 2006 9:06 am

Miami to Ft. Lauderdale :wink:
0 likes   
Top
bucman1
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 394
Joined: Mon Sep 13, 2004 7:59 am

#6 Postby bucman1 » Wed Aug 02, 2006 9:07 am

Always one wiseguy in the group.
0 likes   
Top
flhurricaneguy
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 197
Joined: Mon Sep 26, 2005 10:21 am

#7 Postby flhurricaneguy » Wed Aug 02, 2006 9:08 am

dade to palm beach county
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
skysummit
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5305
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 11:09 pm
Location: Ponchatoula, LA
Contact:
Contact skysummit

#8 Postby skysummit » Wed Aug 02, 2006 9:09 am

bucman1 wrote:Always one wiseguy in the group.


LOL....Seriously, I just think they'll bounce up and down in their general direction.
0 likes   
Top
bucman1
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 394
Joined: Mon Sep 13, 2004 7:59 am

#9 Postby bucman1 » Wed Aug 02, 2006 9:10 am

no problem Sky-I was just joking
0 likes   
Top
LightningInTheEye
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 20
Joined: Tue Aug 01, 2006 5:43 pm

#10 Postby LightningInTheEye » Wed Aug 02, 2006 9:14 am

Well the following certainly doesn't sound as reassuring as last night's "It's a northern Cuba storm" prediction...

"http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/~vigh/guidance/atlantic/early1.png
A lot of the model shifted northward on the 06Z run than last night."-SouthFloridawx

"Chris is ever so slightly north of the previous track. There is little change in the forecast reasoning from 12 hours ago. Only slight difference is a slight right shift in the longer term forecast locations, in agreement with the latest guidance. This keeps the storm over the Florida Straits, very near the southern Keys in a little less than 5 days. The ridge may not be quite as strong as the models were suggesting."-Derek Ortt
0 likes   
Top
Josephine96

#11 Postby Josephine96 » Wed Aug 02, 2006 9:33 am

LOL.. I'm not a wise guy either.. at least not usually :lol:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
deltadog03
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 3580
Joined: Tue Jul 05, 2005 6:16 pm
Location: Macon, GA

#12 Postby deltadog03 » Wed Aug 02, 2006 9:45 am

just remember....most of the time the models usually underestimate the strength of ridges...just keep that in mind.
0 likes   
Top
Josephine96

#13 Postby Josephine96 » Wed Aug 02, 2006 9:48 am

Good point, lets wait and see what happens :wink:
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Chris90, Hurricane2022, ouragans and 37 guests